American States Water (FDK) AI Stock Analysis

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American States Water

(Frankfurt:FDK)

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Positive Factors

Regulated rate-base growthExpanding rate base provides a durable foundation for regulated revenue and earnings because approved infrastructure investment can be recovered through customer rates. The 11.3% five-year rate-base CAGR demonstrates sustained capital deployment and strengthens long-term growth potential.

Negative Factors

Weak free-cash-flow generationPersistently weak free cash flow reflects the company’s heavy reinvestment requirements and limits internally generated funding for capital spending and dividends. Continued reliance on external financing could reduce flexibility and make long-term growth more sensitive to capital-market conditions.

American States Water (FDK) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Market Cap: EUR 3.52B
Dividend Yield: 2.29%
Average Volume (3M): 32
Price to Earnings (P/E): 24.3
Beta (1Y): -0.09
Revenue Growth: 5.92%
EPS Growth: 3.59%
Country: Germany
Employees: 900
Sector: Utilities
Sector Strength: 66
Industry: Regulated Water

American States Water Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

American States Water Company (AWR) is an enterprise that, through its various subsidiary entities, delivers fundamental water and electricity services to a broad spectrum of clients, encompassing residential, commercial, and industrial consumers acr...

American States Water Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.00%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 23, 2027

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive. Adjusted year-to-date earnings increased 12.6%, all three operating segments reported year-over-year earnings increases, regulated-utility rate increases and infrastructure investment remained supportive, ASUS provided positive 2026 and 2027 contribution outlooks, credit ratings were affirmed with stable outlooks, and the dividend was increased by 8.2%. The main challenges were investment-market volatility, higher operating and interest expenses, lower ASUS quarterly earnings, working-capital timing effects, and uncertainty over whether favorable water-consumption and supply conditions will continue.

Positive Updates

Adjusted Third-Quarter Earnings Increased

Third-quarter reported earnings were $1.06 per share, consistent with last year. Excluding gains and losses on investments, adjusted earnings increased to $1.06 per share from $1.01 per share, an increase of $0.05 per share.

Negative Updates

Investment-Market Volatility Reduced Quarterly Earnings

The third quarter included an unfavorable $0.05-per-share year-over-year impact from changes in returns on investments held to fund a retirement plan, driven by volatile market conditions. The company recorded a $0.055 per-share loss year to date in 2026 compared with a $0.09-per-share gain in the prior-year period.

Company Guidance

The company said its regulated utilities are on pace to invest $185 million to $220 million in infrastructure investments for the full year, ASUS is on target to contribute $0.63 to $0.67 per share this year, representing an increase of 3.3% to 9.8% year-over-year, and is projected to contribute $0.67 to $0.71 per share in 2027; Golden State Water’s rate case requests approximately $1 billion in capital budgets for the 3-year rate cycle, with a decision scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2 thousand 27, while Bear Valley Electric requested approximately $133 million for its 4-year rate cycle and another approximately $17 million-plus AFUDC, and the company’s dividend policy targets a compound annual growth rate in the dividend of more than 7% over the long term.

American States Water Risk Analysis

American States Water disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American States Water reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk

1.There have been no significant changes in the risk factors disclosed in our 2025 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC.Q1, 2026

American States Water Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

DE:FDK against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ARTNA	73Outperform	$351.29M	14.48	9.37%	3.80%	5.90%	5.30%
Sector *	66Neutral	$17.65B	18.10	5.60%	3.62%	6.62%	11.55%
CWT	65Neutral	$3.14B	22.61	7.64%	2.57%	7.28%	-2.00%
MSEX	62Neutral	$1.13B	21.33	10.06%	2.42%	8.95%	16.16%
GWRS	54Neutral	$243.97M	89.83	2.77%	4.00%	9.78%	-48.99%
YORW	54Neutral	$523.53M	20.01	9.38%	2.83%	9.43%	16.86%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

DE:FDK and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
DE:FDK	American States Water Company	76.75	13.95	22.21%
ARTNA	Artesian Resources Corporation	33.30	2.07	6.62%
CWT	California Water Service Group	50.83	6.07	13.57%
MSEX	Middlesex Water	59.50	8.17	15.91%
YORW	The York Water	32.22	1.18	3.80%
GWRS	Global Water Resources	7.60	-2.09	-21.56%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

American States Water AI Stock Analysis