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Kaiser Reef Ltd (KAU) AI Stock Analysis

AU:KAU

Kaiser Reef Ltd

(ASX:KAU)

Select Model
Rating:68.4Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.16â–²(9.33% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/02/26

The overall score reflects a promising but still emerging investment case: a strong recent turnaround to profitable, cash-generating operations with a conservatively leveraged balance sheet and attractive low P/E valuation, offset by weak current price momentum and a limited, volatile track record that introduces meaningful execution and sustainability risk.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Profitability ReboundThe sharp 2026 improvement shows stronger operating performance, with revenue growth accompanied by healthy gross, operating, and net margins. If maintained, this combination can improve internal funding capacity, support mine investment, and strengthen the company’s earnings base over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Earnings VolatilityThe recent rebound has not yet removed the evidence of pronounced earnings cyclicality. Large prior losses and weak margins make future profitability less predictable, complicate planning and capital allocation, and increase the risk that reported earnings could weaken materially during less favorable operating periods.

Kaiser Reef Ltd (KAU) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%60%80%AU:KAU-41.18%EWA+14.93%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
AUD 90.80M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.29M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
5.3
Beta (1Y)
0.76
Revenue Growth
331.30%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Australia
Employees
18
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gold

Kaiser Reef Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kaiser Reef Limited engages in the exploration, development, mining, production, and sale of gold in Australia. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Kaiser Reef’s primary source of revenue is the sale of gold produced from its mining operations. The company generates gold-bearing ore from its underground and/or surface mining activities, processes that material (either through company-operated fa...

Kaiser Reef Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is solidly above average, driven by a sharp revenue step-up, double-digit margins, improved return on equity near 20%, and positive free cash flow, but tempered by a short and volatile history of profitability and cash generation.

Income Statement

73Positive

Balance Sheet

81Very Positive

Cash Flow

66Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue150.23M150.23M34.83M23.74M30.71M22.80M
Gross Profit29.98M29.98M143.29K-3.27M3.01M5.87M
EBITDA45.21M45.21M-307.27K-1.74M4.93M4.54M
Net Income16.83M16.83M-20.24M-5.53M1.17M-2.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets142.35M142.35M120.26M30.24M32.30M29.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.05M37.05M24.76M1.11M3.23M6.58M
Total Debt10.21M10.21M9.89M599.82K543.37K267.84K
Total Liabilities58.15M58.15M51.66M6.14M7.08M6.76M
Stockholders Equity84.20M84.20M68.60M24.10M25.22M22.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.04M13.04M-7.56M-4.86M-4.12M-3.02M
Operating Cash Flow44.74M44.74M5.13M467.76K5.26M5.65M
Investing Cash Flow-35.79M-35.79M-33.53M-5.33M-9.39M-8.59M
Financing Cash Flow7.34M7.34M48.05M2.75M764.86K4.74M

Kaiser Reef Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.15

Price Trends

50DMA0.20Negative
100DMA0.20Negative
200DMA0.25Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Negative
RSI32.17Neutral
STOCH38.89Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:KAU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.17, below the 50-day MA of 0.20, and below the 200-day MA of 0.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 32.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:KAU.

Kaiser Reef Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:KAU against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:RNDAU:RND73OutperformAUD 123.99M5.1220.31%4.59%19.64%81.68%
AU:KAUAU:KAU68NeutralAUD 93.82M5.3420.78%―331.30%―
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:PGLAU:PGL43NeutralAUD 87.76M-6.07-27.74%――75.42%
AU:TAMAU:TAM42NeutralAUD 131.61M-9.82-10.42%――-17.39%
AU:FXGAU:FXG39UnderperformAUD 72.29M-7.14-18.80%――-133.33%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%AU:KAUAU:PGLAU:RNDAU:TAMAU:FXGAU:VALDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AU:KAU and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:KAUKaiser Reef Ltd0.15-0.11-41.18%
AU:PGLPilbara Gold Limited0.41-0.12-22.86%
AU:RNDRand Mining Limited2.11-0.14-6.22%
AU:TAMTanami Gold NL0.06-0.00-5.08%
AU:FXGFelix Gold Ltd.0.14-0.32-69.23%
AU:VALValiant Gold Limited0.25-0.05-16.67%

Kaiser Reef Ltd Corporate Events

Kaiser Reef Highlights Profitable Gold Production and Growth Potential in Investor Update

Oct 26, 2026

Kaiser Reef Ltd has provided an investor-focused company update in conjunction with its participation at IMARC in October 2026, highlighting its status as a profitable, dual-asset Australian gold producer with district-scale growth ambitions. The upd...

Kaiser Reef Lifts Cash, Extends Henty Mine Life as Maldon Development Advances

Oct 25, 2026

Kaiser Reef reported quarterly gold production of 6,263 ounces across its Henty and Maldon operations, lifting cash and bullion holdings to A$40 million and generating underlying cash flow of A$5.6 million while reducing debt. The company fully repai...

Kaiser Reef Plans Issue of Director Performance Rights

Oct 13, 2026

Kaiser Reef Ltd is an ASX-listed company, trading under the code KAU. The announcement relates to the company’s capital markets activity, specifically the proposed issue of director performance rights, indicating a focus on equity-based executi...

Kaiser Reef Moves AGM Materials and Voting Online Ahead of November Meeting

Oct 13, 2026

Kaiser Reef Ltd has called its Annual General Meeting of shareholders for 13 November 2026 in Perth, with proceedings scheduled to start at 10:00am AWST. The company is adopting a largely electronic approach to meeting documentation, making the Notic...

Kaiser Reef Sets 2026 AGM to Vote on Governance, Incentives and Capital Mandate

Oct 13, 2026

Kaiser Reef Ltd has called its annual general meeting for 13 November 2026 in Perth, setting out a slate of resolutions that will shape its governance and capital structure. Shareholders are being asked to endorse the 2026 remuneration report, vote o...

Kaiser Reef lifts cash balance as gold output supports debt paydown

Oct 8, 2026

Kaiser Reef reported quarterly production of 6,263 ounces of gold from its Henty and Maldon operations, alongside silver output of 5,259 ounces from Henty, and closed the period with cash and bullion of A$40 million. The company emphasised that Henty...

Kaiser Reef Maintains Six-Year Mine Life at Henty with Updated Gold Reserves

Sep 6, 2026

Kaiser Reef Ltd, a profitable Australian gold producer operating underground mines in Tasmania and Victoria, has highlighted the Henty Gold Mine as a key asset with significant ongoing exploration potential. The company is expanding drilling efforts...

Kaiser Reef Completes High-Resolution Survey at Maldon Gold Project

Aug 23, 2026

Kaiser Reef Ltd has completed a close-spaced, low-altitude helicopter magnetic and radiometric survey over 59 square kilometres at its Maldon Gold Project in Victoria. The program follows earlier soil surveys that identified multiple gold and arsenic...

Kaiser Reef Targets Extra 3,100oz from A1 Tailings to Boost Maldon Plant Feed

Aug 16, 2026

Kaiser Reef has completed a JORC-compliant inferred mineral resource estimate for historical tailings at the A1 Gold Mine in Victoria, identifying an A1 Tailings Stockpile of about 77,000 tonnes grading 1.25 grams per tonne for roughly 3,100 ounces o...

Kaiser Reef Starts Underground Development at Maldon’s Union Hill Gold Mine

Aug 10, 2026

Kaiser Reef has commenced underground development at the Union Hill Gold Mine within its Maldon Gold Project in Victoria, taking the first cut on the Northern Drill Drive after nearly eight years without on-site development. The project benefits from...

Flynn Gold secures potential processing route via Henty ore agreement

Aug 5, 2026

Flynn Gold has signed a non-binding ore purchase agreement with Kaiser Reef’s Henty Gold Mine in western Tasmania, outlining a framework for Henty to buy ore or concentrates from Flynn for processing through its existing plant. The arrangement...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 02, 2026