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Taylor Wimpey (TWN) AI Stock Analysis

MX:TWN

Taylor Wimpey

(BMV:TWN)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Very low leverageMinimal leverage and sharply reduced debt provide financial flexibility through the housing cycle. This strengthens Taylor Wimpey’s capacity to fund land, construction and remediation obligations while absorbing weaker trading conditions without relying heavily on external financing.
Negative Factors
Sustained margin compressionThe substantial decline in profit and margins shows that revenue recovery has not restored prior earnings power. A lower margin base reduces cash available for land investment and shareholder returns, while leaving results more sensitive to execution and cost changes.

Taylor Wimpey Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Taylor Wimpey Plc operates as a residential developer. It engages in land acquisition, home and community design, urban regeneration and the development of supporting infrastructure. It operates through the United Kingdom and Housing Spain segments....

Taylor Wimpey Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026(Q2-2026)|Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call balanced clear operational progress — outlet growth, planning momentum, WIP improvements, disciplined procurement and a resilient balance sheet — against notable near-term headwinds: margin and profit declines, pricing weakness, rising build cost inflation, a reduced shareholder distribution policy and a downgraded completions range. Management emphasized disciplined execution and capital efficiency to preserve value and position the business for a medium-term recovery, but near-term financial metrics remain under pressure.

Positive Updates

Revenue and Sales Orders
Group revenue increased to GBP 1.68bn in H1 2026 and the order book at 28 June stood at GBP 1.9bn representing 6,882 homes; private average selling price (ASP) rose (private ASP c. GBP 371,000, up from GBP 350,000 year-on-year) and blended U.K. ASP excluding JVs increased 6.7% to GBP 334,000.

Negative Updates

Margin and Profit Declines
Gross profit decreased to GBP 254m, down 10% year-on-year; gross margin fell 200 basis points to 15.1%; adjusted operating profit fell to GBP 130m from GBP 161m (down ~19%), with adjusted operating margin down 200 basis points to 7.7%.

Company Guidance

The company updated guidance that U.K. completions are now expected to be 10,600–10,800 homes, with blended U.K. average selling prices ~1% ahead of last year (affordable c.21% of completions) even as underlying pricing runs c.2% below prior year and was c.1.5% down in H1; build cost inflation is now expected to be c.3–4% for the full year (2.5% in H1). H1 financials included group revenue £1.68bn, gross profit £254m (15.1% gross margin, -200bps), adjusted operating profit £130m (7.7% margin, -200bps), and an H1 order book of £1.9bn (6,882 homes). Operational and balance-sheet metrics/guidance include average outlets 219 in H1 (39 openings vs 32 last year), WIP per outlet down 6% to c.£9.3m, net private sales rate 0.75/site/week (vs 0.79, -5%), cancellation rate 14%, H1 cash generation from adjusted operating profit £130m and cash from operations £52m, net cash down to £169m at H1 and expected to reach ~£250m year‑end (assuming ~£100m cladding outflows), JV profit guidance £4m for the year, remediation spend expected ~£100m (H1 £36m), and a revised distribution policy of 4% of NAV (2% ordinary dividend plus 2% buybacks/incrementals) down from 7.5%.

Taylor Wimpey Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

Financial Indicators

MX:TWN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

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