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Orion Minerals Limited (ORN) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ORN

Orion Minerals Limited

(ASX:ORN)

Select Model
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.02â–²(4.35% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/09/26

Weak financial performance from negligible revenue, sustained losses, and negative cash flow is the dominant factor. Mixed technical signals and unfavorable valuation due to negative P/E provide limited support.

Positive Factors
Sizable equity base and moderate leverageA sizable equity base and moderate recent leverage provide Orion with more financial flexibility than its weak earnings suggest. This can support continued project advancement and reduce near-term balance-sheet pressure, although the benefit depends on controlling losses and cash consumption.
Negative Factors
No meaningful operating revenueThe absence of meaningful operating revenue shows that Orion has not yet reached commercial production or established a recurring customer-funded business. This leaves financial progress dependent on project development and financing rather than a proven operating revenue base.

Orion Minerals Limited (ORN) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%AU:ORN+35.29%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 205.95M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.14M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-20.2
Beta (1Y)
0.80
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
29.41%
Country
Australia
Employees
13
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Industrial Materials

Orion Minerals Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Orion Minerals Ltd. is an exploration and development company focused on mineral assets across Australia and South Africa. Its primary targets include gold, zinc, copper, nickel, silver, cobalt, and platinum group metals (PGMs). A cornerstone asset i...

How the Company Makes Money

Orion Minerals’ revenue model is primarily tied to the exploration and development lifecycle rather than established operating mine production. The company’s potential ways of making money include (1) developing mineral projects to a stage where they...

Orion Minerals Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Negligible revenue and persistent losses produce deeply negative margins and cash burn, though moderate leverage and equity backing provide some balance sheet stability.

Income Statement

15Very Negative

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue00385.00K381.00K75.00K58.00K
Gross Profit-830.00K-830.00K385.00K381.00K-97.00K-87.00K
EBITDA-12.16M-12.16M-12.31M-4.98M-16.52M-15.09M
Net Income-9.52M-9.52M-11.86M-5.39M-15.33M-14.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets173.39M173.39M143.22M136.60M92.36M89.64M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.46M14.46M208.00K8.27M7.56M4.29M
Total Debt32.69M32.69M38.27M25.86M3.50M4.08M
Total Liabilities52.93M52.93M56.72M43.66M7.74M8.74M
Stockholders Equity134.11M134.11M98.83M102.18M92.87M85.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-10.84M-10.84M-23.91M-28.96M-13.92M-17.61M
Operating Cash Flow-10.68M-10.68M-7.88M-12.07M-9.96M-12.93M
Investing Cash Flow-5.61M-5.61M-16.00M-18.25M-4.43M-5.04M
Financing Cash Flow30.34M30.34M15.83M30.52M18.35M1.85M

Orion Minerals Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.02

Price Trends

50DMA0.02Negative
100DMA0.02Negative
200DMA0.03Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI46.99Neutral
STOCH-66.67Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ORN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, above the 50-day MA of 0.02, and below the 200-day MA of 0.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -66.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:ORN.

Orion Minerals Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:ORN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:ENRAU:ENR57NeutralAUD 128.94M-88.46-2.01%――67.90%
AU:OMHAU:OMH51NeutralAUD 171.97M3.587.74%―-13.27%―
AU:CBEAU:CBE46NeutralAUD 299.44M-9.02-22.64%――-400.00%
AU:CUFAU:CUF46NeutralAUD 114.33M-30.55-20.92%――-150.00%
AU:ORNAU:ORN45NeutralAUD 205.95M-20.20-7.65%――29.41%
AU:BMLAU:BML41NeutralAUD 167.80M-17.47-6.54%―-100.00%-1.84%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%AU:ORNAU:ENRAU:CUFAU:BMLAU:CBEAU:OMHDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:ORN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:ORNOrion Minerals Limited0.020.0135.29%
AU:ENREncounter Resources Limited0.23-0.24-51.06%
AU:CUFCuFe Limited0.060.0112.24%
AU:BMLBoab Metals Ltd0.29-0.08-20.55%
AU:CBECobre Limited0.230.14155.56%
AU:OMHOM Holdings Ltd.0.23-0.02-10.00%

Orion Minerals Limited Corporate Events

Orion Minerals Reshapes Share Register as Tembo Capital Exits Ahead of Prieska Decision

Oct 8, 2026

Orion Minerals has announced that long-time major shareholder Tembo Capital Mining Fund II has exited its near decade-long investment, selling its stake to existing backer Thomas Borman and a prominent South African institutional investor. The change...

Tembo Capital and Ndovu Exit Substantial Holding in Orion Minerals

Oct 1, 2026

Orion Minerals has disclosed that Tembo Capital Mining Fund II LP and its associate Ndovu Capital X B.V. have ceased to be substantial shareholders in the company. The change follows Ndovu’s sale of more than 1.08 billion Orion ordinary shares...

Orion Minerals Files 2026 Corporate Governance Statement and Appendix 4G

Sep 17, 2026

Orion Minerals has lodged its 2026 Appendix 4G and Corporate Governance Statement with the ASX and JSE in line with listing rule requirements. The governance statement, current as of 17 September 2026, is available on the company’s website and...

Orion Minerals Maps Path to Copper Growth in 2026 Annual Report

Sep 17, 2026

Orion Minerals’ 2026 Annual Report outlines its operational performance, financial position, and strategic progress for the year ended 30 June 2026, framed around a three-pillar strategy of foundation, growth, and future opportunity. The report...

Orion Minerals Joins BHP Xplor Investment Showcase in New York

Sep 16, 2026

Orion Minerals will present at the BHP Xplor & 121 Mining Investment Showcase in New York on 17 September 2026, with Executive Marcus Birch representing the company as part of BHP’s 2026 Xplor accelerator cohort. The event offers Orion dire...

S&P Dow Jones Unveils Broad Rebalance Across S&P/ASX Indices

Sep 4, 2026

S&P Dow Jones Indices has announced the September 2026 quarterly rebalance of the S&P/ASX index family, with changes taking effect before trading opens on September 21. The S&P/ASX 20 remains unchanged, while Mineral Resources and NEXTDC...

Orion Minerals ramps up investor outreach as it shifts from explorer to producer

Sep 2, 2026

Orion Minerals Limited, a dual-listed Australian resources company focused on copper and zinc in South Africa’s Northern Cape, is advancing its transition from explorer to producer with the Prieska Copper Zinc Mine as a flagship project.The com...

Orion Minerals Boosts Cash Reserves via Equity Raising Despite Heavy Exploration Outflows

Jul 31, 2026

Orion Minerals Limited reported a cash-intensive quarter characterised by significant outflows on exploration, evaluation and corporate costs, underscoring its status as a non-producing exploration company still in the project-building phase. Operati...

Orion Minerals Nears Key Glencore Financing Milestones for Prieska Project

Jul 31, 2026

Orion Minerals has reported substantive progress in meeting conditions precedent for its financing and offtake agreements with Glencore, a cornerstone arrangement for advancing the Prieska copper-zinc project. Regulatory approval from the South Afric...

Orion Minerals Secures Shareholder Backing for Prior Capital Raisings

Jul 30, 2026

Shareholders of Orion Minerals Limited approved all resolutions put to a General Meeting held in Perth and linked to prior capital-raising actions. The resolutions, passed by poll with overwhelming majorities, ratified earlier issues of shares and op...

Orion Minerals Options Lapse, Trimming Potential Equity Dilution

Jul 9, 2026

Orion Minerals has allowed two series of listed options, each totaling 1,000,000 securities and expiring in September 2030, to lapse without being exercised. The cessation of these options, effective 9 July 2026, modestly reduces the company’s...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2026