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Barratt Developments (BTDPY) AI Stock Analysis

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BTDPY

Barratt Developments

(Other OTC:BTDPY)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:$10.00â–²(12.02% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/20/26

The score is led by solid financial foundation (notably low leverage and improved 2026 cash generation) and a constructive earnings outlook driven by integration synergies and capital returns. These positives are tempered by below-peak profitability/margins and ongoing housing-cycle volatility, while technical signals are mixed and valuation is held back by a high P/E despite a strong dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheetConsistently low leverage gives Barratt financial flexibility during housing-cycle volatility and reduces pressure from borrowing costs. The stronger equity base also supports land investment, remediation commitments and shareholder returns while preserving capacity to respond to changing demand.
Negative Factors
Margin compressionLower gross and operating margins show that recent revenue recovery is not translating fully into earnings because profitability remains below earlier-cycle levels. Persistent margin pressure reduces operating leverage, limits cash available for investment and makes results more sensitive to further cost or pricing changes.

Barratt Developments (BTDPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%BTDPY-11.01%SPY+10.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$3.07B
Dividend Yield
1.80%
Average Volume (3M)
17.98K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
19.2
Beta (1Y)
0.66
Revenue Growth
12.59%
EPS Growth
31.20%
Country
US
Employees
7,334
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Residential Construction

Barratt Developments Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Barratt Redrow Plc is a major property developer with operations primarily concentrated in the United Kingdom. The company specializes in creating a variety of real estate, encompassing both residential homes and commercial structures. Its extensive...

Barratt Developments Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 15, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:20.05%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was cautiously positive. Management highlighted resilient trading, higher completions, completed Redrow integration, strong synergy delivery, a robust balance sheet, planned capital returns and early success from the multi-brand strategy. These positives were offset by lower profitability and margins, pricing deflation, building-cost inflation, building-safety liabilities, planning delays, affordability constraints and macroeconomic uncertainty. The positive operational execution and financial position significantly outweighed the stated challenges.

Positive Updates

Resilient FY2026 Performance
Barratt Redrow described its operational and financial performance as solid and in line with expectations despite challenging market conditions, supported by its brands, strategy, teams and supply chain.

Negative Updates

Challenging Market and Affordability Conditions
Management said market conditions were clearly challenging, customers were subdued, and first-time buyers faced severe affordability challenges. The industry also remains constrained by an under-resourced planning system, red tape, regulation and taxation.

Company Guidance

For FY '27, Barratt Redrow is confident in total completions of between 17,500 and 17,900, expects affordable volumes to return to around 20% of completions, joint venture completions to increase slightly to around 600 units, and average outlets to be stable at approximately 405; it is guiding to 3% to 4% inflation for the year, administrative expenses of approximately GBP 360 million, an annual profit and loss contribution from synergies of approximately GBP 95 million, land approvals of between 6,000 and 8,000 plots only if sufficiently attractive opportunities arise, and FY '27 year-end net cash between GBP 400 million and GBP 500 million, subject to any changes in land activity and guidance on that as the year develops. The company expects to spend approximately GBP 300 million on legacy property remediation and GBP 340 million settling line creditors, expects to spend approximately GBP 450 million in FY '28 on direct remediation-related works and payments to the Building Safety fund, and expects FY '27 total capital return to be GBP 400 million, with GBP 386 million delivered through a share buyback.

Barratt Developments Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong balance sheet quality (low leverage, growing equity) supports resilience in a cyclical industry, and cash generation rebounded sharply in 2026. Offsetting this, profitability and returns remain meaningfully below the 2021–2023 peak and cash flows have shown notable volatility through 2024–2025.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

86Very Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.11B6.03B5.58B4.17B5.32B5.27B
Gross Profit886.56M864.33M784.80M689.00M1.13B1.30B
EBITDA584.70M622.67M416.50M255.70M767.00M1.07B
Net Income245.40M242.26M186.40M114.10M530.30M515.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.05B11.05B11.55B7.88B8.01B8.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments965.04M965.04M969.60M1.07B1.27B1.35B
Total Debt246.11M246.11M255.20M242.80M249.60M254.40M
Total Liabilities3.32B3.32B3.68B2.44B2.42B2.59B
Stockholders Equity7.73B7.73B7.87B5.44B5.60B5.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow462.24M444.17M11.20M89.00M498.70M406.40M
Operating Cash Flow474.54M456.32M29.30M96.20M521.80M436.30M
Investing Cash Flow-81.20M-79.99M195.80M12.00M55.40M-241.10M
Financing Cash Flow-379.04M-375.04M-320.80M-308.60M-590.60M-378.40M

Barratt Developments Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price8.93

Price Trends

50DMA8.31Positive
100DMA8.11Positive
200DMA8.01Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.17Negative
RSI58.10Neutral
STOCH63.22Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BTDPY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.46, above the 50-day MA of 8.31, and above the 200-day MA of 8.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BTDPY.

Barratt Developments Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

BTDPY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NVRNVR72Outperform$16.99B16.8429.53%―-10.85%-21.29%
DHIDHI71Outperform$42.61B15.5312.22%1.14%-3.52%-12.68%
PHMPHM69Neutral$25.03B14.3813.80%0.77%-9.35%-27.96%
BTDPYBTDPY69Neutral$5.99B19.233.13%1.80%12.59%31.20%
LENLEN65Neutral$21.87B17.316.03%2.18%-8.01%-47.77%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
KBHKBH43Neutral$3.23B14.345.93%1.92%-20.80%-50.30%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%BTDPYDHIKBHLENNVRPHMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
BTDPY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
BTDPYBarratt Developments PLC Unsponsored ADR8.93-0.78-8.07%
DHID.R. Horton Inc157.6314.5810.19%
KBHKB Home52.06-7.73-12.92%
LENLennar Corporation91.59-27.30-22.96%
NVRNVR Inc6414.18-837.06-11.54%
PHMPultegroup135.1516.4013.81%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 20, 2026