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First Sponsor Group Ltd (ADN) AI Stock Analysis

SG:ADN

First Sponsor Group Ltd

(SGX:ADN)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:SGD 0.88â–¼(-8.50% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/29/26

First Sponsor Group scores low, driven primarily by deteriorating financial performance: a multi-year revenue decline, a swing to a S$191m trailing-twelve-month net loss, rising leverage (debt-to-equity up from 0.61 to 0.90) and negative returns on equity. Technicals reinforce the caution, with the price below all key moving averages and negative MACD, although a near-oversold RSI could support a short-term bounce. Valuation offers partial support through a 5.2% dividend yield and a solid gross margin above 40%, but the negative P/E and thin cash generation relative to a S$1.86bn debt load limit upside. A stabilisation in revenue and a return to profitability are needed before the outlook improves materially.

Positive Factors
Positive current cash generationTTM operating cash flow of ~48M and free cash flow of ~26M show the group is still generating cash despite its earnings setback. That provides some internal funding capacity for projects and obligations, although the uneven history means this support should not be assumed stable.
Negative Factors
Severe TTM profitability deteriorationThe swing to a large TTM loss and deeply negative margins indicates that current operations are not converting revenue into sustainable earnings. If this weakness persists, it can reduce reinvestment capacity, pressure returns on capital and weaken confidence in future project profitability.

First Sponsor Group Ltd (ADN) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%SG:ADN+0.31%EWS+13.63%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
SGD 1.09B
Dividend Yield
4.96%
Average Volume (3M)
9,803
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-5.4
Beta (1Y)
0.22
Revenue Growth
-8.05%
EPS Growth
-314.67%
Country
Singapore
Employees
1,370
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Development

First Sponsor Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

First Sponsor Group Limited, an investment holding entity headquartered in Singapore and established in 2007, primarily engages in real estate development, investment, and sales. The company's operations are divided into four main segments: Property...

How the Company Makes Money

The company primarily makes money through real estate development: acquiring land or development rights, funding and constructing property projects via its operating subsidiaries, and recognizing revenue when completed units/properties are sold and h...

First Sponsor Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are under clear pressure. Revenue has more than halved since 2021 to S$275m on a trailing-twelve-month basis, and the company has swung to a S$191m net loss with a negative operating result, implying sizeable write-downs and weak project economics (Income Statement score 24). The balance sheet is the relative bright spot but is deteriorating: equity of S$2.08bn still exceeds S$1.86bn of borrowings, yet debt-to-equity has jumped from 0.61 to 0.90, the asset base has shrunk and return on equity is negative at roughly -9% (Balance Sheet score 50). Cash flow is positive but thin and erratic, with S$48m operating cash flow and S$26m free cash flow against a S$1.86bn debt load (Cash Flow score 34). Healthy gross margins above 40% and cash generation despite accounting losses suggest much of the damage is non-cash, but the overall trajectory remains negative.

Income Statement

24Negative

Balance Sheet

50Neutral

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue274.55M291.71M317.56M282.93M427.49M589.17M
Gross Profit117.57M103.34M135.85M131.87M206.09M241.32M
EBITDA-42.04M23.48M221.09M124.50M259.51M244.45M
Net Income-190.58M-78.76M93.02M12.52M131.26M121.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.52B4.93B4.91B4.64B4.34B4.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments198.50M160.37M187.77M217.76M270.26M343.93M
Total Debt1.86B1.78B1.39B1.35B1.10B1.20B
Total Liabilities2.37B2.87B2.54B2.55B2.41B2.32B
Stockholders Equity2.08B1.95B2.27B1.97B1.81B1.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow25.91M-2.51M13.90M-431.58M273.23M-160.78M
Operating Cash Flow48.44M17.86M24.40M-397.50M285.42M-152.91M
Investing Cash Flow-18.16M-107.39M-105.62M-105.21M-487.57M-189.37M
Financing Cash Flow7.76M60.56M92.54M415.13M150.13M221.45M

First Sponsor Group Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price0.96

Price Trends

50DMA0.97Negative
100DMA0.98Negative
200DMA0.98Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI54.18Neutral
STOCH36.36Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:ADN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.95, below the 50-day MA of 0.97, and below the 200-day MA of 0.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SG:ADN.

First Sponsor Group Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

SG:ADN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
SG:H13SG:H1357NeutralSGD 1.26B12.432.68%2.63%5.35%-32.58%
SG:B61SG:B6156NeutralSGD 1.14B8.767.90%5.00%-37.17%12.57%
SG:W05SG:W0554NeutralSGD 1.07B45.100.80%2.14%168.17%―
SG:5UXSG:5UX43NeutralSGD 309.11M-6.10-6.17%―-47.76%-721.43%
SG:ADNSG:ADN42NeutralSGD 1.16B-5.38-9.19%4.96%-8.05%-314.67%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%SG:ADNSG:B61SG:5UXSG:H13SG:W05Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SG:ADN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SG:ADNFirst Sponsor Group Ltd0.960.000.31%
SG:B61Bukit Sembawang Estates Limited4.400.399.70%
SG:5UXOxley Holdings Ltd.0.07-0.03-25.77%
SG:H13Ho Bee Land Limited1.90-0.28-12.76%
SG:W05Wing Tai Holdings Limited1.400.021.45%

First Sponsor Group Ltd Corporate Events

First Sponsor Group Details Use of Warrant Proceeds and Corrects FY2025 Data

Sep 7, 2026

First Sponsor Group Ltd has updated investors on how it is deploying approximately S$81.2 million of cash proceeds from the recent exercise of 75,215,849 Warrants (2020) into new ordinary shares between 13 March and 7 September 2026. The move reflect...

First Sponsor Appeals Court Rulings Over Humen Oasis Mansion Units

Aug 3, 2026

First Sponsor Group Limited has announced that its subsidiaries filed appeals on 3 August 2026 with the Dongguan Intermediate People’s Court, challenging judgments issued by the Dongguan No. 2 People’s Court concerning the group’s r...

First Sponsor Faces Court Setback and Impairment on China Housing Project

Jul 21, 2026

First Sponsor Group Ltd has reported that its subsidiaries received unfavourable court judgments in China concerning residential units in the Humen Oasis Mansion Project. The Dongguan No. 2 People’s Court found malicious collusion between the g...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 29, 2026