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Hikari Food Service Co. Ltd. (138A) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:138A

Hikari Food Service Co. Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:138A)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:JPY 3,152.00▲(3.01% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The overall score is driven mainly by solid top-line growth and improved leverage, tempered by weaker profitability trends and inconsistent free cash flow. Technical indicators are broadly neutral with slightly negative momentum, while valuation appears moderate-to-premium given recent margin pressure and only a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthRevenue expansion across 2022–2025 indicates the restaurant platform has been adding sales at a meaningful pace, supporting scale and brand reach. If sustained, this top-line momentum can provide a base for operating leverage and continued investment in the business.
Negative Factors
Margin CompressionRecent margin erosion shows that strong sales growth is not translating proportionately into earnings. Net margins near 3–4% leave less room to absorb cost increases or pricing pressure, making sustained profitability dependent on restoring operating efficiency over the coming periods.

Hikari Food Service Co. Ltd. (138A) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:138A+9.34%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 3.03B
Dividend Yield
1.31%
Average Volume (3M)
3,061
Price to Earnings (P/E)
24.4
Beta (1Y)
0.40
Revenue Growth
11.80%
EPS Growth
-3.06%
Country
Japan
Employees
176
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

Hikari Food Service Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hikari Food Service Co., Ltd. engages in food and beverage business in Japan. It operates standing bars under the Tachinomi Yakiton Daikoku, Fish camellia, and Kanayama family names; and direct store of a meat wholesaler under the Yakiniku Marui Butc...

Hikari Food Service Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue expansion and meaningful deleveraging support the business, but the score is held back by material margin compression since 2023 and uneven cash-flow quality (negative free cash flow in 2024 and only modestly positive in 2025).

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

60Neutral

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMNov 2025Nov 2024Nov 2023Nov 2022Nov 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.07B2.86B2.57B2.23B1.68B868.43M
Gross Profit2.24B2.10B1.88B1.61B1.22B608.17M
EBITDA346.59M286.83M275.77M342.24M188.86M148.44M
Net Income151.10M102.46M100.33M201.04M62.88M40.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.88B2.65B2.41B1.76B1.87B1.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.60B1.39B1.32B862.24M935.04M819.17M
Total Debt929.75M830.76M749.02M986.82M1.34B1.40B
Total Liabilities1.48B1.34B1.16B1.40B1.71B1.67B
Stockholders Equity1.41B1.31B1.25B363.89M162.85M104.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow206.08M45.50M-32.62M300.94M197.24M-147.97M
Operating Cash Flow210.79M290.25M209.01M373.05M389.03M28.69M
Investing Cash Flow-60.19M23.46M-306.29M-83.33M-327.34M-284.71M
Financing Cash Flow58.56M40.51M526.96M-362.52M-55.82M181.15M

Hikari Food Service Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price3060.00

Price Trends

50DMA3093.68Negative
100DMA3045.30Positive
200DMA3005.70Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-5.04Negative
RSI47.87Neutral
STOCH52.16Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:138A, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3060.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3057.95, below the 50-day MA of 3093.68, and above the 200-day MA of 3005.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -5.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:138A.

Hikari Food Service Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:138A against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8181JP:818178OutperformJPY 2.49B4.11―3.06%0.80%43.18%
JP:3077JP:307768NeutralJPY 8.27B14.93――――
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:138AJP:138A56NeutralJPY 3.04B24.39―1.31%11.80%-3.06%
JP:3358JP:335855NeutralJPY 3.13B42.79―1.16%49.12%274.67%
JP:3067JP:306746NeutralJPY 4.03B59.29――-1.19%―
JP:2762JP:276244NeutralJPY 2.55B-2.90――9.21%21.76%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%JP:138AJP:2762JP:3067JP:3077JP:3358JP:8181Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:138A and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:138AHikari Food Service Co. Ltd.3060.00270.319.69%
JP:2762Sanko Marketing Foods Co., Ltd.59.00-42.00-41.58%
JP:3067Tokyo Ichiban Foods Co., Ltd.452.00-1.00-0.22%
JP:3077Horiifoodservice Co., Ltd.1185.00584.0097.17%
JP:3358Y.S. FOOD CO., LTD.86.00-3.05-3.43%
JP:8181Totenko Co., Ltd.979.00-144.74-12.88%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026