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Bill.com Holdings (BILL)
NYSE:BILL

Bill.com Holdings (BILL) AI Stock Analysis

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Bill.com Holdings

(NYSE:BILL)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$51.00
▲( 14.86% Upside)
Bill.com Holdings shows strong financial performance, with impressive revenue growth and profitability improvements. Technical analysis suggests some short-term momentum, though longer-term trends are less favorable. Valuation remains a concern due to an extremely high P/E ratio and no dividend yield. The earnings call provides a positive outlook with strategic focus on AI and product expansion, but macroeconomic challenges pose risks. Overall, the stock is positioned for growth but is currently overvalued, presenting a balanced risk-reward profile.
Positive Factors
Market Share Growth
BILL's market share remains in single digits, and the company is making progress on a number of fronts that should further solidify its position as the leading financial operations platform for SMBs.
Product Innovation
Encouraging structural factors and self-driven improvement drive value over the longer-term, such as product expansion and AI initiatives.
Negative Factors
Revenue Guidance
Management lowered full year core revenue guidance to $1,290-$1,300M from $1,297-$1,312M due to macroeconomic headwinds.
TPV Decline
The volatile macro environment has started to impact small and medium-sized businesses' spending volumes, resulting in a decline in TPV per customer by 2% year-over-year.

Bill.com Holdings (BILL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bill.com Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBill.com Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-based software that simplifies, digitizes, and automates back-office financial operations for small and midsize businesses worldwide. The company provides software-as-a-service, cloud-based payments, and spend management products, which allow users to automate accounts payable and accounts receivable transactions, as well as enable users to connect with their suppliers and/or customers to do business, eliminate expense reports, manage cash flows, and improve office efficiency. It also offers onboarding implementation support, and ongoing support and training services. The company serves accounting firms, financial institutions, and software companies. Bill.com Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBill.com generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, charging businesses a fee for accessing its cloud-based platform. This subscription fee varies based on the level of service and features utilized by the customer. In addition to subscription revenue, Bill.com earns money through transaction fees when businesses use its platform to process payments. The company also benefits from partnerships with financial institutions and accounting firms, which help expand its customer base and enhance its service offerings. By continuously innovating and expanding its ecosystem, Bill.com aims to increase customer engagement and drive further revenue growth.

Bill.com Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Transactions
Total Transactions
Tracks the number of transactions processed, providing a clear view of platform activity and user engagement levels.
Chart InsightsBill.com Holdings has shown a steady increase in transactions, with a notable acceleration in recent quarters. This growth aligns with their strategic focus on expanding platform capabilities and AI-driven efficiency improvements. However, the earnings call highlighted macroeconomic challenges impacting customer spending, which could temper future transaction growth. Despite these challenges, the company's robust revenue growth and strategic advancements in product offerings suggest resilience and potential for continued expansion, especially as they enhance their ecosystem and introduce new solutions like the advanced ACH offering.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Bill.com Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bill.com Holdings demonstrates strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management, supported by a healthy equity base. However, profitability remains a challenge due to negative EBIT and modest net profit margins.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Bill.com Holdings shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase to $1.39 billion, a growth rate of approximately 7.57% from the previous annual report. The gross profit margin remains robust at 79.75% for TTM, highlighting efficient cost management. However, the company has negative EBIT and a modest net profit margin of 5.90%, indicating that while revenue is growing, profitability remains a challenge.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity ratio of 39.38%, indicating a healthy capital structure. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 41.87%, suggesting significant leverage but manageable within the industry norms. Return on equity for the TTM stands at 2.15%, highlighting limited profitability on equity investment.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Operating cash flow has improved significantly, with a TTM figure of $312.73 million, showing effective cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 3.71, indicating efficient cash usage relative to profits. Free cash flow growth is robust, up by 17.63% from the previous period. The company effectively manages its cash flows despite substantial financing and investing activities.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.39B1.29B1.06B641.96M238.26M157.60M
Gross Profit
1.11B1.06B864.49M496.95M176.46M118.46M
EBIT
-17.87M-174.16M-295.77M-316.82M-113.97M-34.20M
EBITDA
138.34M96.03M-102.54M-225.16M-96.36M-26.55M
Net Income Common Stockholders
81.86M-28.88M-223.72M-326.36M-98.72M-31.09M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.21B1.59B2.66B2.71B1.16B697.62M
Total Assets
9.67B9.18B9.64B9.26B5.97B2.40B
Total Debt
1.78B976.85M1.91B1.86B1.08B2.30M
Net Debt
209.00M-9.09M295.15M259.27M566.40M-571.34M
Total Liabilities
5.86B5.04B5.55B5.21B3.44B1.69B
Stockholders Equity
3.81B4.13B4.09B4.04B2.53B710.72M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
303.35M257.88M156.56M-33.73M-16.58M-16.51M
Operating Cash Flow
312.73M278.77M187.77M-18.09M4.62M-4.43M
Investing Cash Flow
-790.66M-409.37M259.29M-1.13B-1.43B-249.49M
Financing Cash Flow
-388.93M-742.60M235.11M2.88B1.64B863.13M

Bill.com Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price44.40
Price Trends
50DMA
45.02
Negative
100DMA
58.82
Negative
200DMA
62.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
45.16
Neutral
STOCH
10.18
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BILL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 44.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.97, below the 50-day MA of 45.02, and below the 200-day MA of 62.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BILL.

Bill.com Holdings Risk Analysis

Bill.com Holdings disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bill.com Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We incurred certain costs in connection with a reduction in force announced in the second quarter of fiscal 2024, and the reduction in force may result in unanticipated costs or consequences. Q2, 2024

Bill.com Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$4.09B-1.66%15.72%74.59%
71
Outperform
$4.25B-6.85%20.46%39.37%
69
Neutral
$4.57B482.280.97%14.52%
68
Neutral
$4.87B-10.47%21.66%-50.24%
66
Neutral
$4.11B-92.26%10.94%4.54%
61
Neutral
$11.29B10.07-7.05%2.96%7.47%-10.75%
59
Neutral
$5.39B-3.95%13.12%75.24%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BILL
Bill.com Holdings
44.40
-7.50
-14.45%
QTWO
Q2 Holdings
86.57
24.23
38.87%
FROG
JFrog
42.49
9.91
30.42%
ASAN
Asana
17.47
3.47
24.79%
PYCR
Paycor HCM
22.49
9.32
70.77%
FRSH
Freshworks
14.42
1.05
7.85%

Bill.com Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.66%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and strategic advancements in product offerings and AI initiatives. However, there are concerns regarding the macroeconomic environment and its impact on customer spending and international transaction revenues.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Results
Core revenue grew 14% year-over-year. Non-GAAP operating income margin was 15%, exceeding expectations, and free cash flow grew 44% year-over-year in Q3, representing a 25% margin.
Expansion of Product Offerings
Launched an advanced product suite for large businesses including multi-entity management, procurement, and mass payments. Procurement solutions were expanded to streamline processes for SMBs.
AI Growth Strategy
Accelerating AI growth strategy to transform SMB financial operations by automating mundane tasks and improving efficiency with AI-powered finance agents.
Ecosystem Expansion
Made progress broadening the ecosystem, with over 9,000 accounting firms using BILL. Net adds from the accounting channel grew over 60% year-over-year.
Introduction of Advanced ACH Solution
Introduced a beta offering of an advanced ACH solution to simplify the payment process for large suppliers, with plans for broader rollout over the next several quarters.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Macroeconomic Environment
SMBs are managing spend more closely due to macroeconomic uncertainty, leading to fewer transactions per customer and slightly decreased overall spend.
Impact of Trade Policies on Revenue
Uncertainty related to shifts in fiscal and trade policies, particularly affecting international payments and cross-border transaction revenues.
Lower than Expected Total Payment Volume
Total payment volume grew 10% year-over-year, slightly below expectations, with TPV per customer 2% lower than the previous year.
Cautious Outlook for Spend and Expense
Observed good growth in card spend, but cautious about near-term uncertainty potentially affecting spend categories like travel, entertainment, and retail.
Company Guidance
During BILL's third quarter fiscal 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 14% year-over-year increase in core revenue, reaching $320 million, and a 15% non-GAAP operating income margin, which exceeded initial expectations. The free cash flow grew 44% year-over-year, representing a 25% margin. BILL processed $79 billion in total payment volume across its platform, with over 488,000 businesses utilizing its solutions. The platform's reach extends to over 1% of the GDP, and it includes more than 7 million members in its network. BILL added 4,200 net new AP/AR customers, bringing the total to 164,800, and another 1,800 to its spend and expense solution, totaling 39,500. The company expects fiscal 2025 core revenue to range between $1.290 billion and $1.300 billion, with a non-GAAP operating income between $226.2 million and $231.2 million. Looking ahead, BILL aims to continue investing in AI and expanding its platform capabilities to enhance customer value and drive long-term growth.

Bill.com Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Bill.com Holdings Appoints New Directors Amid Board Changes
Neutral
Jan 15, 2025

On January 12, 2025, BILL Holdings, Inc. announced the appointment of Keri Gohman and Dan Wernikoff as directors, effective January 15, 2025. Gohman will join the Audit Committee and Compliance and Payments Operations Risks subcommittee, while Wernikoff will serve on the Compensation Committee. Both bring extensive experience from leadership roles in technology and financial services companies. Additionally, the company announced the retirements of Peter Kight and Scott Wagner from the board, effective the same date, with Kight continuing as Director Emeritus. Their retirements were not due to disagreements with the company.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.