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LFG Investment Holdings Limited (3938) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:3938

LFG Investment Holdings Limited

(HKEX:3938)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:HKD 2.50â–²(7.76% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/07/26

The score is primarily supported by improved 2026 operating results and a relatively conservative balance sheet, but is held back by weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD and very low RSI/Stoch) and an expensive valuation (P/E ~181.7) alongside historically volatile earnings and cash flow.

Positive Factors
Revenue reboundThe sharp 2026 revenue rebound indicates renewed business activity and improved operating traction after prior weakness. If the higher sales base persists, it can support stronger earnings capacity, improve resource absorption, and provide a foundation for rebuilding a more durable growth profile.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatilityRepeated swings between substantial losses and renewed profitability make the latest earnings recovery harder to treat as a stable trend. This inconsistency reduces confidence in earnings quality, complicates planning, and increases the risk that future results remain sensitive to changing business conditions.

LFG Investment Holdings Limited (3938) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%300%350%HK:3938+152.17%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 1.14B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
108.44K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
132.6
Beta (1Y)
0.92
Revenue Growth
78.73%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
44
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets

LFG Investment Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

LFG Investment Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a financial services provider primarily in Hong Kong. The company offers corporate finance advisory services, including IPO sponsorship, financial and independent financial a...

LFG Investment Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed: a strong 2026 rebound (revenue up ~72.8% and profitability returning) and a low-leverage balance sheet support the score, but multi-year losses and volatile profitability/cash flow (including a sharp 2026 free-cash-flow decline) reduce confidence in sustainability.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

61Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue67.37M67.37M25.17M94.17M42.83M78.14M
Gross Profit56.76M56.76M-9.10M40.20M42.83M29.85M
EBITDA14.82M14.82M-28.37M4.98M-11.54M6.44M
Net Income8.06M8.06M-35.00M-3.99M-22.68M-3.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets419.37M419.37M254.05M231.37M261.58M314.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments123.34M123.34M73.05M81.14M61.20M127.60M
Total Debt18.51M18.51M8.65M26.03M31.31M41.64M
Total Liabilities279.34M279.34M155.63M97.61M113.45M143.50M
Stockholders Equity140.03M140.03M98.42M132.94M147.08M169.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.09M11.09M31.97M40.98M-12.57M-7.44M
Operating Cash Flow12.68M12.68M33.14M42.33M-12.57M-7.10M
Investing Cash Flow-1.59M-1.59M-2.59M-1.35M0-3.73M
Financing Cash Flow24.97M24.97M-27.41M-20.75M-13.42M19.76M

LFG Investment Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price2.32

Price Trends

50DMA2.83Negative
100DMA3.15Negative
200DMA3.24Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.15Positive
RSI17.69Positive
STOCH14.04Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3938, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.54, below the 50-day MA of 2.83, and below the 200-day MA of 3.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 17.69 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.04 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:3938.

LFG Investment Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

HK:3938 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0335HK:033578OutperformHKD 1.77B19.703.13%3.03%-6.66%29.34%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
HK:1911HK:191165NeutralHKD 2.03B16.991.56%―16.75%―
HK:0064HK:006463NeutralHKD 2.46B46.060.80%1.25%-30.15%1.41%
HK:3938HK:393855NeutralHKD 1.14B132.575.89%―78.73%―
HK:0218HK:021849NeutralHKD 1.20B9.904.36%―200.24%―
HK:1141HK:114141NeutralHKD 685.61M3.9010.19%―21.19%94.57%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%HK:3938HK:1911HK:0335HK:1141HK:0218HK:0064Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:3938 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:3938LFG Investment Holdings Limited2.321.46169.77%
HK:1911China Renaissance Holdings 3.54-2.38-40.20%
HK:0335Upbest Group Limited0.660.011.54%
HK:1141CMBC Capital Holdings Limited0.63-0.49-43.69%
HK:0218Shenwan Hongyuan (H.K.) Limited0.77-0.86-52.76%
HK:0064Get Nice Holdings Limited3.982.52172.98%

LFG Investment Holdings Limited Corporate Events

LFG Extends Long Stop Date as Cash Offer Awaits SFC Approval

Oct 30, 2026

LFG Investment Holdings Limited and Fortune Origin International Capital (Holdings) Limited have issued a joint announcement regarding possible mandatory unconditional cash offers for all issued shares of LFG not already owned by the offeror and its...

LFG Extends Long Stop Date Again as SFC Approval Holds Up Takeover

Sep 30, 2026

LFG Investment Holdings Limited and its offeror, Fortune Origin International Capital (Holdings) Limited, have issued a joint update on the proposed mandatory unconditional cash offers to acquire all issued shares not already owned by the offeror and...

LFG Extends Share Purchase Long Stop Date as Mandatory Cash Offers Progress

Aug 31, 2026

LFG Investment Holdings Limited and its offeror, Fortune Origin International Capital (Holdings) Limited, have issued a joint announcement on the proposed mandatory unconditional cash offers for all issued shares of LFG not already owned by the offer...

LFG Investment Wins Unanimous Shareholder Backing at 2026 AGM

Aug 25, 2026

Shareholders of LFG Investment Holdings Limited approved all resolutions at the annual general meeting held on August 25, 2026, with 376,993,981 shares voting and no opposition recorded. The meeting adopted the audited financial statements for the ye...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2026