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Gates Industrial (76P) AI Stock Analysis

DE:76P

Gates Industrial

(Frankfurt:76P)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Profitability and cash generationImproved profitability and strong conversion of earnings into free cash flow support internal funding for investment, debt management, and shareholder returns. The combination of healthy margins and cash generation gives Gates financial resilience while it pursues growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Modest top-line growthLimited and uneven revenue growth constrains operating leverage and makes sustained earnings expansion more dependent on pricing, productivity, and mix. Without stronger top-line momentum, Gates may have less flexibility to absorb cost pressure or fund multiple growth opportunities.

Gates Industrial (76P) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%DE:76P+25.51%EWG+5.90%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 6.03B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.4
Beta (1Y)
0.67
Revenue Growth
-1.18%
EPS Growth
50.27%
Country
Germany
Employees
13,000
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Gates Industrial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Gates Industrial Corporation plc operates worldwide, specializing in the engineering, manufacturing, and sale of sophisticated power transmission and fluid power systems. The company is organized into two main operational units: Power Transmission an...

Gates Industrial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.09%|Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive. Gates reported record adjusted EBITDA margin and adjusted EPS, broad-based industrial growth, improving North American demand, strong cash generation and raised full-year EBITDA and EPS guidance. The main challenges were normal fourth-quarter seasonality, price-cost and variable-compensation headwinds, continued agriculture and selected regional or automotive weakness, and near-term profitability dilution from the belts acquisition. Management nevertheless expressed confidence in the industrial recovery, strategic investments, 2027 setup and continued margin expansion.

Positive Updates

Strong Third-Quarter Sales Growth
Third-quarter sales were approximately $904 million, representing total growth of 5.6% and core growth of 5.5%, driven by continued strength in industrial markets.

Negative Updates

Fourth-Quarter Margin Headwinds
Management expects normal seasonality from more shutdowns and fewer manufacturing days, some gross-margin dilution as price and cost come into balance, and a significant increase in variable compensation that will mostly affect the fourth quarter.

Company Guidance

For 2026, Gates reiterated second half core sales growth of approximately 6% at the midpoint and second half adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 23.5%, while anticipating double-digit growth in adjusted earnings per share at the midpoint for the year; full year core sales growth is expected in the range of 3.2% to 3.8%, maintaining the 3.5% midpoint, total growth of approximately 5% at the midpoint, adjusted EBITDA in the range of $809 million to $823 million, and adjusted earnings per share in the range of $1.66 per share to $1.72 per share, a $0.03 per share increase relative to the prior guidance midpoint. For the fourth quarter, total sales are estimated in the range of $905 million to $925 million, core revenue growth is expected to be approximately 6.5% at the midpoint, and adjusted EBITDA margin is anticipated to increase about 120 basis points at the midpoint; guidance for capital expenditures and free cash flow conversion is unchanged, with the company still comfortable with its 90-plus percent conversion number and anticipating record second half adjusted EPS of approximately $0.90 per share using the midpoint of its updated guidance.

Gates Industrial Risk Analysis

Gates Industrial disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gates Industrial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.If we were to issue preference shares, they may have rights, preferences and privileges that adversely affect our common shares or our other securities.Q2, 2026
2.U.S. investors may have difficulty enforcing judgments against the Company, its directors and its officers.Q2, 2026
3.Our Bye-laws generally restrict the Company's shareholders from bringing legal action against its officers and directors.Q2, 2026

Gates Industrial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

DE:76P against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IEXIEX79Outperform$17.18B32.3913.31%1.24%6.93%14.08%
PHPH72Outperform$113.48B31.1425.11%0.84%8.31%4.96%
RRXRRX65Neutral$10.47B32.224.74%0.89%3.50%29.04%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
GHMGHM62Neutral$821.01M65.997.99%―21.22%-16.93%
HLIOHLIO61Neutral$2.18B30.637.65%0.68%13.98%105.73%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%DE:76PGHMIEXPHRRXHLIODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
DE:76P and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:76PGates Industrial Corp23.224.4223.51%
GHMGraham Corporation69.957.9812.88%
IEXIdex Corporation233.8468.2641.22%
PHParker-Hannifin Corp899.82137.1817.99%
RRXRegal Rexnord Corporation157.2423.1517.27%
HLIOHelios Technologies Inc66.1511.0420.03%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.