Teekay (TKN) AI Stock Analysis

Teekay

(BMV:TKN)

Rating:―N/A

Action:N/A

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Positive Factors

Earnings ExpansionThe sharp improvement in revenue, net margin, and operating profitability shows materially stronger earnings power entering the next several quarters. If operating conditions remain supportive, these gains can fund fleet investment, strengthen resilience, and improve Teekay’s ability to capture attractive tanker-market opportunities.

Negative Factors

Cyclical EarningsThe history of revenue declines and severe operating losses demonstrates that Teekay’s earnings remain highly sensitive to tanker-market conditions. Current profitability may therefore normalize materially when rates weaken, making results less predictable and potentially reducing cash available for investment or distributions.

Teekay (TKN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap: MXN 1.30B
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): ―
Price to Earnings (P/E): 5.4
Beta (1Y): 0.16
Revenue Growth: 5.21%
EPS Growth: 108.16%
Country: Mexico
Employees: 2,130
Sector: Energy
Sector Strength: 65
Industry: Oil & Gas Midstream

Teekay Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Teekay Corporation specializes in global marine transportation, primarily handling crude oil and various other maritime cargo. The company offers a wide range of services, including ship-to-ship transfers for the oil, gas, and dry bulk industries, as...

Teekay Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:0.00%|Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2025

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call emphasized exceptionally strong near-term financial and operational performance — record adjusted net income, record spot rates, substantial free cash flow, a debt-free balance sheet and active fleet renewal — which materially strengthen Teekay Tankers' financial flexibility and shareholder optionality. However, material risks were highlighted: significant geopolitical disruptions that are creating routing inefficiencies and volatility, inventory and demand timing uncertainty, short-term off-hire impacts from dry-docking, and potential longer-term fleet supply risks from a swollen order book. On balance, the company's strong earnings, cash generation and balance sheet position outweigh the operational and market risks discussed.

Positive Updates

Record Quarterly Earnings

GAAP net income of $226 million ($6.49/share) and adjusted net income of $194 million ($5.56/share) in Q2 2026 — adjusted net income was 50% higher than the prior quarter and marks the company's highest ever quarterly adjusted net income.

Negative Updates

Aframax Mid-Quarter Softening and Volatility

Aframax rates softened mid-quarter due to a buildup of tonnage in the Atlantic and lack of arbitrage opportunities, causing a divergence versus Suezmax and VLCC segments before rates strengthened again in July.

Company Guidance

Guidance highlights: for Q3 Teekay Tankers has ~44% of spot days booked at secured rates of $104,800/day (Suezmax) and $59,900/day (Aframax LR2); management expects ~260 off‑hire drydock days in Q3, OpEx and G&A to be ~$3m lower versus Q2 with slightly lower tax expense, and the July VLCC sale of $84.5m is expected to produce a ~$23m gain in Q3; the company declared its regular quarterly dividend of $0.25/share and closed Q2 with GAAP net income of $226m ($6.49/share), adjusted net income of $194m ($5.56/share), ~ $200m free cash flow from operations in Q2, an annualized H1 free cash flow run‑rate of $684m (nearly $20/share), cash > $1.2bn and no debt, and a free cash flow breakeven of ≈$9,700/day—while continuing fleet renewal (two Suezmax newbuilds for $190m delivering 2027; one 2009 Suezmax sold for $53.5m with a $32.3m gain in Q2; nine older vessels sold for $369.5m with $125m combined gains over the past 12 months; seven modern vessels acquired/committed for ≈$427m).

Teekay Risk Analysis

Teekay disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Teekay reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Finance & Corporate16
Tech & Innovation4
Legal & Regulatory14
Production8
Ability to Sell8
Macro & Political9

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk

1.The use of artificial intelligence in our operations may not result in expected benefits, and the use of artificial intelligence by any of our competitors may give them advantages relative to us.Q4, 2025

Teekay Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

MX:TKN against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
IMPP	85Outperform	$232.21M	2.44	16.62%	―	89.03%	80.68%
LPG	79Outperform	$2.33B	7.20	28.44%	7.26%	81.06%	556.47%
TEN	71Outperform	$1.59B	5.45	16.94%	3.71%	23.23%	252.83%
GLNG	66Neutral	$4.72B	28.90	8.62%	2.16%	94.64%	―
Sector *	65Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
RBNE	55Neutral	$184.66K	0.01	9.00%	―	―	―

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

MX:TKN and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
MX:TKN	Teekay Corporation	175.00	24.97	16.64%
GLNG	Golar LNG Limited	46.24	5.91	14.64%
TEN	Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited	53.85	31.10	136.71%
LPG	Dorian LPG	54.43	27.55	102.48%
IMPP	Imperial Petroleum, Inc.	5.09	-0.53	-9.43%
RBNE	Robin Energy Ltd.	0.14	-89.11	-99.85%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Teekay AI Stock Analysis