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Central Petroleum Limited (C9J) AI Stock Analysis

DE:C9J

Central Petroleum Limited

(Frankfurt:C9J)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Contracted Gas RevenueMulti-year gas agreements provide meaningful revenue visibility and reduce exposure to short-term demand and pricing volatility. Contracted offtake also supported investment decisions for Palm Valley wells, giving the company a clearer basis for planning production and capital allocation.
Negative Factors
Volatile ProfitabilityThe return to loss despite broadly stable revenue indicates that earnings remain sensitive to costs, pricing and operating conditions. Persistent margin volatility would weaken internally generated funding, reduce confidence in earnings durability, and potentially pressure the improved balance sheet.

Central Petroleum Limited (C9J) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%DE:C9J-12.12%EWG+4.43%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 39.14M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-7.9
Beta (1Y)
-0.47
Revenue Growth
0.59%
EPS Growth
-163.93%
Country
Germany
Employees
86
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Central Petroleum Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Central Petroleum Limited is an Australian company dedicated to the full lifecycle of hydrocarbon resources, including their development, extraction, processing, and sale. It possesses substantial stakes in numerous oil and gas properties, covering a...

Central Petroleum Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 16, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:-19.44%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive, with higher FY2026 revenue and operating margins, contracted gas volumes, improved expected cash flow, portfolio diversification and several planned growth opportunities. However, the company reported a statutory net loss, lower sales volumes, a Palm Valley drilling cost overrun, uncertainty around PV14's production after encountering water, depressed shareholder returns and continuing Northern Territory market and policy uncertainty.

Positive Updates

Revenue and Operating Margin Growth
FY2026 revenue increased 3% to $44.7 million despite lower sales volumes. Average realized prices increased 10% to $10.10 per gigajoule equivalent, while the average gas price increased 3% to $10.38 per gigajoule in the June quarter. Operating margins increased 5% to almost $5 per gigajoule equivalent, up 36% over two years.

Negative Updates

FY2026 Statutory Net Loss
Central reported a $4.9 million statutory net loss for FY2026. Overall gross operating profit was steady at $15 million, but exploration-related costs affected the bottom line.

Company Guidance

Central expects 98% of its expected gas production for calendar year '27 to be contracted, over 80% of expected gas production for the next 3 years contracted, and the gas overlift repayment to release an expected $7 million per year in additional margin and cash flow; the new Palm Valley wells are targeting plant capacity of about 14 terajoules a day, which would boost Central's production revenues by about 40%, with initial production of around 9 TJs per day in aggregate from PV14 and PV15 needed to achieve that, and the total drilling program is currently forecast to exceed budget by about 5% against a total program cost in the order of $50 million, or $25 million for Central's 50% interest. PV14 commissioning is expected before the end of October, PV15 is expected to spud over the next few days and be online by the end of the year, the Enterprise North well and 2 Cooper Basin exploration wells are planned for 2027, targeted for the first half of next year or by midyear subject to joint venture approval, and a sub-salt well at Mt Kitty is potentially planned in early 2028 subject to joint venture approval.

Central Petroleum Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

DE:C9J against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:BPTAU:BPT71OutperformAUD 2.14B7.618.74%3.19%-8.77%―
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
AU:STOAU:STO62NeutralAUD 29.97B28.294.69%3.32%-8.49%-31.47%
AU:TBNAU:TBN45NeutralAUD 1.55B-92.34-1.57%――51.03%
AU:BRUAU:BRU44NeutralAUD 20.38M-3.33-23.11%――71.52%
AU:BTLAU:BTL42NeutralAUD 331.77M-15.17-9.91%――28.92%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%DE:C9JAU:BPTAU:BRUAU:BTLAU:STOAU:TBNDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
DE:C9J and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:C9JCentral Petroleum Limited0.03-0.00-12.12%
AU:BPTBeach Energy Limited0.94-0.27-22.57%
AU:BRUBuru Energy Limited0.01-0.00-16.67%
AU:BTLEmpire Energy Group Limited0.22-0.06-21.99%
AU:STOSantos Limited9.253.1251.00%
AU:TBNTamboran Resources Limited0.210.0212.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.