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BT Brands (BTBD) AI Stock Analysis

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BTBD

BT Brands

(NASDAQ:BTBD)

Select Model
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:$1.50â–²(2.74% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/06/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, margin compression, and sharply declining reported revenue), with only partial offset from improved but still modest positive cash flow and moderate leverage. Technically, the stock shows strong trend strength (above major moving averages, positive MACD) but very overbought readings elevate pullback risk. Valuation is also constrained by the negative P/E, reflecting unprofitability.

Positive Factors
Moderate LeverageModerate leverage and a stable asset base provide BT Brands with greater financial flexibility than its earlier, more highly leveraged periods. Lower debt exposure can reduce balance-sheet pressure and leave more capacity to manage operations or fund measured growth.
Negative Factors
Ongoing UnprofitabilityPersistent net and operating losses show that BT Brands is not currently converting restaurant activity into sustainable earnings. Negative profitability reduces internally generated capital, weakens returns on the asset base, and limits the company’s ability to fund expansion without added financial pressure.

BT Brands (BTBD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%BTBD-2.01%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$9.03M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
22.75K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-14.6
Beta (1Y)
0.59
Revenue Growth
-11.44%
EPS Growth
71.51%
Country
US
Employees
179
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

BT Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

BT Brands, Inc. operates as a quick-service restaurant company, with its primary operations centered in the north-central United States. Its portfolio includes nine Burger Time restaurants strategically located across Minnesota, North Dakota, and Sou...

BT Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 28, 2024(Q4-2023)|% Change Since:-11.52%|Next Earnings Date:May 17, 2023
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call reflects a challenging year for BT Brands with a significant net loss. However, there are positive signs of growth and potential improvements in various segments like Keegan's and Burger Time locations. The company remains optimistic about future performance based on its strong financial position and strategic plans.

Positive Updates

Sales Growth Despite Challenges
BT Brands reported a 15% increase in sales, reaching $14 million, despite not making any new acquisitions during the year.

Negative Updates

Net Loss for the Year
BT Brands reported a net loss of $887,368 for the year, with significant losses attributed to Bagger Dave's and nonrecurring expenses.

Company Guidance

During the BT Brands earnings call for Q4 2023, Kenneth Brimmer outlined the company's financial performance and future strategy. The company reported a net loss of $887,368 on $14 million in sales, marking a 15% sales increase compared to the previous year. Brimmer attributed 35% of the loss to Bagger Dave's, with costs of $347,000. Additionally, legal and professional expenses tied to Noble Roman's board efforts amounted to over $100,000. Despite these setbacks, BT Brands holds $6.9 million in cash and aims to revamp its operations by divesting its Dairy Queen franchise and rebranding Bagger Dave's, projecting potential revenue growth to $12 million with an EBITDA margin target of 15%. Keegan's, another venture, aims to achieve $3.2 million in annual sales with 10% profitability, while the Village Bier Garten needs to surpass $30,000 weekly to maintain profitability. Overall, Brimmer expressed optimism for future profitability and growth through potential acquisitions and operational improvements.

BT Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall financials are mixed: the income statement is the main weakness with TTM net losses (-$0.6M), negative net margin (-4.6%), negative EBIT (-$0.1M), sharp reported revenue decline (-174.7%), and gross margin compression (15.8% vs 28.8% in 2025). Offsetting this, leverage looks moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.26) and cash flow has turned positive (TTM operating cash flow ~$0.3M; free cash flow ~$0.18M), though cash generation remains modest and FCF fell vs 2025 (-54.8%).

Income Statement

33Negative

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

47Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Mar 2025Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.87M13.49M14.82M14.08M12.60M8.45M
Gross Profit2.63M3.88M3.09M3.02M3.62M2.78M
EBITDA144.13K42.49K-1.26M-336.22K-178.48K1.21M
Net Income-587.60K-687.84K-2.31M-887.37K-562.28K607.85K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.48M10.75M12.00M14.61M16.77M14.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.43M4.44M4.27M6.69M8.14M12.39M
Total Debt1.66M1.76M4.05M4.38M5.64M3.00M
Total Liabilities4.14M4.33M5.03M5.42M6.62M3.88M
Stockholders Equity6.35M6.42M6.97M9.19M10.15M10.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow183.21K111.95K-1.22M-747.17K-266.60K606.03K
Operating Cash Flow324.74K284.88K-723.50K-258.79K211.80K813.96K
Investing Cash Flow1.01M-1.06M-2.18M4.71M-11.04M-207.92K
Financing Cash Flow-304.64K-329.72K-440.85K-1.30M590.70K10.46M

BT Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.46

Price Trends

50DMA1.74Negative
100DMA1.47Negative
200DMA1.45Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.04Positive
RSI36.78Neutral
STOCH17.69Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BTBD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.70, below the 50-day MA of 1.74, and above the 200-day MA of 1.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.69 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BTBD.

BT Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

BTBD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
RAVERAVE74Outperform$29.93M10.3817.21%―6.70%3.98%
GTIMGTIM65Neutral$13.30M6.256.62%―-5.81%78.41%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
BRCBBRCB59Neutral$529.27M46.777.09%―――
BTBDBTBD49Neutral$9.31M-14.60-8.98%―-11.44%71.51%
REBNREBN43Neutral$9.65M-0.99-545.67%―145.21%57.82%
ARKRARKR38Underperform$16.30M-5.13-9.79%―-9.48%77.31%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%BTBDARKRGTIMRAVEREBNBRCBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
BTBD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
BTBDBt Brands Inc1.46-0.12-7.59%
ARKRArk Restaurants Corp.4.51-2.70-37.45%
GTIMGood Times Restaurants1.320.000.00%
RAVERave Restaurant Group2.15-0.87-28.81%
REBNReborn Coffee, Inc.1.11-0.36-24.66%
BRCBBlack Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A8.76-13.13-59.98%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026