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Widgie Nickel Limited (WIN) AI Stock Analysis

7 Followers
AU:WIN

Widgie Nickel Limited

(ASX:WIN)

Select Model
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.02â–¼(-15.00% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/16/26

The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance: the company is pre-revenue with recurring losses and structurally negative operating/free cash flow, alongside declining equity over time. Technical indicators are neutral-to-soft with weak longer-term trend signals, while valuation inputs are limited because the negative P/E reflects ongoing losses and no dividend yield is available.

Positive Factors
Low leverageVery low leverage reduces near-term solvency pressure and preserves financial flexibility while the company advances its development assets. Limited debt also avoids substantial interest obligations, allowing more of any future funding to support exploration, technical studies, and project evaluation.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue statusZero revenue across five fiscal years shows that Widgie has not yet achieved commercial scale or operating income from its projects. Until a project reaches production or another value-realisation milestone, the business remains dependent on funding and exposed to delays in development.

Widgie Nickel Limited (WIN) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%AU:WIN-48.72%EWA+17.50%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
AUD 17.18M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
983.38K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-3.7
Beta (1Y)
1.98
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
93.65%
Country
Australia
Employees
0
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Industrial Materials

Widgie Nickel Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

WIN Metals Ltd, formerly Widgie Nickel Limited, is a Western Australian mineral exploration and development company focused on gold. Its flagship asset is the Butchers Creek gold project in the East Kimberley region, which it aims to bring back into...

Widgie Nickel Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials reflect a pre-revenue, development-stage company with zero revenue across FY2022–FY2026, persistent negative EBIT and net losses, and consistently negative operating and free cash flow. A low-debt balance sheet reduces near-term solvency risk, but equity/assets have declined materially over time, pointing to ongoing capital consumption and funding risk.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue000000
Gross Profit-285.48K-285.48K-1.73M-490.19K-387.99K-92.31K
EBITDA-3.70M-3.70M-34.63M-1.80M-1.65M-2.63M
Net Income-4.02M-4.02M-33.77M-2.30M-2.06M-2.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.94M21.94M17.03M42.78M46.96M36.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.09M2.09M2.34M1.69M11.84M16.44M
Total Debt51.69K51.69K130.71K113.07K278.37K358.37K
Total Liabilities3.72M3.72M2.94M1.24M4.05M3.53M
Stockholders Equity18.22M18.22M14.09M41.54M42.91M33.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.33M-4.33M-5.07M-11.00M-15.89M-7.42M
Operating Cash Flow-3.59M-3.59M-3.90M-10.62M-14.74M-6.76M
Investing Cash Flow-4.04M-4.04M940.55K-102.07K-955.93K-616.14K
Financing Cash Flow7.28M7.28M3.61M572.52K11.29M23.81M

Widgie Nickel Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.02

Price Trends

50DMA0.02Negative
100DMA0.02Negative
200DMA0.02Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI46.59Neutral
STOCH75.00Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:WIN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, below the 50-day MA of 0.02, and below the 200-day MA of 0.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:WIN.

Widgie Nickel Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:WIN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:LITAU:LIT46NeutralAUD 11.46M-2.50-42.15%―-11.28%41.18%
AU:GT1AU:GT144NeutralAUD 16.87M-2.15-3.88%――61.90%
AU:WINAU:WIN43NeutralAUD 18.04M-3.70-21.01%――93.65%
AU:AM5AU:AM542NeutralAUD 5.52M-0.95-192.77%――65.85%
AU:NC1AU:NC141NeutralAUD 12.04M-11.20-5.09%――-33.93%
AU:NMTAU:NMT41NeutralAUD 19.27M-2.31-43.52%――76.51%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%AU:WINAU:LITAU:NMTAU:AM5AU:GT1AU:NC1Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AU:WIN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:WINWidgie Nickel Limited0.02-0.02-55.56%
AU:LITLithium Australia NL0.01-0.00-9.09%
AU:NMTNeometals Ltd.0.02-0.04-65.57%
AU:AM5NickelSearch Ltd.0.010.000.00%
AU:GT1Green Technology Metals Limited0.01-0.02-51.72%
AU:NC1NICO Resources Limited0.08-0.05-35.38%

Widgie Nickel Limited Corporate Events

Metal Bank Grants WIN Option Over Non-Core Darcys Project

Nov 4, 2026

Metal Bank is an Australian mining company focused on gold exploration and development, with additional copper-cobalt-gold interests, including the Livingstone and Millennium projects. It granted WIN Metals an option to acquire its non-core Darcys Go...

WIN Expands Butchers Creek Gold Project With New Tenure

Nov 4, 2026

WIN Metals, a Western Australian minerals explorer and developer, is focused on advancing the Butchers Creek Gold Project and building a broader portfolio of gold and other commodity opportunities. Its activities are centered on resource growth, mine...

WIN Metals strengthens finances as Radio Gold restart study points to robust returns

Oct 27, 2026

WIN Metals has advanced its Radio Gold Project with a completed Re-Start Study outlining a low-capital integrated open-pit and underground operation feeding a 120ktpa CIL plant. The plan targets 215kt of ore grading 3.16g/t Au to produce about 20.2ko...

WIN Metals advances WA gold and critical minerals portfolio

Oct 21, 2026

WIN Metals Limited, listed on the ASX as WIN, is a Western Australian resources company focused on gold and critical minerals. Its portfolio includes the Radio, Butchers Creek, Golden Crown and Princess Royal gold projects, as well as the Mt Edwards...

WIN Metals unlocks high-value rubidium at Faraday project

Oct 19, 2026

WIN Metals has reported successful metallurgical testwork at its Faraday and Trainline pegmatites, confirming that rubidium concentrates can be produced and achieving roast-leach extraction rates of around 94% to 97%. Physical separation methods deli...

WIN Metals Sets November Date and Voting Rules for 2026 AGM

Oct 7, 2026

WIN Metals Ltd has announced details for its 2026 Annual General Meeting, which will be held in Perth on 11 November at 10:30am WST. The company has determined that shareholders registered as of 4:00pm WST on 9 November 2026 will be eligible to vote,...

WIN Metals Secures $8m Cash Boost as Tenure Deal Completes

Oct 5, 2026

WIN Metals Ltd has completed its tenure rationalisation transaction with Astral Resources NL, receiving an initial payment of $8.05 million, with a further $1 million plus GST payable upon registration of the transfer of mining lease M15/96. The fund...

Astral Resources Secures Full Control of Mandilla Development Footprint

Sep 27, 2026

Astral Resources has entered into a transaction with WIN Metals to consolidate tenure and mineral rights around the Mandilla Gold Project, securing title and unfettered control over key mining leases and rights critical to Mandilla’s development. The...

WIN Metals Secures $9m in Tenure Deal with Astral to Streamline Mt Edwards Rights

Sep 27, 2026

WIN Metals has agreed a $9.05 million tenure and mineral rights rationalisation deal with Astral Resources over parts of the Mt Edwards Nickel Project, reshaping ownership of nickel and gold rights across several mining leases. The transaction preser...

WIN Metals Lodges Key Permits to Restart High-Grade Radio Gold Project

Sep 24, 2026

WIN Metals Ltd has advanced plans to restart its Radio Gold Project, lodging a Mine Development and Closure Plan with Western Australia’s Department of Mines, Petroleum and Exploration and a Works Approval application with the Department of Water and...

WIN Metals Sets AGM Date and Opens Director Nominations

Sep 9, 2026

WIN Metals Ltd has scheduled its Annual General Meeting for 11 November 2026, where shareholders will vote on the election of directors in line with ASX listing requirements. The company has set 23 September 2026 as the closing date for receiving wri...

Win Metals Raises Capital via Unquoted Convertible Notes

Sep 4, 2026

Win Metals Ltd has notified the market of the issuance of 820,000 unquoted convertible notes, maturing in September 2027, under a new class of securities that will not be quoted on the ASX. The move signals a targeted capital-raising strategy using s...

Win Metals Plans Convertible Note Placement to Raise Capital

Aug 31, 2026

Win Metals Ltd has notified the ASX of its intention to undertake a placement involving a proposed issue of convertible notes due September 2027, with a maximum of 860,000 securities to be issued. The notes are expected to be issued on 4 September 20...

WIN Metals Secures Convertible Note Funding to Support Radio Gold Mine Plans

Aug 31, 2026

WIN Metals Ltd has secured binding commitments for AUD 860,000 of unsecured, unquoted convertible notes from sophisticated and professional investors to bolster its funding position. The notes carry a 12-month term, 10% annual interest capitalised da...

Win Metals Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional Ordinary Shares

Aug 31, 2026

Win Metals Ltd has applied for quotation of 1,698,000 ordinary fully paid shares on the ASX, with an issue date of August 28, 2026. The new securities arise from the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible instruments, modestl...

WIN Metals completes Radio Gold Re-Start Study as multi-commodity portfolio advances

Aug 31, 2026

WIN Metals Limited, listed on the ASX, operates a multi-commodity portfolio spanning gold, nickel and lithium in Australia. Key assets include the Radio and Butchers Creek gold projects, Golden Crown exploration targets and the Mt Edwards nickel and...

WIN Metals to Outline Radio Gold Project Re‑Start Study in Investor Webinar

Aug 28, 2026

WIN Metals Ltd has announced it will host a live investor briefing webinar, led by Managing Director and CEO Steve Norregaard, to update shareholders and the market on its recently completed Radio Gold Project Re‑Start Study. The session will outline...

Win Metals Issues New Unquoted Performance Rights and Long-Term Incentive Options

Aug 24, 2026

Win Metals Ltd has issued a total of 199,000 performance rights and 3,815,000 unlisted long-term incentive options as part of an employee incentive scheme that will not be quoted on the ASX. The options vest on 30 September 2027, are exercisable at $...

WIN Metals maps low-capital restart of Radio Gold Project

Aug 24, 2026

WIN Metals has completed a preliminary Radio Re-Start Study outlining a low-capital pathway to restarting gold production at its Radio Gold Project through an integrated open-pit and underground mine supported by onsite processing. By utilising exist...

WIN Metals Confirms Exceptional Gold Recoveries at Radio Project

Aug 13, 2026

WIN Metals has reported exceptionally strong metallurgical test results from the Radio gold mine in Western Australia, confirming that the ore is free milling with significant gravity gold content. The samples showed gravity and leach extraction valu...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2026