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COPT Defense Properties (CDP) AI Stock Analysis

MX:CDP

COPT Defense Properties

(BMV:CDP)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Mission-critical demand and high occupancyConcentration in defense and government technology markets supports durable demand for specialized space, while high leasing and occupancy levels demonstrate current portfolio utilization. This positioning can help sustain recurring rent revenue and reduce exposure to weaker general-office conditions.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverageElevated leverage leaves the company more sensitive to refinancing conditions and interest costs, which can constrain financial flexibility. It may also limit the ability to fund development, acquisitions, or shareholder returns internally if operating performance weakens.

COPT Defense Properties (CDP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%MX:CDP0.00%SPY+13.13%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 3.78B
Dividend Yield
3.79%
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
22.2
Beta (1Y)
-0.05
Revenue Growth
-3.88%
EPS Growth
1.66%
Country
Mexico
Employees
430
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
REIT - Office

COPT Defense Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

COPT is a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) that focuses on the ownership, management, leasing, development, and strategic acquisition of office and data center assets. The majority of its portfolio is dedicated to serving the United States Governm...

COPT Defense Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.00%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, with management reporting FFO and same-property NOI outperformance, robust vacancy leasing, raised 2026 guidance, high occupancy, significant development demand, expanded Redstone Gateway capacity, and a supportive defense-spending backdrop. The principal challenges were higher interest expense and financing rates, exchangeable-note dilution, lower retention guidance resulting from strategic space recaptures, modest lease-rate and occupancy declines, and delayed noncore asset dispositions. Management characterized the underlying business strategy, tenant demand, balance sheet, and execution outlook as strong.

Positive Updates

FFO and Same-Property NOI Outperformance
Third-quarter FFO per share was $0.71, $0.02 above the midpoint of guidance and up 2.9% year over year. Same-property cash NOI increased 3.2% year over year and 5.3% during the first 9 months.

Negative Updates

Lower Tenant Retention Guidance from Strategic Recaptures
Although tenant retention was tracking to 84%, the company reduced the midpoint of its guidance by 250 basis points to 80% after creating an opportunity to recapture space from three suboptimal tenants and release it to higher-value tenants. Quarterly tenant retention was 70%, with the three recapture activities reducing the quarter's retention result by 11 percentage points.

Company Guidance

For 2026, COPT Defense increased the midpoint of FFO per share as adjusted for comparability to $2.80 per share, same property cash NOI growth to 4.25%, capital committed to new investments to $375 million, and capital invested in development and acquisitions to $240 million; it reduced the midpoint of tenant retention guidance by 250 basis points to a still very strong 80% and increased the vacancy leasing target to 625 thousand square feet. Management expects FFO per share growth of nearly 3% in 2026, or roughly 4% this year excluding the increased dilution from exchangeable notes, and expects same property occupancy to end the year at roughly 94%; it also expects lease activity at 410 Goss Road sometime in 2027.

COPT Defense Properties Risk Analysis

COPT Defense Properties disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. COPT Defense Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

COPT Defense Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

MX:CDP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
PDMPDM69Neutral$1.19B-13.52-5.98%―2.85%-25.01%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
DEADEA61Neutral$1.06B73.361.10%8.06%11.40%-2.83%
HIWHIW61Neutral$3.42B18.337.89%6.46%5.59%45.12%
VNOVNO61Neutral$7.03B1118.121.14%2.14%1.37%-99.27%
BXPBXP58Neutral$11.15B33.765.80%4.46%1.88%7630.99%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%MX:CDPBXPHIWVNOPDMDEADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:CDP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:CDPCopt Defense Properties500.000.000.00%
BXPBXP62.80-3.82-5.73%
HIWHighwoods Properties30.984.5717.29%
VNOVornado Realty Trust34.55-0.53-1.52%
PDMPiedmont Office Realty Trust9.601.5318.96%
DEAEasterly Government Properties Inc.22.332.5512.87%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.