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BT Brands (BTBD) AI Stock Analysis

BTBD

BT Brands

(NASDAQ:BTBD)

Select Model
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:$1.50â–¼(-18.48% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:09/06/26

The overall score of 40 reflects a company in significant financial distress. The primary drag is the severe revenue contraction and deep unprofitability, which is compounded by an extremely overbought technical posture and a negative P/E ratio. The company's only notable strength is its conservative, low-debt balance sheet, which provides a financial cushion but is insufficient to offset the overwhelming operational and market headwinds.

Positive Factors
Moderate LeverageModerate leverage gives BT Brands more financial flexibility than a highly indebted restaurant operator. The relatively small debt burden compared with equity and stable asset base may help the company fund operations and manage downturns without excessive refinancing pressure.
Negative Factors
Persistent UnprofitabilityOngoing net and operating losses show that the current restaurant base is not yet producing acceptable earnings power. Continued unprofitability can constrain reinvestment, weaken resilience during demand pressure, and make future growth dependent on operational improvement.

BT Brands (BTBD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%BTBD+4.55%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$11.38M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
30.03K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-18.4
Beta (1Y)
0.55
Revenue Growth
-11.44%
EPS Growth
71.51%
Country
US
Employees
179
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

BT Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

BT Brands, Inc. operates as a quick-service restaurant company, with its primary operations centered in the north-central United States. Its portfolio includes nine Burger Time restaurants strategically located across Minnesota, North Dakota, and Sou...

How the Company Makes Money

BT Brands primarily makes money through restaurant-level sales generated at locations it owns and operates, where revenue is recorded from food and beverage transactions with customers. Key revenue streams typically include (1) in-store and drive-thr...

BT Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 27, 2024(Q4-2023)|% Change Since:11.52%|Next Earnings Date:May 16, 2023
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call reflects a challenging year for BT Brands with a significant net loss. However, there are positive signs of growth and potential improvements in various segments like Keegan's and Burger Time locations. The company remains optimistic about future performance based on its strong financial position and strategic plans.

Positive Updates

Sales Growth Despite Challenges
BT Brands reported a 15% increase in sales, reaching $14 million, despite not making any new acquisitions during the year.

Negative Updates

Net Loss for the Year
BT Brands reported a net loss of $887,368 for the year, with significant losses attributed to Bagger Dave's and nonrecurring expenses.

Company Guidance

During the BT Brands earnings call for Q4 2023, Kenneth Brimmer outlined the company's financial performance and future strategy. The company reported a net loss of $887,368 on $14 million in sales, marking a 15% sales increase compared to the previous year. Brimmer attributed 35% of the loss to Bagger Dave's, with costs of $347,000. Additionally, legal and professional expenses tied to Noble Roman's board efforts amounted to over $100,000. Despite these setbacks, BT Brands holds $6.9 million in cash and aims to revamp its operations by divesting its Dairy Queen franchise and rebranding Bagger Dave's, projecting potential revenue growth to $12 million with an EBITDA margin target of 15%. Keegan's, another venture, aims to achieve $3.2 million in annual sales with 10% profitability, while the Village Bier Garten needs to surpass $30,000 weekly to maintain profitability. Overall, Brimmer expressed optimism for future profitability and growth through potential acquisitions and operational improvements.

BT Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is severely strained by collapsing revenues (-174.7% TTM growth) and deeply negative profitability, with gross margins falling to 15.8%. The only mitigating factors are a conservative, low-debt balance sheet and a recent shift to positive operating cash flow, though free cash flow is declining.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Mar 2025Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.87M13.49M14.82M14.08M12.60M8.45M
Gross Profit2.63M3.88M3.09M3.02M3.62M2.78M
EBITDA144.13K42.49K-1.26M-336.22K-178.48K1.21M
Net Income-587.60K-687.84K-2.31M-887.37K-562.28K607.85K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.48M10.75M12.00M14.61M16.77M14.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.43M4.44M4.27M6.69M8.14M12.39M
Total Debt1.66M1.76M4.05M4.38M5.64M3.00M
Total Liabilities4.14M4.33M5.03M5.42M6.62M3.88M
Stockholders Equity6.35M6.42M6.97M9.19M10.15M10.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow183.21K111.95K-1.22M-747.17K-266.60K606.03K
Operating Cash Flow324.74K284.88K-723.50K-258.79K211.80K813.96K
Investing Cash Flow1.01M-1.06M-2.18M4.71M-11.04M-207.92K
Financing Cash Flow-304.64K-329.72K-440.85K-1.30M590.70K10.46M

BT Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1.84

Price Trends

50DMA1.70Positive
100DMA1.43Positive
200DMA1.45Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.03Negative
RSI57.36Neutral
STOCH84.43Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BTBD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.73, above the 50-day MA of 1.70, and above the 200-day MA of 1.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BTBD.

BT Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

BTBD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
RAVERAVE71Outperform$29.79M10.3217.95%―7.23%8.40%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
GTIMGTIM60Neutral$13.62M6.116.62%―-5.81%78.41%
BRCBBRCB49Neutral$520.76M154.532.48%―――
REBNREBN42Neutral$13.71M-1.42-545.67%―145.21%57.82%
BTBDBTBD40Underperform$10.98M-18.40-8.98%―-11.44%71.51%
ARKRARKR38Underperform$18.07M-5.69-9.79%―-9.48%77.31%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%BTBDARKRGTIMRAVEREBNBRCBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
BTBD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
BTBDBt Brands Inc1.84-0.01-0.54%
ARKRArk Restaurants Corp.5.01-2.09-29.44%
GTIMGood Times Restaurants1.29-0.10-7.19%
RAVERave Restaurant Group2.09-0.43-17.06%
REBNReborn Coffee, Inc.1.59-0.28-14.97%
BRCBBlack Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A10.40-13.87-57.15%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026