Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI) AI Stock Analysis

9 Followers

Stampede Drilling Inc

(TSXV:SDI)

Select Model

Rating:69.5Neutral

Price Target:CAD 0.26▲(9.58% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:08/19/26

The overall score is driven primarily by solid but not peak financial performance: revenue has recovered and leverage has de-risked, yet margins, return on equity, and free cash flow are weaker than in 2022–2023, keeping the company in a mid-cycle quality range. Technicals add positively, with the share price trending above all key moving averages and momentum indicators supporting an upward bias, though elevated stochastic readings hint at some near-term froth. An inexpensive single-digit P/E further supports the score, but the lack of dividend income and choppy cash generation prevent the stock from reaching a top-tier rating.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth and ProfitabilityStrong recent revenue growth alongside positive net and EBITDA margins indicates continued demand for Stampede’s land-based drilling services. This combination provides an earnings base for reinvestment and supports competitive capacity over the next several quarters, despite normal industry cyclicality.

Negative Factors

Weak Free Cash Flow ConversionNegative and inconsistent free cash flow reduces the reliability of reported earnings as a source of internally available funds. Reinvestment, working-capital needs, or capital spending are absorbing operating cash, which can constrain debt reduction, shareholder returns, and growth funding over the coming quarters.

Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Market Cap: CAD 45.73M
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 164.75K
Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.0
Beta (1Y): 0.42
Revenue Growth: 34.21%
EPS Growth: ―
Country: Canada
Employees: 282
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Stampede Drilling Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Stampede Drilling Inc. provides oilfield services to the oil and natural gas industry. The company provides contract drilling services in Western Canada. It also operates a fleet of 18 telescopic double rigs. The company was formerly known as MATRRIX...

Stampede Drilling Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has rebounded with mid-teens growth versus 2025 and sits well above 2021 levels, and leverage has improved with debt to equity falling below 0.20 and equity rising, indicating a financially sound balance sheet. However, gross, operating, and net margins, as well as return on equity, have compressed from stronger 2022–2023 levels, and free cash flow remains volatile and slightly negative on a TTM basis, leaving earnings and cash flow in a mid-cycle rather than best-in-class position.

Income Statement

64Positive

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

57Neutral

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	86.06M	71.40M	82.07M	85.96M	66.88M	32.16M
Gross Profit	16.30M	12.57M	18.34M	22.05M	17.83M	7.86M
EBITDA	13.35M	16.48M	16.21M	19.36M	14.20M	8.01M
Net Income	6.09M	3.82M	5.16M	10.55M	8.21M	2.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	131.56M	128.21M	120.79M	118.57M	108.28M	50.76M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	686.00K	655.00K	756.00K	3.52M	703.00K	665.00K
Total Debt	15.82M	23.24M	18.53M	21.05M	22.02M	11.82M
Total Liabilities	35.47M	31.79M	27.80M	30.24M	29.80M	14.58M
Stockholders Equity	90.49M	90.81M	87.39M	82.72M	72.83M	36.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-146.00K	-4.99M	4.09M	6.23M	-30.97M	2.01M
Operating Cash Flow	12.74M	10.69M	18.73M	20.68M	10.15M	6.09M
Investing Cash Flow	-6.47M	-10.78M	-17.20M	-13.28M	-42.18M	-3.83M
Financing Cash Flow	-6.25M	19.00K	-4.31M	-4.56M	32.08M	-2.28M

Stampede Drilling Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive

Last Price0.24

Price Trends

50DMA0.23Positive

100DMA0.23Positive

200DMA0.21Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.00Negative

RSI57.77Neutral

STOCH60.00Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SDI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.23, above the 50-day MA of 0.23, and above the 200-day MA of 0.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SDI.

Stampede Drilling Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TSE:SDI against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TSE:SDI	70Neutral	CAD 47.64M	6.00	8.55%	―	34.21%	―
TSE:HWO	62Neutral	CAD 14.03M	9.36	7.22%	―	19.80%	-93.88%
TSE:WRG	58Neutral	CAD 130.00M	-6.19	-7.93%	―	-4.11%	-205.97%
TSE:ESI	57Neutral	CAD 796.30M	-32.24	-2.03%	―	4.21%	43.59%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
TSE:PHX	53Neutral	CAD 495.79M	10.40	20.96%	9.16%	6.60%	-6.54%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

TSE:SDI and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
TSE:SDI	Stampede Drilling	0.24	0.10	77.78%
TSE:ESI	Ensign Energy Services	4.54	2.00	78.74%
TSE:PHX	PHX Energy Services	10.92	4.45	68.67%
TSE:WRG	Western Energy Services	3.84	1.75	83.73%
TSE:HWO	High Arctic Energy	1.18	0.28	31.11%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2026

Stampede Drilling Inc AI Stock Analysis