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National Tyre & Wheel Ltd. (NTD) AI Stock Analysis

AU:NTD

National Tyre & Wheel Ltd.

(ASX:NTD)

Select Model
Rating:37Underperform
Price Target:AUD 0.21â–¼(-1.90% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:09/22/26

National Tyre & Wheel's low score is primarily driven by severe fundamental risks, including ongoing unprofitability, shrinking top-line revenues, and a contracting balance sheet. These fundamental issues are compounded by a deeply bearish technical setup and negative valuation metrics. Returning to profitability and halting the revenue decline are essential prerequisites for any future improvement.

Positive Factors
Positive cash generationPositive operating and free cash flow provide an internal funding source despite reported losses. This supports liquidity and debt reduction without relying entirely on external financing, although maintaining cash conversion will be important as earnings pressure continues.
Negative Factors
Revenue contractionA second consecutive period without meaningful revenue growth, followed by an 11.2% decline, signals weakening demand or reduced commercial traction. Persistent top-line contraction can limit operating leverage, reduce investment capacity, and make a return to profitability more difficult.

National Tyre & Wheel Ltd. (NTD) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%AU:NTD-30.00%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 35.28M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
132.40K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-2.8
Beta (1Y)
0.13
Revenue Growth
-17.25%
EPS Growth
74.53%
Country
Australia
Employees
500
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Auto - Parts

National Tyre & Wheel Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

National Tyre & Wheel Limited, operating through its subsidiaries, focuses on the marketing and distribution of a wide array of motor vehicle components, including tires, wheels, inner tubes, and related accessories. Its operations are established ac...

National Tyre & Wheel Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

National Tyre & Wheel faces significant headwinds with an 11.2% revenue decline, persistent net losses, and a deteriorating equity base. Although free cash flow remains positive, it dropped over 74% year-over-year, alongside elevated financial leverage.

Income Statement

25Negative

Balance Sheet

30Negative

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue445.30M445.30M538.15M533.43M582.28M555.55M
Gross Profit35.51M35.51M152.26M168.44M55.37M59.81M
EBITDA22.02M21.29M-15.12M36.32M36.32M40.56M
Net Income-12.59M-12.59M-43.76M1.56M3.33M9.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets293.05M293.05M354.10M413.10M376.05M385.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.87M20.87M46.99M39.11M33.04M35.83M
Total Debt146.69M146.69M177.42M177.55M160.15M163.39M
Total Liabilities225.15M225.15M267.74M295.80M260.71M273.21M
Stockholders Equity66.37M66.37M83.81M114.54M112.27M108.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.38M9.38M23.34M30.57M20.06M6.71M
Operating Cash Flow11.95M11.95M27.13M35.22M24.17M11.84M
Investing Cash Flow-1.87M-1.87M-2.36M-6.12M-6.25M-52.56M
Financing Cash Flow-37.94M-37.94M-17.21M-23.50M-18.04M44.86M

National Tyre & Wheel Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price0.21

Price Trends

50DMA0.20Positive
100DMA0.20Positive
200DMA0.20Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.01Negative
RSI54.22Neutral
STOCH44.44Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NTD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.21, above the 50-day MA of 0.20, and above the 200-day MA of 0.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:NTD.

National Tyre & Wheel Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:NTD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:ARBAU:ARB73OutperformAUD 1.40B15.0212.52%4.17%-3.83%-5.92%
AU:SNLAU:SNL72OutperformAUD 1.50B31.3930.40%2.34%15.55%17.30%
AU:ABVAU:ABV71OutperformAUD 49.75M23.1516.84%―22.73%15.22%
AU:AMAAU:AMA62NeutralAUD 213.73M32.252.93%1.12%2.46%―
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
AU:RPMAU:RPM46NeutralAUD 3.00M-0.25-23.57%―-10.18%-354.02%
AU:NTDAU:NTD37UnderperformAUD 35.28M-2.80-18.29%―-17.25%74.53%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-75%-50%-25%0%AU:NTDAU:ARBAU:SNLAU:ABVAU:AMAAU:RPMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:NTD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:NTDNational Tyre & Wheel Ltd.0.21-0.09-30.00%
AU:ARBARB Corporation Limited16.67-18.00-51.92%
AU:SNLSupply Network Limited34.210.551.65%
AU:ABVAdvanced Braking Technology Limited0.130.014.17%
AU:AMAAma Group Limited0.45-0.49-52.20%
AU:RPMRPM Automotive Group Ltd.0.01-0.05-83.08%

National Tyre & Wheel Ltd. Corporate Events

NTAW appoints new Chief Operating and Financial Officer to drive integrated strategy

Oct 20, 2026

NTAW Holdings Limited has created a new Chief Operating and Financial Officer role and appointed experienced finance executive Sonya Ryan, who previously served as CFO of The Pedal Group, to take up the position from 4 January 2027. The combined role...

National Tyre & Wheel Unveils 2026 Annual Report and FY2027 Priorities

Oct 9, 2026

National Tyre & Wheel Ltd. has released its 2026 annual report, highlighting its portfolio of premium tyre and wheel brands and outlining its group business structure across Australia and New Zealand. The report also signals management’s st...

NTAW Sets Hybrid Format for 2026 Annual General Meeting

Oct 9, 2026

NTAW Holdings Limited has scheduled its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 10:00 a.m. AEST on Thursday, 12 November 2026, to be held both at HPX Group’s offices in Brisbane and via a virtual webcast platform. Shareholders have been provided electr...

NTAW to List New Shares Issued Under Employee Incentive Scheme

Oct 8, 2026

NTAW Holdings Limited has applied for quotation of 275,862 ordinary fully paid shares on the Australian Securities Exchange under its existing code NTD. The new securities have been issued under an employee incentive scheme, signalling continued use...

National Tyre & Wheel Director John Cunningham Initiates On-Market Shareholding

Oct 2, 2026

National Tyre & Wheel Ltd. operates in the automotive and tyre distribution sector, focusing on supplying tyres, wheels and related products to retail and trade customers across Australia. The company’s market presence is driven by its netw...

National Tyre & Wheel Director Sees Performance Rights Lapse

Oct 1, 2026

National Tyre & Wheel has disclosed a change in the securities held by director Christopher John Hummer, confirming a reduction in his performance rights position. His fully paid ordinary shareholding remains unchanged, while his performance righ...

NTAW Holdings Cancels 1.35 Million Lapsed Conditional Rights

Oct 1, 2026

NTAW Holdings Limited has notified the market of the cessation of 1,350,000 conditional rights to securities, identified under the ASX security code NTDAC. The rights lapsed on 30 September 2026 after the specified conditions for conversion into secu...

NTAW Reshapes Finance Leadership With New Combined Operational Role

Sep 28, 2026

NTAW Holdings Limited has restructured its finance leadership, abolishing the standalone Chief Financial Officer position and creating a new Chief Operational and Financial Officer role that combines finance, operational leadership, project oversight...

EM Australia 2021 Pty Ltd Exits Substantial Holding in National Tyre & Wheel

Sep 28, 2026

National Tyre & Wheel Holdings Limited has disclosed that EM Australia 2021 Pty Ltd has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the company following an off-market transfer. The transaction, dated 19 August 2026, involved the transfer of 5,349,...

NTAW Completes $3.3m Sale of Black Rubber WA Retail Operations

Aug 31, 2026

NTAW Holdings Limited has completed the sale of assets required to run the Black Rubber retail tyre business in Perth and Port Hedland, Western Australia, to Get A Grip Tyres for consideration of $3.3 million including GST and employee leave adjustme...

NTAW Holdings Outlines Governance and Diversity Framework for 2026

Aug 27, 2026

NTAW Holdings Limited has detailed its corporate governance practices for the year to 30 June 2026, confirming alignment with the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s fourth‑edition principles and recommendations. The board has formal chart...

NTAW Holdings Resets Business and Targets Controlled Growth in FY2027

Aug 27, 2026

NTAW Holdings’ Managing Director and CEO Warwick Hay described FY2026 as a year of reset and delivery, highlighting improvements in gross margins, a refined cost base, enhanced balance-sheet flexibility, and the resolution of several structural...

NTAW Revenue Falls but EBITDA Recovers as Loss Narrows

Aug 27, 2026

NTAW Holdings reported a sharp fall in revenue for the year to 30 June 2026, with sales dropping 15.7% to $445.3 million as market conditions weighed on ordinary activities. Despite the top‑line contraction, the group’s EBITDA from contin...

NTAW Flags Late Director Interest Notice, Calls Issue Isolated

Aug 4, 2026

NTAW Holdings Limited has disclosed a late lodgement of an Appendix 3Y, detailing a change in director Terry Smith’s relevant interest following an off-market transfer of shares to a family member on 16 June 2026. The company says the delay aro...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 22, 2026