Morgan Advanced Materials (BA05) AI Stock Analysis

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Morgan Advanced Materials

(LSE:BA05)

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Rating:60Neutral

Price Target:GBX 70.00▲(5.26% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:11/07/26

The score is primarily constrained by declining financial performance, margin pressure, leverage, and weak technical momentum. Low valuation provides substantial support, while the latest earnings call indicates credible operational improvement plans but only modest near-term growth and continued execution risks.

Positive Factors

Technical Ceramics growth and margin improvementTechnical Ceramics is showing strong demand and improving profitability in a specialized business serving aerospace and industrial gas turbines. Its 39% aerospace and defense revenue exposure and higher margins support a durable mix advantage and provide a platform for continued earnings growth.

Negative Factors

Revenue softness and sharp profit declineRecent deterioration in sales and net income indicates that earnings momentum is not yet dependable. A weaker revenue base reduces operating leverage and leaves less room to absorb cost pressure, making sustained recovery dependent on demand improvement and successful efficiency actions.

Morgan Advanced Materials (BA05) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Market Cap: GBP 0
Dividend Yield: 827.07%
Average Volume (3M): ―
Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.1
Beta (1Y): 0.21
Revenue Growth: ―
EPS Growth: ―
Country: UK
Employees: 8,100
Sector: Basic Materials
Sector Strength: 61
Industry: Industrial - Machinery

Morgan Advanced Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Morgan Advanced Materials PLC is a British enterprise specializing in the production of a diverse portfolio of advanced, high-performance materials. Its extensive product catalog encompasses high-temperature insulation, engineered to minimize energy...

Morgan Advanced Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:0.00%|Next Earnings Date:Jul 26, 2018

Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call balanced clear operational and commercial progress with a number of near-term headwinds. Positive elements include revenue momentum, strong performance in Technical Ceramics, tangible site turnaround metrics (reduced lead times and sales gains), procurement and simplification plans, and a path to the 12% margin target by 2028. However, the H1 results were materially supported by a one-off GBP 8.9m take-or-pay payment, underlying margin remains below target, there are ongoing restructuring and ERP costs, soft European industrial demand and some operational setbacks in Thermal. Management provided concrete initiatives and guidance to address these issues and expects improving leverage and positive free cash flow by end-2027, but near-term growth is modest (c. 2% FY organic growth). Overall, positives and negatives are both substantive and roughly balanced.

Positive Updates

Revenue Growth (H1 2026)

Group revenue of GBP 518.0m, up 4.8% on an organic constant currency basis. Excluding a GBP 8.9m take-or-pay phasing benefit, revenue grew 3.0% on a constant currency basis.

Negative Updates

One-off Take-or-Pay Benefit

GBP 8.9m phasing benefit from a take-or-pay arrangement with a semiconductor customer materially boosted H1 revenue and added ~160 basis points to margin; this benefit will not repeat in H2, and management adjusted underlying growth metrics to exclude it.

Company Guidance

The management reiterated full-year 2026 guidance of around 2% organic constant‑currency revenue growth and said H2 adjusted operating margin should be broadly in line with H1 excluding the one‑off £8.9m take‑or‑pay phasing benefit (H1 revenue £518m; H1 headline adjusted operating profit £57.8m; H1 adjusted margin 11.2% or 9.6% excluding the £8.9m), and reaffirmed the goal of 12% operating margin by 2028 (and 14% thereafter). Near‑term financial guidance includes simplification costs of ~£10m in 2026, ERP spend of £22–24m in 2026 (program winding down toward end‑2027), capital expenditure ~£50m in 2026 (weighted to H2) and ~£50m/1.2x depreciation for the next 3 years, a net finance charge of ~£24m, an effective tax rate of 27–29%, year‑end leverage c.1.7x (net debt £253m at H1 = 2x EBITDA; target 1–1.5x), and positive free cash flow expected by end‑2027; interim dividend held at 5.4p.

Morgan Advanced Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue, net income, and margins have weakened materially, while leverage has increased relative to equity. Positive operating cash flow, positive profitability, and a stable asset base provide partial support.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	992.10M	996.60M	1.10B	1.11B	1.11B	950.50M
Gross Profit	87.50M	198.30M	813.20M	120.80M	244.70M	207.10M
EBITDA	130.10M	212.00M	150.00M	138.60M	188.10M	156.30M
Net Income	18.40M	21.10M	50.30M	47.30M	88.00M	73.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.05B	984.80M	1.08B	1.02B	1.03B	925.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	153.10M	126.50M	118.60M	124.50M	117.70M	127.30M
Total Debt	405.80M	360.70M	393.70M	356.80M	318.10M	223.80M
Total Liabilities	697.60M	635.90M	687.80M	626.10M	602.30M	575.80M
Stockholders Equity	319.10M	316.60M	353.70M	360.30M	389.00M	310.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	54.80M	53.50M	17.20M	18.10M	-37.40M	74.60M
Operating Cash Flow	94.70M	120.60M	113.30M	78.50M	20.60M	106.20M
Investing Cash Flow	-28.80M	-55.00M	-86.00M	-60.20M	-57.00M	-13.90M
Financing Cash Flow	-46.40M	-99.50M	-33.00M	-2.00M	23.40M	-112.20M

Morgan Advanced Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

GB:BA05 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
GB:ROR	78Outperform	GBP 4.02B	33.14	21.48%	1.69%	2.22%	25.89%
GB:BOY	70Outperform	GBP 1.56B	27.01	9.30%	2.54%	1.68%	111.96%
GB:IMI	70Outperform	GBP 6.83B	21.28	32.41%	1.21%	7.67%	45.97%
GB:GDWN	65Neutral	GBP 1.10B	41.42	22.78%	6.71%	―	―
Sector *	61Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
GB:SMIN	61Neutral	GBP 7.30B	4.28	92.97%	1.80%	-33.55%	4.29%
GB:BA05	60Neutral	GBP 757.38M	9.06	6.30%	827.07%	―	―

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

GB:BA05 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
GB:BA05	Morgan Advanced Materials (BA05)	66.50	-12.25	-15.56%
GB:BOY	Bodycote plc	918.50	334.81	57.36%
GB:GDWN	Goodwin plc	14580.00	-5339.37	-26.80%
GB:IMI	IMI plc	2916.00	512.76	21.34%
GB:ROR	Rotork (ROR)	493.40	169.53	52.34%
GB:SMIN	Smiths Group plc	2692.00	273.64	11.32%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026

Morgan Advanced Materials AI Stock Analysis