Casino, Guichard Perrachon AI Stock Analysis
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Casino, Guichard Perrachon (CO) AI Stock Analysis
Casino, Guichard Perrachon
(Paris:CO)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the company's poor financial performance and weak valuation metrics. The technical analysis further supports a bearish outlook, with the stock showing oversold conditions and negative momentum. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events does not alter the negative assessment.
Casino, Guichard Perrachon (CO) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)
- Market Cap
- EUR 64.26M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 226.58K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -0.2
- Beta (1Y)
- 1.68
- Revenue Growth
- -2.50%
- EPS Growth
- 27.06%
- Country
- France
- Employees
- 24,078
- Sector
- General
- Sector Strength
- 55
- Industry
- Grocery Stores
Casino, Guichard Perrachon Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. is a prominent food retail group, conducting its operations both within France and across various international markets. Its extensive retail footprint encompasses a diverse range of formats, including large-scale hype...
How the Company Makes Money
Casino generates revenue primarily through the sale of food and non-food products in its retail outlets. Its key revenue streams include the operation of hypermarkets, supermarkets, and convenience stores, which account for a significant portion of i...
Casino, Guichard Perrachon Earnings Call Summary
The call presents a balanced picture: clear operational progress with sales growth in several banners, double-digit adjusted EBITDA improvement, strong marketplace momentum at Cdiscount and continuing cost and capability initiatives. However, these positives are weighed against significant financial strain — a consolidated net loss, rising net debt, negative free cash flow, one-off restructuring charges, and near-term covenant/refinancing risks that may require waivers and could lead to shareholder dilution. Operationally the group is improving, but the capital structure and financial cost pressures remain material risks.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
The company guided that H1 2026 shows improving operating performance but remains dependent on a financial restructuring: group net sales ~EUR 4.0bn (+0.4% like‑for‑like), group adjusted EBITDA up ~14% (adjusted EBITDA reported ~EUR 326m) and EBITDA after leases doubled to EUR 109m (vs EUR 55m in H1 2025), consolidated net loss group share EUR ‑205m, free cash flow before financial expenses negative EUR ‑30m (improved by EUR +23m vs H1 2025), and net debt EUR 1.7bn (up EUR 197m vs Dec) with liquidity EUR 713m at end‑June (EUR 701m cash + EUR 12m undrawn overdrafts); brand metrics included Monoprix sales ~EUR 1.95bn (adj. EBITDA EUR 207m, +11%), Franprix ~EUR 755–760m (adj. EBITDA EUR 72m), Casino/Spar/Vival ~EUR 619–620m (LFL +3.5%, adj. EBITDA ~EUR 11m), Naturalia EUR 166m (LFL +5.7%, adj. EBITDA EUR 14m) and Cdiscount GMV EUR 1.3bn (+5.7%, marketplace 71% of GMV, net sales ~EUR 454m, adj. EBITDA EUR 29m); covenant position at end‑June showed total net leverage 6.47x (covenant adj. EBITDA EUR 242m, covenant net debt EUR 1.463bn) below the 6.88x threshold but the group expects to exceed the 6.11x trigger by end‑September and will seek waivers, with liquidity estimated ~EUR 0.5bn end‑Q3 (including ~EUR 0.3bn factoring) and RCF/operational financing maturities extended to late September; management reiterated the ambition to achieve breakeven on free cash flow before financial expenses in 2026 and to complete measures to adapt and strengthen the financial structure by end‑H2 2026 (noting potential significant shareholder dilution).
Casino, Guichard Perrachon Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Casino, Guichard Perrachon is facing significant financial challenges with declining revenue, negative profit margins, and a heavily leveraged balance sheet. Cash flow issues further exacerbate the situation, limiting operational flexibility. These factors collectively highlight underlying risks and emphasize the need for strategic initiatives to improve financial health and stability.
Income Statement
45NeutralBalance Sheet
40NegativeCash Flow
30Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 8.45B | 8.56B | 9.05B | 9.65B | 31.05B | 32.51B |
| Gross Profit | 2.06B | 2.39B | 2.58B | 6.25B | 5.93B | 6.42B |
| EBITDA | 428.00M | 3.27B | -445.00M | 995.00M | 1.81B | 1.88B |
| Net Income | -544.00M | -295.00M | -5.66B | -364.00M | -570.00M | -408.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 7.59B | 8.26B | 18.34B | 31.70B | 30.52B | 30.50B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 522.00M | 830.00M | 1.06B | 2.51B | 2.28B | 2.75B |
| Total Debt | 3.48B | 3.65B | 9.14B | 15.74B | 15.07B | 14.39B |
| Total Liabilities | 6.62B | 7.08B | 20.12B | 27.31B | 26.25B | 25.69B |
| Stockholders Equity | 972.00M | 1.20B | -2.45B | 1.44B | 1.39B | 1.96B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -141.00M | -1.35B | -1.38B | -1.71B | -522.00M | 577.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -27.00M | -1.05B | -1.03B | 170.00M | 767.00M | 1.50B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 269.00M | 1.08B | -143.00M | 108.00M | -1.10B | -466.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -588.00M | -1.03B | 188.00M | -1.32B | -848.00M | -2.12B |
Casino, Guichard Perrachon Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:CO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.17, below the 50-day MA of 0.18, and below the 200-day MA of 0.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.22 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:CO.
Casino, Guichard Perrachon Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
FR:ELIOR66Neutral
FR:FNAC54Neutral
FR:ALLDL51Neutral
FR:CA48Neutral
FR:BON44Neutral- FR:CO40Underperform
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FR:ELIOR | 66Neutral | EUR 492.86M | 7.41 | 7.82% | 2.08% | -0.44% | 5958.14% |
| Sector * | 55Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
| FR:FNAC | 54Neutral | EUR 1.03B | -6.38 | -11.85% | 2.86% | 10.31% | -833.15% |
| FR:ALLDL | 51Neutral | EUR 57.09M | 5.76 | 10.64% | 7.68% | 3.67% | ― |
| FR:CA | 48Neutral | EUR 10.13B | 12.43 | 6.81% | 15.00% | -7.78% | 124.98% |
| FR:BON | 44Neutral | EUR 294.23M | 18.94 | -3.09% | 2.81% | -0.80% | ― |
| FR:CO | 40Underperform | EUR 63.28M | -0.16 | -21.81% | ― | -2.50% | 27.06% |
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FR:CO | Casino, Guichard Perrachon | 0.16 | -0.15 | -48.70% | |
| FR:BON | Bonduelle SA | 8.90 | 0.13 | 1.54% | |
| FR:CA | Carrefour SA (UK) | 13.95 | 1.36 | 10.79% | |
| FR:ELIOR | Elior Group SA | 1.93 | -0.79 | -29.02% | |
| FR:FNAC | Fnac Darty SA | 34.95 | 6.82 | 24.25% | |
| FR:ALLDL | Groupe LDLC | 9.51 | -3.63 | -27.60% |
Casino, Guichard Perrachon Corporate Events
Casino secures key creditor extensions as TLB lenders move to challenge safeguard plan
Casino Group has secured an extension of consents from its RCF and Quatrim creditors, ensuring they will not use ongoing talks over the restructuring project to challenge financing documentation tied to accelerated safeguard plans or approved operati...
Casino Advances Financial Restructuring as TLB Lenders Threaten Safeguard Plan
Casino has secured in-principle approval from all its bank creditors to enhance the security package for term loan B (TLB) lenders and to waive a key condition requiring a two-thirds TLB majority to amend its safeguard plan. The board has endorsed th...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025