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Canacol Energy (TSE:CNE)
TSX:CNE

Canacol Energy (CNE) AI Stock Analysis

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Canacol Energy

(TSX:CNE)

60Neutral
Canacol Energy's overall score reflects its strong operational efficiency and strategic outlook, as evidenced by the recent earnings call and corporate events. However, the financial challenges, particularly with high leverage and net losses, along with bearish technical indicators and unattractive valuation metrics, weigh heavily on the stock's overall attractiveness.

Canacol Energy (CNE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Canacol Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCanacol Energy Ltd. (CNE) is a leading natural gas exploration and production company headquartered in Canada, with primary operations in Colombia. The company focuses on the exploration, development, and commercialization of natural gas, serving the energy needs of industrial, commercial, and residential customers. Canacol Energy strives to provide reliable and sustainable energy solutions, leveraging its expertise in the hydrocarbon industry to supply the growing energy market in Latin America.
How the Company Makes MoneyCanacol Energy generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of natural gas. The company's key revenue streams include long-term contracts with industrial and commercial customers, which provide a stable income from the sale of natural gas. Additionally, Canacol Energy invests in infrastructure development to enhance its production capacity and distribution network, ensuring efficient delivery of natural gas to its clients. Strategic partnerships with local and international energy firms also contribute to its earnings, as these collaborations facilitate market expansion and operational efficiency. The company benefits from favorable market conditions in Colombia, where demand for natural gas is rising due to economic development and a push for cleaner energy alternatives.

Canacol Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall, Canacol Energy exhibits a solid operational performance with strong margins but faces challenges with high leverage and fluctuating profitability. While the company effectively generates cash from operations, heavy capital expenditures impact its free cash flow.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Canacol Energy shows a moderate revenue growth rate with some fluctuations over the past years. The gross profit margin is strong, indicating effective cost management, while the net profit margin is lower, reflecting potential challenges in controlling expenses or non-operating costs. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, highlighting operational efficiency. However, the recent TTM period shows a decline in net income, which could indicate profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting significant leverage which could be risky in volatile markets. However, the return on equity is reasonable, indicating that the company is generating a fair return on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced use of equity financing despite high debt levels.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Canacol Energy's cash flow statement indicates fluctuating free cash flow, with the TTM period showing some improvement. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting effective cash generation from operations. However, the high capital expenditures impact free cash flow, which could constrain financial flexibility.
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
315.80M335.71M310.54M278.81M242.08M
Gross Profit
275.59M239.57M216.59M212.10M187.80M
EBIT
237.96M128.38M93.25M116.11M96.96M
EBITDA
183.71M168.70M158.30M172.72M149.81M
Net Income Common Stockholders
86.24M147.27M15.18M-4.74M34.25M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
39.42M60.79M138.52M68.57M41.24M
Total Assets
1.23B1.01B843.76M749.79M754.06M
Total Debt
676.43M512.18M512.57M390.07M368.68M
Net Debt
637.01M453.66M374.05M321.80M327.44M
Total Liabilities
881.75M722.91M658.63M542.42M511.32M
Stockholders Equity
351.67M291.94M185.13M207.37M242.75M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-67.13M93.77M66.66M92.33M42.07M
Operating Cash Flow
95.34M185.43M123.81M152.32M108.35M
Investing Cash Flow
-206.11M-179.91M-101.48M-88.96M-84.26M
Financing Cash Flow
83.83M-80.67M51.53M-33.41M-34.48M

Canacol Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.97
Price Trends
50DMA
3.54
Negative
100DMA
3.64
Negative
200DMA
3.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Negative
RSI
33.13
Neutral
STOCH
34.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CNE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.12, below the 50-day MA of 3.54, and below the 200-day MA of 3.66, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CNE.

Canacol Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSCNE
60
Neutral
$101.34M4.40-9.73%6.77%20.91%-139.18%
56
Neutral
$6.99B3.76-4.38%5.90%-0.24%-48.46%
TSTXP
52
Neutral
$89.86M7.9512.87%90.46%-763.10%
TSPEA
52
Neutral
C$92.92M-22.67%-46.27%-452.35%
TSQEC
50
Neutral
C$113.56M-5.19%-4.36%69.08%
TSCDR
45
Neutral
C$112.67M-75.41%9741.12%69.01%
TSFO
36
Underperform
£110.91M-6.80%13.95%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CNE
Canacol Energy
2.97
-1.96
-39.76%
TSE:FO
Falcon Oil & Gas
0.10
-0.02
-16.67%
TSE:TXP
Touchstone Exploration
0.38
-0.30
-44.12%
TSE:QEC
Questerre
0.26
0.04
18.18%
TSE:PEA
Pieridae Energy
0.32
-0.09
-21.95%
TSE:CDR
Condor Energies
1.67
-0.28
-14.36%

Canacol Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 20, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -24.81%|
Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook for Canacol Energy, highlighting record EBITDAX, increased natural gas prices, successful drilling activities, and a strong cash position. However, the company did report a net loss in the fourth quarter due to tax expenses, and reduced capital expenditures were noted. Despite these lowlights, the overall performance and strategic positioning indicate a strong and positive trajectory.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking EBITDAX
Canacol Energy achieved a record EBITDAX of $296 million for fiscal year 2024, which is 25% higher than the previous year.
Increased Natural Gas Prices and Netbacks
Realized natural gas prices reached $6.99 per 1,000 cubic feet, generating netbacks of $5.41 per 1,000 cubic feet, a 32% increase compared to last year.
Successful Drilling and Reserve Replacement
The company drilled five exploration wells and five development wells, achieving a 2P reserve replacement ratio of 85% with 53 billion cubic feet in new discoveries.
Strong Cash Position
Canacol closed the year with a cash position of $79 million, marking its strongest cash position since Q3 of 2022.
Sustainability Recognition
The company scored 75 points in the S&P Global Corporate Sustainability Assessment, ranking fourth globally in the oil and gas sector.
Negative Updates
Net Loss in Q4 2024
The company reported a net loss of $25.4 million for Q4 2024, primarily due to a non-cash deferred income tax expense of $28.9 million.
Reduced Capital Expenditures
Capital expenditures for Q4 2024 were $28.6 million, a 60% decrease from the previous year, reflecting lower spending on various operational activities.
Company Guidance
During Canacol Energy's fiscal year 2024 conference call, the company reported a record-breaking EBITDAX of $296 million, marking a 25% increase from 2023. The average realized natural gas price was $6.99 per 1,000 standard cubic feet, yielding netbacks of $5.41, up 32% from the previous year, with an operational margin of 77%. The company averaged 165 million standard cubic feet per day in gas and oil sales, including 157 million standard cubic feet per day of natural gas. Capital investments for the year totaled $122 million, down 43% from 2023 and below the guidance of $138 million. The reduction was attributed to drilling and cost efficiency efforts. Canacol closed the year with a cash position of $79 million. The corporation drilled five exploration wells and five development wells, achieving a 2P reserve replacement ratio of 85% with 53 billion cubic feet in new discoveries, bringing total 2P reserves to 599 billion cubic feet of gas equivalents. The net present value of future net revenues from 2P reserves is estimated at $2.6 billion before tax. Canacol's Corporate Sustainability Assessment score by S&P Global was 75 points, ranking fourth among 165 global oil and gas companies. For 2025, Canacol aims to sustain EBITDAX generation and reserves, drill high-impact exploration wells, reduce debt, and prepare for operations in Bolivia by 2026, with a projected capital program between $143 million and $160 million.

Canacol Energy Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Canacol Energy to Release Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

Canacol Energy Ltd. announced that it will release its first quarter 2025 financial results on May 8, 2025, after market close, with a subsequent conference call scheduled for May 9, 2025. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor confidence.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CNE Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CNE is a Neutral.

Canacol Energy’s overall score reflects its strong operational efficiency and strategic outlook, as evidenced by the recent earnings call and corporate events. However, the financial challenges, particularly with high leverage and net losses, along with bearish technical indicators and unattractive valuation metrics, weigh heavily on the stock’s overall attractiveness.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CNE stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Canacol Energy Achieves Record EBITDAX Amid Strategic Expansion Plans
Neutral
Mar 20, 2025

Canacol Energy Ltd. reported a record adjusted EBITDAX of $296.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, marking a significant increase from the previous year. Despite a decrease in realized natural gas and LNG sales volume, the company saw a rise in operating netback and adjusted funds from operations, driven by higher average sales prices. However, Canacol experienced a net loss due to a non-cash deferred income tax expense. The company plans to focus on maintaining and growing EBITDA, exploring new gas opportunities, and reducing debt in 2025, while preparing to commence operations in Bolivia by 2026.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Canacol Energy Reports Increased 2P Reserves Valuation and Strong Operational Outlook
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Canacol Energy Ltd. announced its 2P reserves and deemed volumes, totaling 599 Bcfe with a before-tax NPV-10 value of US$2.6 billion, reflecting a 21% increase from the previous year. The company’s reserve life index stands at 10.2 years, with a reserve replacement ratio of 85% for 2024, indicating robust future production potential and a solid financial position, which could positively impact its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Financial Disclosures
Canacol Energy to Release Q4 and Fiscal Year 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Mar 4, 2025

Canacol Energy Ltd. announced that it will release its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 financial results on March 20, 2025, after market closure. A conference call to discuss these results will be held on March 21, 2025. The financial results will be accessible through the company’s Investor Relations website, with a replay of the webcast available until March 28, 2025. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance, potentially impacting investor decisions and market positioning.

Business Operations and Strategy
Canacol Energy Announces 2025 Capital and Gas Sales Guidance
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

Canacol Energy Ltd. has announced its capital and gas sales guidance for 2025, with a capital budget between $143 million and $160 million. The company plans to maintain and grow its reserve base and production from core assets in the Lower Magdalena Valley Basin, while also exploring new opportunities in the Middle Magdalena Valley Basin. The company aims to drill up to 11 exploration and 3 development wells, with significant exploration activities planned to capitalize on strong gas market dynamics. Canacol is also preparing to commence operations in Bolivia in 2026, pending contract ratifications and environmental permits.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.