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Nelson Resources Ltd. (NES) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:NES

Nelson Resources Ltd.

(ASX:NES)

Select Model
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:AUD 0.01â–²(400.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/24/26

Nelson Resources scores near the low end of the range, driven primarily by weak financial performance: zero revenue in FY2026, a widening net loss of about A$1.17 million, and rising cash burn of roughly A$954,000 with no operating cash generation. The partial offset is a clean, debt-free balance sheet with equity nearly doubling to A$4.73 million and negligible capital commitments, though this appears funded by share issuance, implying continued dilution risk. Valuation offers no support, with a negative P/E of -10.0 and no dividend, while technical signals are unavailable and the stock trades at A$0.010 with a very high beta of 3.08, signalling extreme volatility. This is a speculative, exploration-stage holding whose outcome depends on drilling results and access to future capital rather than current financial results.

Positive Factors
Minimal DebtA debt-free recent balance sheet reduces mandatory financing costs and refinancing exposure, preserving financial flexibility while the company works to rebuild operations. Low leverage also leaves more room to fund strategic activity through future capital allocation rather than servicing substantial existing debt.
Negative Factors
No Current Revenue BaseZero reported revenue removes the current operating base needed to fund expenses, demonstrate customer demand, and build a repeatable growth model. Until revenue is restored and sustained, the company has limited evidence of commercial traction and remains highly dependent on non-operating funding.

Nelson Resources Ltd. (NES) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Not enough price history over this period.

Market Cap
AUD 8.35M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-15.0
Beta (1Y)
3.37
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
0.00%
Country
Australia
Employees
120
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gold

Nelson Resources Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating within Australia, Nelson Resources Limited specializes in the discovery and advancement of natural resource deposits, with a primary focus on gold and nickel. A cornerstone of its operations is the 1,185 square kilometer Woodline Project, s...

Nelson Resources Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials reflect a pre-revenue junior gold explorer. Revenue fell to zero in FY2026 (from A$10,958 in FY2025), the net loss widened to about A$1.17 million from A$0.84 million, and operating cash outflow grew to roughly A$953,000 with free cash outflow near A$954,000 — a burn increase of almost 40% year over year. The income statement (8) and cash flow (12) scores are very weak, with losses being real cash costs and no operating engine. The balance sheet (55) is the sole offset: zero debt, equity nearly doubled to A$4.73 million funding about 95% of assets, and capital spending is now negligible. However, that equity rebuild appears driven by share issuance rather than profits, leaving persistent dilution risk and full dependence on external funding.

Income Statement

8Very Negative

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

12Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue39.47K39.47K10.96K36.76K45.27K374.49K
Gross Profit-2,114-2,11510.96K12.51K45.27K-1.13M
EBITDA-1.16M-1.16M-497.38K-6.38M-907.00K-1.88M
Net Income-1.17M-1.17M-838.61K-6.40M-1.31M-2.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.98M4.98M2.53M1.24M7.36M7.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.10M2.10M1.57M100.97K896.80K1.06M
Total Debt0000249.68K249.68K
Total Liabilities254.52K254.52K82.72K208.49K71.94K470.20K
Stockholders Equity4.73M4.73M2.44M1.04M7.29M7.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-954.28K-954.28K-684.44K-811.63K-1.66M-3.35M
Operating Cash Flow-952.51K-952.51K-490.80K-222.73K-796.23K-2.98M
Investing Cash Flow-1.92M-1.92M-176.37K-573.10K-623.60K-339.12K
Financing Cash Flow3.40M3.40M2.14M01.26M4.25M

Nelson Resources Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:NES against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:TMBAU:TMB42NeutralAUD 7.30M-2.97-18.74%――61.74%
AU:E79AU:E7941NeutralAUD 9.19M-2.57-30.14%――36.31%
AU:NESAU:NES40UnderperformAUD 6.96M-15.00-24.46%――0.00%
AU:NSMAU:NSM38UnderperformAUD 5.83M-4.29-8.22%――-16.67%
AU:FNRAU:FNR37UnderperformAUD 14.29M-15.44-12.64%――-28.00%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%AU:TMBAU:E79AU:NSMAU:FNRAU:49MDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AU:NES and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:NESNelson Resources Ltd.―――
AU:TMBTambourah Metals Ltd0.03-0.07-70.00%
AU:E79E79 Gold Mines Limited0.030.008.33%
AU:NSMNorth Stawell Minerals, Ltd.0.01-0.02-59.46%
AU:FNRFar Northern Resources Limited0.190.0535.71%
AU:49M49 Metals Limited0.09-0.07-44.85%

Nelson Resources Ltd. Corporate Events

Nelson Resources Files Updated Corporate Governance Statement with ASX

Sep 23, 2026

Nelson Resources Limited has lodged its Appendix 4G and confirmed that its current corporate governance statement for the year ended 30 June 2026 is available on its website, in compliance with ASX Listing Rules. The board-approved statement outlines...

Nelson Resources Outlines Corporate Structure in 2026 Annual Report

Sep 23, 2026

Nelson Resources Limited released its annual report for the year ended 30 June 2026, outlining its formal corporate structure and governance arrangements. The report highlights the company’s established presence on the ASX, its Perth-based operations...

Nelson Resources Sells Non-Core WA Gold Projects to Refocus on Nevada

Sep 13, 2026

Nelson Resources has agreed to sell its non-core Woodline (Socrates) and Fortnum exploration projects in Western Australia, unlocking up to $1.09 million in cash and contingent payments. The Woodline deal includes $600,000 in staged cash and up to $4...

Nelson Resources Maps New Copper Oxide Zone at Nevada Gold Point Project

Aug 23, 2026

Nelson Resources has identified widespread copper oxide mineralisation, dominated by chrysocolla with minor malachite and chalcocite, in dump and float material in the southern part of its Gold Point Project in Nevada. The occurrence lies about 1.5km...

Nelson Resources Steps Up Nevada Gold and Tungsten Exploration

Jul 23, 2026

Nelson Resources has launched maiden underground drilling at the historic Orleans Mine in Nevada’s Gold Point Project after completing rehabilitation and confirming high-grade gold-silver mineralization via chip sampling. The company is applying a st...

Nelson Resources Defines Four Priority Targets at Nevada Tungsten Property

Jul 21, 2026

Nelson Resources has delineated four priority exploration targets, named Ophir, Levant, Malabar and Serica, at its Cinnamon Tungsten Property in Nevada following high-resolution airborne magnetic and radiometric surveys and hyperspectral analysis. Th...

Nelson Resources launches metallurgical testing and prepares new drilling at high-grade Orleans Mine

Jul 14, 2026

Nelson Resources has begun metallurgical testing on four composite samples from the Orleans Mine at its Gold Point Project in Nevada, aiming to evaluate the processing characteristics of both high-grade vein material and lower-grade remnant ore left...

Nelson Resources’ CSAMT Survey Maps Vein Extensions at Nevada Gold Point Project

Jul 12, 2026

Nelson Resources has completed a Controlled Source Audio-frequency Magnetotellurics survey at its Gold Point Project in Nevada, defining resistive and conductive anomalies that align with the historic Orleans, Great Western and Grand Central vein sys...

Nelson Resources Adds Director Nicholas Ong With Significant Indirect Stake

Jul 7, 2026

Nelson Resources Ltd. has appointed Nicholas Ong as a director effective 6 July 2026, strengthening its board with a figure who holds significant indirect stakes in the company. The filing notes that Ong has no directly registered holdings, but contr...

Nelson Resources Reshapes Board as Gold Point Drilling Progresses in Nevada

Jul 6, 2026

Nelson Resources has refreshed its board, announcing the immediate resignation of Director Dr Louis Bucci and the appointment of Nicholas Ong as a Non-Executive Director, bringing two decades of governance and gold mining operations experience. The b...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 24, 2026