TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Genius Group Limited (GNS) AI Stock Analysis

GNS

Genius Group Limited

(NYSE MKT:GNS)

Select Model
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:$0.11â–¼(-5.00% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/06/26

The overall score of 40 is driven primarily by severe structural unprofitability, a highly distressed valuation, and a massive decline in core segment revenues. Persistent negative cash flows and a reliance on equity dilution present extreme operational risks. While technicals show a mild short-term stabilization, the stock's long-term trend remains deeply bearish, cementing its highly speculative and risky profile.

Positive Factors
Revenue reboundThe sharp increase in continuing-operations revenue indicates that the reorganized business can regain scale after portfolio changes. If sustained, stronger demand across schools, resorts, and learning offerings could improve operating leverage and provide a broader base for future investment.
Negative Factors
Severe profitability deteriorationThe margin collapse and very large net loss show that revenue growth has not translated into a scalable cost structure. Persistently weak economics could consume future capital, limit reinvestment capacity, and make the company’s recovery dependent on substantial operational improvement.

Genius Group Limited Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue By Segment

$0.00$2.50M$5.00M$7.50M$10.00M$12.50MJun 22Dec 22Jun 23Dec 23Jun 24Dec 24Jun 25
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Genius Group Limited (GNS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%GNS-83.78%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$23.07M
Dividend Yield
166.67%
Average Volume (3M)
7.66M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.5
Beta (1Y)
2.34
Revenue Growth
106.42%
EPS Growth
56.99%
Country
US
Employees
445
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Education & Training Services

Genius Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Genius Group Limited (GNS), through its various subsidiaries, is dedicated to empowering entrepreneurs by providing a comprehensive education system, practical business development utilities, and specialized management advisory services. These offeri...

How the Company Makes Money

Genius Group primarily generates revenue by selling education and training products and services. Key revenue streams include (1) direct-to-consumer sales of courses, workshops, certifications, and coaching/training programs (delivered online, in-per...

Genius Group Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 08, 2026(Q4-2025)|% Change Since:-73.80%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 29, 2022
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a mix of strong operational progress and material legacy issues. Positives include rapid pro forma revenue growth (80% YoY), a 1,053% increase in revenue per paying student, Q4 operational profitability across the three business units, improved cash flow (cash used in operations down 76%), asset growth (~37%), accretive acquisitions, and affirmative 2026 guidance to $20M–$22M revenue with positive EBITDA. Negatives are significant: a $56M reported net loss driven by $42.9M of noncash impairments and restructuring, an adjusted EBITDA loss of $13.1M for 2025, ongoing material litigation (including arbitration and a $1B RICO/class action exposure), and execution/timing risks related to scaling Genius City and converting a large free user base to sustained premium revenue. Overall the company is showing operational turnaround signs and credible growth targets, but financial results remain impacted by legacy charges and legal uncertainty.

Positive Updates

Strong Pro Forma Revenue Growth
Pro forma revenue for 2025 was $13.6M, an 80% increase year‑over‑year versus 2024 (pro forma basis). Audited revenue was $8.4M (up from $7.6M in 2024). 2026 guidance targets $20M–$22M (≈48% growth vs 2025 pro forma).

Negative Updates

Large Reported Net Loss and Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Reported net loss for 2025 was $56M, which includes $42.9M of noncash items (asset impairments, restructuring, provisions, share‑based compensation). Adjusted EBITDA loss was approximately $13.1M for the year.

Company Guidance

Management guided 2026 revenue of $20–22 million and positive operational EBITDA of $1.5–2.0 million, with all three business units forecast to be profitable (Genius School > $6M, Genius Academy > $6M, Genius Resorts > $8M). That outlook builds on 2025 pro forma revenue of $13.6M (up 80% YoY) and audited revenue $8.4M, pro forma gross profit $4.9M, a Q4 2025 shift to operational profitability, 6.1M students (from 5.8M), revenue per paying student $1,856 (up 1,053% from $161), total assets ~$137M and shareholders’ equity ~$96–97M. Additional disclosed metrics included an adjusted EBITDA loss of $13.1M and reported net loss of $56M (including $42.9M non‑cash), cash used in operations down to $10.6M from $46.3M (a 76% reduction), Genius Resorts revenue of $2.2M in five months (targeting >$8M in 2026), Genius City project cost $28.3M with target $19.8M annual revenue and $5.8M operating profit, sale of 102.6 BTC for ~$7.3M (reducing a BTC loan to $3.3M), ongoing legal actions seeking over $1B, ASX dual‑listing in process, and a $0.10/share Bitcoin loyalty program covering 17.3M Vstock‑held shares.

Genius Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Genius Group exhibits severe structural unprofitability, persistent cash burn, and collapsing gross margins (down to 13.4%). Furthermore, KPI data reveals a steady revenue decline across the Digital and In-Person Education segments, with the Campus segment ceasing revenue generation entirely in mid-2024. While the balance sheet shows low debt, it is precariously sustained by shareholder dilution rather than organic growth or retained earnings.

Income Statement

15Very Negative

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

12Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.20M8.39M7.91M23.06M18.19M12.78M
Gross Profit3.51M1.12M2.58M11.54M8.64M2.76M
EBITDA-8.00M-24.78M-23.98M220.76K-53.38M-2.67M
Net Income-3.98M-55.27M-24.88M-5.66M-55.25M-4.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets131.48M136.94M101.06M43.21M91.26M17.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.88M2.42M1.61M625.02K5.72M1.78M
Total Debt12.81M27.63M14.31M7.75M25.19M3.18M
Total Liabilities25.51M40.32M21.64M23.50M77.30M9.61M
Stockholders Equity98.87M89.25M73.78M14.03M7.16M3.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.23M-15.23M-46.85M-12.98M-9.48M-3.96M
Operating Cash Flow6.66M-13.31M-46.35M-12.41M-8.24M-3.08M
Investing Cash Flow-8.17M-2.21M-8.09M-2.84M-10.09M-882.11K
Financing Cash Flow1.48M16.60M55.36M9.85M21.94M3.10M

Genius Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.12

Price Trends

50DMA0.15Negative
100DMA0.17Negative
200DMA0.27Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Positive
RSI37.75Neutral
STOCH29.89Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.14, below the 50-day MA of 0.15, and below the 200-day MA of 0.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GNS.

Genius Group Limited Risk Analysis

Genius Group Limited disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genius Group Limited reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Genius Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

GNS against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
STGSTG60Neutral$29.38M0.6732.87%―-5.26%-3.04%
YQYQ55Neutral$29.17M-1.65-39.66%―80.33%31.05%
GNSGNS40Underperform$23.07M-0.51-14.33%166.67%106.42%56.99%
AACGAACG38Underperform$27.95M-1.96-70.90%―0.28%-32.56%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-75%-50%-25%0%GNSAACGSTGEDTKYQDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GNS and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GNSGenius Group Limited0.12-0.67-84.81%
AACGAta Creativity Global0.65-0.55-45.92%
STGSunlands Online Education Group2.30-4.20-64.62%
EDTKSkillful Craftsman Education Technology Ltd.0.94-0.15-13.76%
YQ17 Education & Technology Group, Inc.2.69-2.41-47.25%

Genius Group Limited Corporate Events

Genius Group Restructures Disputed Note Deal Through New US$6.25 Million Convertible Instrument

Oct 21, 2026

On October 21, 2026, Genius Group Limited reported that it has amended an April 16, 2026 share purchase agreement with Jewel Investments LLC involving a senior secured convertible promissory note tied to Jewel Bancorp Limited. The original US$11.5 mi...

Genius Group Swings Operating Units to Profit as H1 2026 Restructuring Cuts Debt and Narrows Losses

Sep 28, 2026

Genius Group reported unaudited results for the six months to June 30, 2026, showing a 140% jump in revenue from continuing operations to $6.2 million and a reversal to $6.4 million net profit from operating units, aided by acquisitions in resorts an...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 06, 2026