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Cematrix (CEMX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CEMX

Cematrix

(TSX:CEMX)

Select Model
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:CAD 0.54▲(16.34% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

The overall score of 73 reflects a company with strong fundamentals and a positive outlook, tempered by neutral market momentum. The most significant factors are the company's robust financial health, characterized by a debt-free balance sheet and excellent cash flow, and the highly optimistic guidance from the earnings call pointing to a record year. These strengths are partially offset by a neutral technical picture and a recent dip in TTM revenue, which introduces some uncertainty about near-term price movement and top-line growth sustainability.

Positive Factors
Growing revenue and backlogRevenue growth alongside a rising backlog indicates improving demand for CEMATRIX’s cellular concrete solutions rather than reliance on a single completed project. The 1.14 book-to-bill ratio supports forward workload visibility and provides a foundation for continued revenue expansion over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin compressionRecent gross-margin deterioration indicates that profitability remains sensitive to contract structure and project mix. Lower-margin large projects and the loss of a favorable prior-year contract benefit could keep earnings conversion below target, limiting the impact of revenue growth on operating profit.

Cematrix (CEMX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%TSE:CEMX+43.08%EWC+21.04%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
CAD 69.77M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
141.02K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.7
Beta (1Y)
1.35
Revenue Growth
17.54%
EPS Growth
53.88%
Country
Canada
Employees
64
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Construction Materials

Cematrix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CEMATRIX Corporation, operating through its subsidiaries, specializes in the on-site manufacturing and distribution of cellular concrete. This versatile material finds extensive use across the infrastructure, industrial, and commercial construction s...

How the Company Makes Money

CEMATRIX makes money primarily by delivering cellular concrete projects and related products to construction customers. Its core revenue stream is project-based contracting, where it is paid under customer contracts to engineer (mix design/specificat...

Cematrix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-8.82%|Next Earnings Date:May 28, 2019
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly optimistic, supported by record year-to-date revenue, a growing backlog, strong cash generation, a $20.5 million cash balance, positive adjusted EBITDA and expectations for a strong fourth quarter and record full-year performance. The main challenges were the year-over-year decline in Q3 revenue and operating income, lower margins, construction-related project timing variability, and uncertainty around acquisition timing. Highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.

Positive Updates

Record Year-to-Date Revenue Growth
Revenue for the first nine months of 2026 reached $37.9 million, compared with $32.6 million last year, representing a 16% increase and a record year-to-date result. Management said 2026 is on track to be the company’s best year ever across revenue, profit and cash flow.

Negative Updates

Q3 Revenue Decline
Q3 revenue was $11.9 million, down from $15.3 million last year. Management said this was the company’s third-highest Q3 revenue in history, but attributed the year-over-year decline to projects shifting from mid-August to mid-September.

Company Guidance

Management said 2026 is “on track for our best year ever,” with record financial performance expected in “all 3” of revenue, profit and cash flow; “Q4 is going to be one of our best quarters ever,” all the large projects needed to hit the guidance have started and are expected to be finished in the fourth quarter, and Q4 is expected to raise margins, although management does not know if it will get “all the way to 30% on the year,” with 30% remaining the target and the company expecting to get “pretty close.” SG&A is expected to be lower again in Q4, while heading into ’27 it is expected to go up “kind of in line with inflation”; quarterly reporting should come out “roughly 4 weeks from when the quarter ends now and going forward.”

Cematrix Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is strong, driven by a successful turnaround. The balance sheet is a fortress with negligible debt (0.07x D/E) and improving ROE (11.2%). Cash flow generation is excellent, with operating cash flow surging to $13.0M TTM and a 0.96x FCF/NI conversion ratio. The primary offset is the recent -6.3% TTM revenue decline, which tempers the otherwise robust profitability and margin expansion.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

88Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue50.45M45.09M35.36M53.30M29.00M22.60M
Gross Profit14.46M15.36M9.42M11.88M2.52M3.90M
EBITDA7.97M7.59M2.50M4.44M-3.44M1.02M
Net Income4.74M4.06M270.00K1.24M-5.56M-1.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets54.88M47.69M43.40M39.28M40.82M44.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.51M11.94M10.29M3.29M10.68M19.95M
Total Debt3.25M3.43M3.59M3.24M7.58M8.39M
Total Liabilities10.24M7.19M6.02M10.56M13.07M12.81M
Stockholders Equity44.64M40.51M37.37M28.72M27.74M31.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.50M2.96M2.90M-1.46M-5.09M-1.51M
Operating Cash Flow12.99M3.49M4.90M503.00K-3.20M-834.00K
Investing Cash Flow-573.00K-609.00K-2.02M-2.03M-4.04M-619.00K
Financing Cash Flow-1.97M-1.13M3.98M-5.82M-2.31M18.95M

Cematrix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.47

Price Trends

50DMA0.48Negative
100DMA0.49Negative
200DMA0.48Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Positive
RSI36.15Neutral
STOCH-13.89Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CEMX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.48, below the 50-day MA of 0.48, and below the 200-day MA of 0.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -13.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CEMX.

Cematrix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

TSE:CEMX against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:CEMXTSE:CEMX73OutperformCAD 69.77M14.6711.23%―17.54%53.88%
TSE:TBLTSE:TBL63NeutralCAD 404.79M13.988.89%―-5.59%-34.15%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
TSE:DBMTSE:DBM60NeutralCAD 866.64M10.0612.58%5.68%-0.96%10.25%
TSE:FBFTSE:FBF58NeutralCAD 10.09M24.186.74%―-6.15%-23.83%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%80%TSE:CEMXTSE:DBMTSE:FBFTSE:TBLTSE:BILDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TSE:CEMX and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:CEMXCematrix Corp0.470.1440.91%
TSE:DBMDoman Building Materials Group Ltd.9.861.5719.00%
TSE:FBFFab-Form Industries Ltd.1.100.076.80%
TSE:TBLTaiga Building Prod3.750.288.07%
TSE:BILDBuildDirect.com Technologies Inc2.450.3516.67%

Cematrix Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

CEMATRIX Sees Record 2026 Despite Softer Third Quarter

Positive
Oct 28, 2026

CEMATRIX reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of $11.9 million, down 22% from a year earlier, as the delayed start of several large projects weighed on results and cut gross margins to 23% from 34%. Despite softer quarterly performance, year-to-date r...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Cematrix Sets Date for Third-Quarter 2026 Results and Investor Webinar

Positive
Oct 21, 2026

Cematrix Corporation will release its consolidated financial results for the third quarter ended Sept. 30, 2026, after markets close on Oct. 28. The announcement underscores regular financial disclosure by the cellular concrete specialist, which has...

Business Operations and Strategy

CEMATRIX Adds $8.8 Million in Contracts, Lifts YTD Awards to $43.2 Million

Positive
Sep 21, 2026

CEMATRIX Corporation has secured $8.8 million in new contract awards, bringing year‑to‑date bookings to $43.2 million across Canada and the United States. The mix of work includes a major grouting application for a tunnel project, a load‑reducing fil...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Cematrix Secures $8.2 Million in New Contracts, Lifting 2026 Wins to $34.4 Million

Positive
Aug 20, 2026

Cematrix Corporation, a specialty contractor and leading North American supplier of cellular concrete, delivers on-site, flowable and insulating cement-based solutions for geotechnical construction, including lightweight fill, tunnel grouting and uti...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026