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Great Elm Group (GEG) AI Stock Analysis
Great Elm Group
(NASDAQ:GEG)
The overall score reflects improving revenue, cash flow, and a more recurring fee base offset by ongoing and volatile losses, weakening equity and assets, and inconsistent cash generation, while technicals are broadly neutral and valuation appears weak given negative earnings and no visible yield.
Great Elm Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Revenue By SegmentShows how revenue is distributed across different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Revenue is shifting from lumpy, one‑off drivers (property sales and volatile incentive fees) toward a steadier fee base: management, property/project management and admin fees have trended up, reflecting the Monomoy real‑estate buildout and growing recurring fee streams cited on the call. That reduces earnings volatility and supports management’s NAV‑first strategy, but the collapse of incentive fees and continued AUM pressure mean near‑term upside from performance fees is unlikely—so investors should value steadier fee growth against reduced one‑time revenue spikes and mark‑to‑market risk.
The FlyGreat Elm Group (GEG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $67.76M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 11.79K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -1.9
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.25
- Revenue Growth
- 70.24%
- EPS Growth
- -341.49%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 52
- Sector
- Financial
- Sector Strength
- 68
- Industry
- Asset Management
Great Elm Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Great Elm Group, Inc., an asset management company, focuses on the credit, real estate, specialty finance, and other alternative strategies businesses. It also engages in business development and investment management activities. The company was form...
How the Company Makes Money
GEG primarily makes money through (1) asset management and advisory economics earned for managing third-party and affiliated investment vehicles and (2) returns generated from its own balance-sheet investments in credit-oriented assets/vehicles. Asse...
Great Elm Group Earnings Call Summary
The call presented a mix of strategic progress and near-term challenges. Management highlighted meaningful balance sheet improvements (deleveraging, no debt maturities until 2029), a deliberate shift into higher-quality first-lien secured credit (now ~75%), strong execution in the real estate platform (Monomoy acquisitions and fee growth), continued upside from CoreWeave, a healthy cash position (~$45.5M), and an active share repurchase program (total authorization $40M with ~$24.4M remaining). Offsetting these positives were significant noncash unrealized losses (~$9.8M) related to GECC holdings that contributed to a wider net loss ($13.5M), a negative adjusted EBITDA (−$1.6M), and declines in fee-paying AUM (−7%) and total AUM (−3%). Overall, strategic actions and liquidity position put the company on a constructive path, while sector volatility and mark-to-market impacts pressure near-term reported results.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that its near-term priority is to protect and grow NAV (ahead of income) while scaling fee‑paying AUM and its alternative credit and real estate platforms; key metrics cited include $45.5M of cash and cash equivalents, estimated fee‑paying AUM of $528M (AUM $744M), Q3 revenue of $3.4M (+7% YoY), a Q3 net loss of $13.5M (vs. $4.5M) largely from $9.8M of unrealized losses, adjusted EBITDA of -$1.6M (vs. +$0.5M), and nearly 75% of GECC’s corporate credit in first‑lien positions after calling/repurchasing all near‑term funded debt and leaving GECC with no debt maturities until 2029; other metrics tied to the strategy include the Great Elm Credit Income Fund remaining ~$7M invested after a >20% net return through 3/31/26, Monomoy CRE fees of ~ $1M (+>20% YoY), Monomoy REIT deploying ~$28M across 5 acquisitions, Monomoy Construction Services adding $0.7M revenue, CoreWeave distributions of $6.8M on a $5M investment, and an expanded $40M buyback authorization (repurchased ~1.4M shares this quarter at $2.04 avg; 7.8M repurchased to‑date at $2 avg, $15.6M deployed, ~$24.4M remaining).
Great Elm Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Revenue and cash flow have improved and leverage is down, but persistent large and volatile losses, a shrinking equity base, and lumpy cash generation create a mixed and higher‑risk financial profile despite a more recurring fee base.
Income Statement
42NeutralBalance Sheet
48NeutralCash Flow
58Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 27.78M | 27.78M | 16.32M | 17.83M | 8.66M | 4.52M |
| Gross Profit | -935.00K | -6.35M | -108.00K | 977.00K | -1.53M | -2.10M |
| EBITDA | -31.88M | -12.71M | 21.04M | 4.60M | 21.91M | -13.15M |
| Net Income | -35.44M | -35.44M | 12.89M | -1.39M | 27.73M | -14.89M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 113.68M | 113.68M | 153.94M | 140.45M | 135.89M | 168.09M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 91.55M | 91.55M | 109.45M | 116.50M | 117.37M | 72.12M |
| Total Debt | 64.39M | 64.39M | 62.59M | 61.18M | 63.44M | 70.80M |
| Total Liabilities | 72.88M | 72.88M | 73.27M | 70.25M | 72.05M | 125.83M |
| Stockholders Equity | 40.81M | 40.81M | 70.32M | 62.71M | 63.84M | 33.50M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 15.68M | 11.88M | -9.01M | -15.55M | -2.43M | 28.45M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 15.68M | 11.88M | -9.01M | -15.55M | -2.37M | 29.28M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 12.57M | 12.57M | -1.34M | 2.27M | 83.96M | -40.02M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -5.37M | -5.37M | -8.77M | 2.84M | -47.62M | 9.95M |
Great Elm Group Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.16, below the 50-day MA of 2.16, and above the 200-day MA of 2.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GEG.
Great Elm Group Risk Analysis
Great Elm Group disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Great Elm Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
0 New RisksGreat Elm Group Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
- GEG49Neutral
RDGT33Underperform
Financial Indicators
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEG | Great Elm Group, Inc. | 2.19 | -0.26 | -10.61% | |
| RDGT | Ridgetech, Inc. | 0.81 | -278.19 | -99.71% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Sep 24, 2026