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Orbital Corporation Limited (OEC) AI Stock Analysis

AU:OEC

Orbital Corporation Limited

(ASX:OEC)

Select Model
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:AUD 0.10â–¼(-11.11% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/24/26

The score is driven primarily by severely weak financial performance, including recurring losses and persistent cash burn. Weak-to-mixed technical conditions and negative earnings-based valuation provide little offset. The weighted result is 39.

Positive Factors
Integrated engineering capabilitiesCapabilities spanning product development, testing and manufacturing give Orbital an integrated engineering-to-production offering. That can help preserve technical know-how and serve customers needing both validated designs and manufactured components across multiple project stages.
Negative Factors
Revenue and margin deteriorationThe sharp revenue contraction and deeply negative gross margin indicate that Orbital is not currently converting its engineering and manufacturing activity into economically viable sales. Persistent weak margins can impair reinvestment, customer confidence and the path back to sustainable profitability.

Orbital Corporation Limited (OEC) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%AU:OEC-36.76%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 6.44M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
100.42K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-4.4
Beta (1Y)
1.25
Revenue Growth
-25.17%
EPS Growth
-3.47%
Country
Australia
Employees
87
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Aerospace & Defense

Orbital Corporation Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Orbital Corporation Limited is a company that specializes in providing comprehensive propulsion systems and vital flight components, specifically for tactical unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), to customers in Australia and the United States. Their ser...

How the Company Makes Money

OEC makes money primarily by selling engineered products and services derived from its propulsion and fuel-system technology capabilities. Key revenue streams typically include (1) product revenue from the manufacture and sale of proprietary or custo...

Orbital Corporation Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is critically weak: revenue has contracted sharply, losses are substantial, and operating and free cash flow remain consistently negative. Reduced leverage and positive equity provide limited support, but the underlying financial profile remains high risk.

Income Statement

22Negative

Balance Sheet

38Negative

Cash Flow

18Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.16M6.16M8.23M12.57M16.78M15.72M
Gross Profit-4.68M-4.68M2.42M-2.27M7.98M5.32M
EBITDA-6.13M-6.11M-2.62M1.65M1.56M-5.13M
Net Income-4.76M-4.76M-4.30M67.00K20.00K-11.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.94M17.94M17.42M22.23M19.94M22.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.15M2.15M1.54M5.53M3.04M2.95M
Total Debt6.12M6.12M2.98M6.07M6.06M9.25M
Total Liabilities11.16M11.16M8.85M11.40M13.00M20.41M
Stockholders Equity6.78M6.78M8.57M10.83M6.94M2.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.58M-2.58M-5.67M-1.19M-3.78M-4.60M
Operating Cash Flow-2.35M-2.35M-2.69M-34.00K-3.49M-4.09M
Investing Cash Flow-2.24M-2.24M-2.51M-790.00K-372.00K-2.20M
Financing Cash Flow5.20M5.20M1.49M3.30M3.89M5.39M

Orbital Corporation Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price0.12

Price Trends

50DMA0.13Negative
100DMA0.14Negative
200DMA0.14Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI49.46Neutral
STOCH28.33Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:OEC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.11, below the 50-day MA of 0.13, and below the 200-day MA of 0.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:OEC.

Orbital Corporation Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

AU:OEC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:LYLAU:LYL80OutperformAUD 788.25M19.4024.65%2.95%12.00%-5.39%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
AU:EOSAU:EOS62NeutralAUD 1.89B-26.63-19.02%―224.58%-281.32%
AU:ASBAU:ASB50NeutralAUD 1.90B-35.40-4.18%―11.28%-153.91%
AU:OECAU:OEC39UnderperformAUD 21.07M-4.38-57.23%―-25.17%-3.47%
AU:NVXAU:NVX26UnderperformAUD 82.83M-0.42-63.44%―-53.32%-5.22%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%AU:OECAU:ASBAU:EOSAU:LYLAU:NVXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:OEC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:OECOrbital Corporation Limited0.12-0.07-36.76%
AU:ASBAustal Limited4.51-2.27-33.48%
AU:EOSElectro Optic Systems Holdings Limited8.522.1132.92%
AU:LYLLycopodium Limited19.987.8865.14%
AU:NVXNOVONIX Ltd0.08-0.48-85.31%

Orbital Corporation Limited Corporate Events

Orbital boosts UAV propulsion footprint with new orders and first Power by the Hour deal

Oct 23, 2026

Orbital reported quarterly revenue of $3.4 million as it expanded its UAV propulsion customer base to 16 and built a $2.0 million order book supported by a significant pipeline of supply, upgrade and service opportunities. The company advanced multip...

Orbital launches first Power by the Hour UAV deal with AATI

Oct 22, 2026

Orbital Corporation has signed its first Power by the Hour agreement with American Aerospace Technologies Inc., converting their existing propulsion supply relationship into a recurring service model for AATI’s AiRanger unmanned aircraft used i...

Orbital Wins Larsen & Toubro UAV Propulsion Order, Debuts Gen II Power System

Oct 4, 2026

Orbital Corporation Limited, a Perth-based specialist in heavy-fuel propulsion systems for Group 2 and Group 3 unmanned aerial vehicles, supplies integrated engine and power management solutions to defence and commercial drone operators worldwide. Wi...

Orbital widens UAV customer base and product range as market enters new growth phase

Aug 31, 2026

Orbital Corporation has broadened its customer base to 14 across key regions, including the United States, South-East Asia, India and the Middle East, and has moved into the commercial UAV sector with commercial off-the-shelf propulsion systems. It h...

Orbital Corporation Posts Deeper Loss as Revenue Slides and Asset Backing Turns Negative

Aug 31, 2026

Orbital Corporation has reported a sharp deterioration in its financial performance for the year ended 30 June 2026, with revenue from continuing operations falling 25% to A$6.2 million and a loss of A$4.8 million, 11% deeper than the prior year. Net...

Orbital Wins MightyFly Order, Expands in Autonomous Cargo Aviation

Jul 29, 2026

Orbital Corporation has secured a new commercial customer in the U.S. autonomous cargo aviation sector, receiving an order from MightyFly for three heavy fuel propulsion systems. The deal broadens Orbital’s commercial client base beyond defence...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2026