Mustera Property Group Ltd. (MPX) AI Stock Analysis

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Mustera Property Group Ltd.

(ASX:MPX)

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Rating:46Neutral

Price Target:AUD 0.10▲(96.00% Upside)

Action:upgraded

Date:03/24/26

The score is primarily held back by volatile financial performance—FY2025 saw a sharp revenue decline and a return to losses—despite improved leverage and recently positive cash flow. Technical indicators also lean weak (negative MACD and price below longer-term averages). Valuation signals are not supportive due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors

Improved leverageA meaningful reduction in leverage from ~4.4x to ~0.6x materially improves solvency and reduces refinancing risk for a property developer, increasing resilience to downturns and enhancing capacity to fund new projects or absorb shocks over the next 2–6 months.

Negative Factors

Severe revenue declineAn ~83% revenue decline signals heavy project-timing or demand disruption; such large swings undermine visibility into future sales, reduce scale benefits on fixed costs, and complicate execution, planning and margin stability for the development pipeline over the medium term.

Mustera Property Group Ltd. (MPX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Market Cap: AUD 20.47M
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 4,400
Price to Earnings (P/E): -14.1
Beta (1Y): 0.22
Revenue Growth: 6.30%
EPS Growth: 20.22%
Country: Australia
Employees: ―
Sector: Real Estate
Sector Strength: 65
Industry: Real Estate - Development

Mustera Property Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mustera Property Group Limited, along with its associated entities, functions as an Australian enterprise focused on property investment and development. The company's activities are organized into two primary divisions: property investment and prope...

Mustera Property Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial results are highly volatile: FY2025 revenue fell sharply (~83% YoY) and profitability swung from profit in FY2024 (net margin ~12%) to a loss in FY2025 (net margin ~-21%). A key offset is improved leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~0.6x in FY2025 from ~4.4x in FY2023) and recently positive operating/free cash flow, but inconsistency and periodic losses keep risk elevated.

Income Statement

34Negative

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

57Neutral

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Jun 2025	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	14.65M	12.39M	68.76M	2.25M	3.73M	5.35M
Gross Profit	8.23M	12.39M	14.35M	476.00K	644.66K	284.61K
EBITDA	-3.43M	153.25K	13.84M	-2.04M	-182.94K	-1.30M
Net Income	-1.46M	-2.60M	8.31M	-5.75M	-2.23M	-2.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	41.98M	44.18M	58.60M	81.25M	53.64M	42.03M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.95M	686.67K	6.73M	1.09M	894.67K	421.45K
Total Debt	17.61M	18.31M	30.55M	58.05M	31.04M	21.58M
Total Liabilities	24.55M	26.02M	37.84M	68.19M	35.95M	28.51M
Stockholders Equity	17.43M	18.16M	20.76M	13.06M	17.70M	13.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	8.00M	6.82M	33.48M	-25.18M	-13.47M	956.73K
Operating Cash Flow	8.00M	6.82M	33.85M	-25.18M	-13.47M	1.16M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.48M	-10.24K	-507.63K	-550.16K	-2.14M	-2.35M
Financing Cash Flow	255.06K	-12.85M	-27.69M	25.92M	16.08M	1.32M

Mustera Property Group Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price0.05

Price Trends

50DMA0.09Negative

100DMA0.09Negative

200DMA0.11Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Positive

RSI0.02Positive

STOCH0.00Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MPX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, below the 50-day MA of 0.09, and below the 200-day MA of 0.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 0.02 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:MPX.

Mustera Property Group Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

AU:MPX against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
AU:ACU	66Neutral	AUD 19.84M	10.90	6.56%	5.06%	-2.50%	49.06%
Sector *	65Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%
AU:FRI	65Neutral	AUD 195.93M	9.66	7.92%	7.59%	-29.40%	40.91%
AU:G1C	59Neutral	AUD 19.40M	55.00	6.16%	―	102.83%	-41.18%
AU:MPX	46Neutral	AUD 7.34M	-14.14	-8.18%	―	6.30%	20.22%
AU:DGH	40Underperform	AUD 32.73M	1333.33	0.03%	―	-2.71%	-99.38%
AU:AXI	38Underperform	AUD 6.00M	-0.77	-170.91%	―	-88.45%	-200.00%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

AU:MPX and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
AU:MPX	Mustera Property Group Ltd.	0.05	-0.09	-64.29%
AU:FRI	Finbar Group Limited	0.72	-0.15	-16.76%
AU:AXI	Axiom Properties Ltd	0.01	-0.00	-7.69%
AU:DGH	Desane Group Holdings Ltd	0.80	-0.06	-6.98%
AU:G1C	Raptis Group Ltd.	0.06	-0.01	-17.91%
AU:ACU	Acumentis Group Limited	0.09	0.02	23.61%

Mustera Property Group Ltd. Corporate Events

Mustera advances Verse on McCabe as pre-sales climb to $44.1m

Jul 31, 2026

Mustera Property Group reported solid progress at its Verse on McCabe project in North Fremantle during the June quarter, with demolition completed, site offices established and piling works largely finished as early construction moved ahead. Marketi...

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026

Mustera Property Group Ltd. AI Stock Analysis