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Vico International Holdings Ltd. (1621) AI Stock Analysis

HK:1621

Vico International Holdings Ltd.

(HKEX:1621)

Select Model
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:HKD 0.23â–²(5.41% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/10/26

Vico International scores below average, driven primarily by weak fundamentals: ultra-thin margins (net margin ~1.2%), declining revenue, modest ROE of ~6.5%, and volatile cash generation in a cyclical refining and marketing industry. This is partially offset by a conservatively managed balance sheet with low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.13) and steadily growing equity. Technicals are the most favourable element, with the share price trading above all major moving averages and momentum still neutral rather than stretched. Valuation is unremarkable — a 12.9x P/E with no dividend offers limited compensation for the low-growth, commodity-exposed profile. Earnings call and corporate event components were excluded due to lack of data, with their weight redistributed proportionally.

Positive Factors
Declining LeverageThe sustained reduction in debt-to-equity indicates a more conservative capital structure and lower reliance on borrowing. This improves financial flexibility, reduces balance-sheet pressure during weaker trading periods, and gives the company greater capacity to fund operations or pursue opportunities over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionRepeated revenue declines and volatile growth indicate inconsistent demand or business activity, limiting visibility into the company’s expansion trajectory. A shrinking sales base can make fixed costs harder to absorb, reduce operating leverage, and constrain the resources available for durable growth over coming quarters.

Vico International Holdings Ltd. (1621) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%HK:1621+126.00%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 226.00M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
643.47K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.1
Beta (1Y)
0.21
Revenue Growth
-15.39%
EPS Growth
29.03%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
28
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Vico International Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vico International Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company with a primary focus on distributing third-party branded petrochemicals across key markets including Hong Kong, Macau, Vietnam, and Malaysia. Its product offerings include...

Vico International Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak overall. The income statement (35) shows razor-thin gross margins (~3.8% in FY2026), net margins near 1.2%, and revenue declining ~8.8% to HK$1.31 billion after peaking in FY2024, reflecting limited pricing power in a cyclical, commodity-linked business. Cash flow (42) is volatile — free cash flow fell ~42% to HK$25.3 million in FY2026 after a strong FY2025, though FCF still broadly covers net income. The balance sheet (55) is the clear strength: debt reduced to HK$33.1 million, debt-to-equity of just 0.13, and equity steadily growing to HK$248.4 million. However, ROE of only ~6.5% signals low returns on that conservative capital base.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

42Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.31B1.31B1.54B1.60B1.02B1.37B
Gross Profit49.03M49.03M45.91M48.34M44.69M43.48M
EBITDA28.07M28.22M26.53M33.51M25.13M24.11M
Net Income16.03M16.03M12.35M16.93M8.80M9.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets298.44M298.44M287.29M273.17M260.82M267.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments99.59M99.59M83.01M39.95M42.16M54.63M
Total Debt33.06M33.06M40.04M35.16M46.30M63.37M
Total Liabilities50.04M50.04M54.92M53.15M57.73M73.67M
Stockholders Equity248.40M248.40M232.37M220.02M203.09M194.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow25.35M25.35M43.72M8.72M2.23M24.44M
Operating Cash Flow29.34M29.34M45.98M10.11M3.73M26.84M
Investing Cash Flow-35.23M-35.23M-15.83M3.91M-7.01M-38.94M
Financing Cash Flow-10.03M-10.03M-6.13M-12.60M-17.58M10.48M

Vico International Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price0.22

Price Trends

50DMA0.22Positive
100DMA0.20Positive
200DMA0.18Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.00Positive
RSI53.55Neutral
STOCH80.56Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1621, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.23, above the 50-day MA of 0.22, and above the 200-day MA of 0.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.56 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1621.

Vico International Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

HK:1621 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0135HK:013570OutperformHKD 65.30B10.187.89%5.14%6.16%-1.61%
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
HK:1621HK:162152NeutralHKD 226.00M14.136.52%―-15.39%29.03%
HK:0603HK:060350NeutralHKD 533.89M22.600.62%―-6.95%-85.71%
HK:0338HK:033847NeutralHKD 30.30B406.670.36%1.77%-5.52%-518.88%
HK:0332HK:033239UnderperformHKD 47.52M-0.2112.88%―-23.24%91.43%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%HK:1621HK:0135HK:0603HK:0338HK:0852HK:0332Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:1621 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:1621Vico International Holdings Ltd.0.230.13126.00%
HK:0135KUNLUN ENERGY7.580.7410.83%
HK:0603China Oil & Gas Group 0.11-0.07-36.87%
HK:0338Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Class H1.23-0.12-8.89%
HK:0852Strong Petrochemical Holdings Limited0.190.0215.06%
HK:0332Yuan Heng Gas Holdings Ltd0.12-0.26-68.16%

Vico International Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Vico International Wins Unanimous Shareholder Backing at 2026 AGM

Sep 11, 2026

Vico International Holdings Ltd. reported that all resolutions at its annual general meeting on 11 September 2026 were approved by shareholders. The audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 March 2026 were received, and the com...

Vico International Faces Temporary Governance Shortfalls After Director Resignation

Aug 5, 2026

Vico International Holdings Limited has announced the resignation of independent non-executive director Ms. Ng Wing Sze Vince, effective 5 August 2026, due to personal and business commitments. Her departure also ends her membership in the audit, rem...

Vico International Details Board and Committee Structure

Aug 5, 2026

Vico International Holdings Limited, incorporated in the Cayman Islands and listed in Hong Kong under stock code 1621, is led by a board that includes both executive and independent non-executive directors. This structure aligns with standard governa...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 10, 2026