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Greenlane Renewables Inc (GRN) AI Stock Analysis

TSE:GRN

Greenlane Renewables Inc

(TSX:GRN)

Select Model
Rating:46.6Neutral
Price Target:CAD 0.16â–¼(-7.65% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/06/26

The overall score is held down primarily by fragile financial performance, characterized by declining revenue, persistent operating and net losses, ongoing cash burn, and erosion of equity despite a low‑risk balance sheet. Weak technicals, with the share price below key moving averages and momentum indicators pointing to a sustained downtrend and high volatility, further weigh on the rating. Valuation metrics are not compelling given the negative P/E and lack of dividend, meaning investors are paying for future potential rather than current earnings, while the positive earnings‑call developments, strategic partnerships, TAM expansion and recent commercial orders provide meaningful but still early‑stage offsets that do not yet overcome the core profitability and execution challenges.

Positive Factors
Panasonic partnership and expansion potentialThe Panasonic manufacturing agreements could improve Greenlane’s ability to commercialize its next-generation products across multiple markets. A large stated addressable market provides meaningful expansion potential, while retaining design, sales, and servicing preserves strategic control over customer relationships.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and ongoing lossesPersistent revenue contraction shows that Greenlane has not yet converted its market opportunity into consistent top-line growth. Continued operating and net losses weaken internal funding capacity and indicate that improved gross margins have not yet translated into durable company-wide profitability.

Greenlane Renewables Inc (GRN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%TSE:GRN-32.00%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 27.16M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
80.87K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-6.3
Beta (1Y)
1.92
Revenue Growth
5.01%
EPS Growth
-3122.22%
Country
Canada
Employees
113
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Independent Power Producers

Greenlane Renewables Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Greenlane Renewables Inc. provides biogas desulfurization and upgrading systems and services worldwide. Its systems produce clean; renewable natural gas from organic-waste sources, including landfills, sugar mills, dairy farms, wastewater, and food w...

How the Company Makes Money

Greenlane Renewables primarily makes money by selling biogas upgrading systems and related equipment to project developers and site owners that produce renewable natural gas. Its core revenue stream is project-based: customers contract Greenlane to s...

Greenlane Renewables Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-15.00%|Next Earnings Date:May 25, 2020
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed materially positive strategic and technical progress — notably the Panasonic manufacturing partnership, successful linear NRU tests demonstrating superior methane recovery, a clear TAM estimate ($600M), a return to positive adjusted EBITDA and a healthy balance sheet (CAD $12.1M cash, no debt). Offsetting factors include reported YoY revenue/adjusted EBITDA declines driven by prior-year one-time items, a sequential backlog decline, increased R&D spend (+100% YoY) and timing/execution risk as production readiness and commercial revenue for Cascade LF remain future milestones. On balance, the operational and technical milestones and improved profitability indicators outweigh the short-term financial and timing headwinds.

Positive Updates

Cascade LF Commercialization Milestones
Signed definitive manufacturing and technology agreements with Panasonic to produce Cascade LF and Cascade MS modules in São José dos Campos, Brazil; Panasonic initial investments expected BRL 8-10 million (approximately CAD 2-3 million). Greenlane retains product design, supply chain management, sales and servicing. Targeting production readiness by end of 2026. Management estimates a combined total addressable market (Cascade LF + Cascade MS in Brazil, U.S. and Canada) of approximately $600 million annually (~14x last year's revenue).

Negative Updates

Year-over-Year Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Decline (Reported)
Reported revenue and adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 were lower than Q2 2025 due primarily to the recognition of royalty revenue and a large parts order in Q2 2025. Management indicates underlying operations improved when excluding those one-time items, but headline YoY comparisons are negative (no quantified YoY percentage provided in the call).

Company Guidance

Management guided to production readiness for the next‑generation Cascade LF (and Cascade MS) by year‑end 2026, framed a total addressable market of roughly $600 million annually (two products across Brazil, U.S. and Canada — ~14x last year’s revenue), announced a Panasonic Brazil manufacturing partnership with initial investments of BRL 8–10 million (CAD 2–3 million), and highlighted successful linear NRU testing (noting each 1% improvement in methane recovery yields a 1% revenue increase); Q2 metrics cited included a 41% gross margin before amortization, a return to positive adjusted EBITDA, R&D of ~$0.8 million, $12.1 million cash, no debt, a $25.6 million sales order backlog (service/spare parts excluded) and a $0.9 million YoY improvement in system sales from desulfurization — all set against market context figures (U.S. landfills produce 64% of U.S. RNG from ~600 sites, 20 new landfill projects in 2025 added ~40 billion cubic feet or ~75% of 2025 biogas capacity additions, ~700 additional suitable landfills; Europe installed biomethane capacity 8.2 bcm, +17% YoY, with EUR 36 billion committed vs. EUR 28 billion prior and projected incremental additions of ~9 bcm by 2030, EU27 potential 31–32 bcm in 2030 and 163–184 bcm by 2050).

Greenlane Renewables Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue is declining, the business has returned to operating losses, and cash generation is weak and volatile, with negative operating and free cash flow in the latest TTM and most recent years, leaving the company still loss‑making and cash‑consuming despite improved gross margins and one strong cash flow year. The balance sheet is conservatively financed with very low debt, but repeated losses since 2021 have eroded equity and reduced the asset base, making the overall financial profile fragile and heavily dependent on successfully converting margin improvements into sustained profitability and positive cash flow.

Income Statement

32Negative

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

30Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue43.21M44.43M51.82M57.82M71.24M55.35M
Gross Profit16.51M17.95M15.43M14.38M14.93M12.89M
EBITDA-1.67M1.93M655.00K-10.90M-3.05M-868.00K
Net Income-4.33M-1.04M-1.86M-29.58M-5.50M-2.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.85M46.77M45.35M54.35M83.39M78.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.09M18.11M16.17M11.79M21.38M31.47M
Total Debt2.46M2.66M2.07M1.95M1.24M459.00K
Total Liabilities20.80M23.09M21.38M29.05M29.90M22.30M
Stockholders Equity21.05M23.67M23.98M25.30M53.48M56.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.20M-1.08M4.54M-9.20M-475.00K-10.69M
Operating Cash Flow-3.60M-453.00K4.62M-9.00M40.00K-10.48M
Investing Cash Flow-1.24M296.00K-53.00K-311.00K-9.91M-217.00K
Financing Cash Flow-418.00K-385.00K-278.00K-265.00K-231.00K25.72M

Greenlane Renewables Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.17

Price Trends

50DMA0.18Negative
100DMA0.20Negative
200DMA0.22Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI48.51Neutral
STOCH86.67Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GRN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.17, below the 50-day MA of 0.18, and below the 200-day MA of 0.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:GRN.

Greenlane Renewables Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

TSE:GRN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:BRMTSE:BRM80OutperformCAD 59.52M9.4941.45%―32.16%94.55%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
TSE:TMGTSE:TMG60NeutralCAD 26.50M32.9816.53%―16.89%―
TSE:QSTTSE:QST48NeutralCAD 7.08M-2.31-16.34%―-74.07%-251.51%
TSE:GRNTSE:GRN47NeutralCAD 27.17M-6.25-18.95%―5.01%-3122.22%
TSE:SHRCTSE:SHRC41NeutralCAD 14.04M-3.92109.61%―-22.75%5.86%
TSE:ACTTSE:ACT39UnderperformCAD 508.04M-23.86-51.78%―-44.40%-8.31%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%TSE:GRNTSE:BRMTSE:SHRCTSE:QSTTSE:TMGTSE:ACTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:GRN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:GRNGreenlane Renewables0.17-0.09-34.62%
TSE:BRMBiorem Inc3.651.6279.80%
TSE:SHRCSharc International Systems Inc.0.090.016.25%
TSE:QSTQuestor Technology0.26-0.21-45.16%
TSE:TMGThermal Energy International0.150.0219.23%
TSE:ACTAduro Clean Technologies Inc.14.20-5.49-27.88%

Greenlane Renewables Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy

Greenlane Renewables to Highlight RNG Growth Strategy at Smallcap Discoveries Conference

Positive
Sep 16, 2026

Greenlane Renewables Inc. will present at the 2026 Annual Smallcap Discoveries Conference in Vancouver on September 28, where CEO Brad Douville is set to outline the firm’s strategy and recent business developments. His presentation will highli...

Business Operations and Strategy

Greenlane Renewables Wins $2.5 Million Cascade H2S Order to Expand North American RNG Footprint

Positive
Aug 19, 2026

Greenlane Renewables has secured approximately $2.5 million in equipment and service contracts from an existing U.S. customer that operates renewable natural gas-producing assets.The deal expands the installed base of Greenlane’s proprietary Ca...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Greenlane Renewables Posts Positive Q2 Adjusted EBITDA and Advances Next-Gen Landfill Gas Technology

Positive
Aug 13, 2026

Greenlane Renewables reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $11.3 million with gross profit of $4.4 million and a modestly positive adjusted EBITDA, despite a net loss of $0.9 million, supported by a $25.6 million sales order backlog and $12.1 milli...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Greenlane Renewables Sets Date for Q2 2026 Financial Results and Investor Update

Positive
Aug 6, 2026

Greenlane Renewables said it will release its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026 after markets close on August 13, 2026. Following the release, Chief Executive Officer Brad Douville and Chief Financial Officer Stephanie Maso...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 06, 2026