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Horizon Oil Limited (HZN) AI Stock Analysis

AU:HZN

Horizon Oil Limited

(ASX:HZN)

Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:AUD 0.25â–²(15.35% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/28/26

Record production, reserve growth and robust cash generation from earnings call and financials are key positives, complemented by high dividend yield. Moderate technical momentum and leverage concerns are secondary factors.

Positive Factors
Production and reserve growthRecord output and reserve replacement strengthen the production base and extend asset life. Reserve growth exceeding annual production supports future volumes, while the five-country, nine-asset platform provides multiple development avenues.
Negative Factors
Revenue and margin deteriorationThe weaker top line and compressed margins show that profitability remains exposed to commodity prices, production mix and cost conditions. Lower operating leverage could limit earnings growth even if production volumes continue rising.

Horizon Oil Limited (HZN) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%AU:HZN+16.85%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 267.44M
Dividend Yield
12.21%
Average Volume (3M)
1.27M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
23.3
Beta (1Y)
-0.16
Revenue Growth
-23.44%
EPS Growth
-18.10%
Country
Australia
Employees
17
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Horizon Oil Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Horizon Oil Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas properties in China, New Zealand, Australia, and Thailand. It also involved in the exploration and evaluation of hydrocarbons....

How the Company Makes Money

Horizon Oil makes money by monetizing its working interests in oil and gas assets through the sale of produced hydrocarbons. Its primary revenue stream is sales of crude oil and/or natural gas (including liquids/condensate, where applicable) from fie...

Horizon Oil Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 25, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:-4.02%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 23, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call communicated a strong operational and financial year driven by record production, meaningful reserve and resource growth, successful integration of acquisitions (Thailand and Cue) and solid cash generation while maintaining low operating costs. Management emphasized diversification, capital discipline, and a pipeline of accretive, infrastructure-led projects across multiple jurisdictions. Near-term challenges include timing-related deferred liftings, a mix-driven reduction in realized unit price, significant non-cash amortization that weighed on statutory profit, and elevated near-term capital commitments (which influenced a moderated final dividend). On balance, the business shows strengthened scale, multiple growth options, sustained cash generation and manageable net debt, outweighing the near-term capital and accounting headwinds.

Positive Updates

Record Production and Sales
FY'26 net production reached a record 2.15 million barrels of oil equivalent (boe) and record sales of 1.98 million boe. Production was up 33% year-on-year and sales were up 22% versus the comparative period.

Negative Updates

Timing of Liftings and Deferred Revenue
Approximately 130,000 barrels of crude oil inventory were on hand at June 30 due to lifting timing; these were sold early in FY'27 and generated over USD 10 million of additional revenue, indicating FY'26 results were affected by timing rather than volume weakness.

Company Guidance

Horizon’s guidance is to maximize cash flow, selectively reinvest and continue shareholder returns: FY‑26 delivered record production of 2.15 million boe and sales of 1.98 million boe, underlying revenue USD 107.2m, EBITDAX USD 56.4m, operating cash flow USD 47.2m (+32% y/y), free cash flow USD 36.6m, ending cash USD 37.4m and modest net debt USD 11.3m after USD 33.1m returned to shareholders (dividends declared AUD 0.025/share; interim AUD 0.015, final AUD 0.01). Near‑term guidance targets sustaining and growing output from a 5‑country, 9‑asset platform with current group production ~7,300 boe/d (Thailand ~2,100 boe/d; China Block 22/12 ~2,000 boe/d net), net 2P reserves 13.6m bbl and 2C resources 19.8m boe, low cash operating costs ~USD 21/boe (<USD 25/boe), immediate actions including Pad D tie‑in lifting Thailand >10% to >107 MMscf/d, Nam Phong booster due next month, five wells committed over six months plus ~3 development wells likely early next year, and continued disciplined capital allocation and modest gearing unless an accretive opportunity arises.

Horizon Oil Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong cash flow generation with high earnings quality and limited capex needs, tempered by rising debt levels and revenue cyclicality.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

47Neutral

Cash Flow

86Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue84.42M96.41M104.13M111.60M150.56M112.60M
Gross Profit15.42M23.16M27.37M55.19M66.77M50.73M
EBITDA58.66M53.54M57.06M75.88M104.77M68.05M
Net Income10.57M10.88M12.25M25.90M43.85M24.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets294.81M294.81M180.16M205.28M184.64M183.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.38M37.38M39.78M52.57M43.49M44.08M
Total Debt47.95M47.95M25.66M25.86M8.21M1.23M
Total Liabilities201.57M201.57M114.86M122.03M89.08M84.29M
Stockholders Equity66.01M66.01M65.30M83.24M95.55M99.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow45.76M48.26M20.86M54.52M40.50M44.07M
Operating Cash Flow45.59M48.27M35.89M64.22M71.05M53.97M
Investing Cash Flow-34.45M-36.98M-16.52M-36.01M-32.29M-10.44M
Financing Cash Flow-13.50M-13.91M-32.06M-19.22M-40.33M-46.83M

Horizon Oil Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price0.21

Price Trends

50DMA0.21Positive
100DMA0.21Positive
200DMA0.21Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI58.54Neutral
STOCH69.19Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:HZN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.20, above the 50-day MA of 0.21, and above the 200-day MA of 0.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:HZN.

Horizon Oil Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

AU:HZN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:HZNAU:HZN70OutperformAUD 383.32M23.2717.91%12.21%-23.44%-18.10%
AU:ECHAU:ECH67NeutralAUD 72.78M5.2913.95%2.97%-45.07%297.79%
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
AU:OMAAU:OMA55NeutralAUD 450.76M-50.30-5.15%――-35.25%
AU:CVNAU:CVN47NeutralAUD 187.64M-43.75-1.58%――-220.00%
AU:STXAU:STX46NeutralAUD 357.02M-12.86-7.49%―-13.67%85.97%
AU:COIAU:COI39UnderperformAUD 117.53M-18.92-4.77%――-76.19%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%AU:HZNAU:COIAU:CVNAU:ECHAU:STXAU:OMADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:HZN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:HZNHorizon Oil Limited0.210.0316.85%
AU:COIComet Ridge Ltd0.07-0.05-44.00%
AU:CVNCarnarvon Energy Limited0.100.0110.53%
AU:ECHNew Zealand Oil & Gas Limited0.33-0.04-9.97%
AU:STXStrike Energy Limited0.10-0.01-10.00%
AU:OMAOmega Oil & Gas Limited0.830.47130.56%

Horizon Oil Limited Corporate Events

Horizon Oil Publishes Audio Webcast for FY26 Results

Aug 27, 2026

Horizon Oil Limited has released a YouTube link to the audio webcast accompanying its FY26 results presentation, providing investors and stakeholders with an opportunity to access management&#8217;s commentary on the company&#8217;s performance. The...

Horizon Oil Sets FY26 Reporting Framework and Consolidates New Assets

Aug 27, 2026

Horizon Oil Limited has outlined its FY26 results framework, highlighting the use of non-IFRS financial measures such as Underlying Revenue, EBITDAX, Free Cash Flow and Net Debt to assess operational performance alongside statutory accounts. The comp...

Horizon Oil Details ESG Strategy in FY26 Sustainability Report

Aug 27, 2026

Horizon Oil has released its FY26 Sustainability Report outlining its approach to environmental, social and governance performance as it navigates the global energy transition. The report details sustainability governance structures, stakeholder enga...

Horizon Oil Tightens Governance Focus With ESG and Diversity Targets

Aug 27, 2026

Horizon Oil Limited has reaffirmed its commitment to a robust corporate governance framework, outlining the board&#8217;s central role in shaping strategy, overseeing performance and safeguarding shareholder interests. The company operates through a...

Horizon Oil Sets Webcast for FY26 Results, Confirms AGM Date

Aug 24, 2026

Horizon Oil has scheduled a shareholder briefing via live audio webcast on 27 August 2026 to discuss its FY26 full-year financial results, with Chief Executive Officer Richard Beament and Chief Financial Officer Kyle Keen leading the presentation. Th...

Horizon Oil Releases CEO Webcast on Corporate Overview

Aug 12, 2026

Horizon Oil Limited has released a corporate overview webcast featuring CEO Richard Beament, who provides commentary on the company&#8217;s latest presentation and strategic positioning. The webcast offers investors and stakeholders further insight i...

Horizon Oil Clarifies Reserves Reporting and Integrates Cue Acquisition

Aug 11, 2026

Horizon Oil Limited has issued a corporate overview detailing the basis for its reported reserves and resources and clarifying the technical definitions used for liquids, raw gas and sales gas across its portfolio of fields. The presentation confirms...

Horizon Oil boosts reserves and resources on Thai and Cue acquisitions

Aug 9, 2026

Horizon Oil Limited has sharply expanded its oil and gas reserve base following indirect acquisitions in Thailand through MH Energy Thailand and in Australia, New Zealand and Indonesia via Cue Energy Resources. These deals, focused largely on gas ass...

Horizon Oil Director Adjusts Holdings After Settlement of Deferred STI Rights

Jul 3, 2026

Horizon Oil Limited has reported a change in the interests of director Richard Beament, following the cash settlement of his vested 2025 Deferred Short-Term Incentive (STI) Rights. The transaction involved the disposal of 1,612,425 Deferred STI Right...

Horizon Oil Cancels Over 3.2 Million Share Rights in Capital Update

Jul 3, 2026

Horizon Oil Limited has notified the market of the cessation of 3,209,492 share rights identified under ASX code HZNAL, effective 2 July 2026. The announcement updates investors on changes to the company&#8217;s issued capital structure, signalling a...

Horizon Oil Secures Control of Cue Energy, Expanding Production and Reserves

Jul 2, 2026

Horizon Oil Limited has completed its off-market takeover of Cue Energy Resources, securing a 57.03% controlling interest after an initial pre-bid stake and subsequent share-based and cash consideration. The transaction raises Horizon&#8217;s daily p...

Horizon Oil Reveals Shareholder Distribution After Cue Energy Takeover Bid Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Horizon Oil Limited has completed its off&#8209;market takeover offer for Cue Energy Resources, with the bid closing on 19 June 2026. Following the offer, the company has released an updated distribution schedule of shareholders and a list of its 20...

Horizon Oil Seeks ASX Quotation for 146.9 Million New Shares

Jul 1, 2026

Horizon Oil Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 146,890,089 new ordinary fully paid shares, to be issued on 2 July 2026 under its existing Appendix 3B framework. The enlarged quoted securities base may enhance trading liquidity and capita...

Echelon Strengthens Balance Sheet With Cue Share Sale to Horizon Oil

Jun 26, 2026

Echelon Resources Limited has completed settlement of the sale of 139,885,879 shares in Cue Energy Resources Limited to Horizon Oil, receiving approximately A$15.7 million in cash proceeds. The company plans to use most of the funds to repay existing...

Horizon Oil Secures Majority Stake in Cue Energy After Takeover Completion

Jun 26, 2026

Horizon Oil Limited has completed the acquisition of Echelon Offshore Limited&#8217;s 139,885,879 shares in Cue Energy Resources, lifting its holding in Cue to 57.06% following the close of its off-market takeover offer on 19 June 2026. The company s...

Horizon Oil Makes Cue Energy Takeover Offer Unconditional and Speeds Up Payout

Jun 17, 2026

Horizon Oil has declared its off&#8209;market takeover offer for Cue Energy Resources unconditional, removing the final condition related to prescribed occurrences and confirming that the bid will now proceed regardless of further events. The offer c...

Cue Energy Board Urges Shareholders to Reject Horizon’s Best-and-Final Takeover Bid

Jun 10, 2026

Cue Energy has reaffirmed its stance against Horizon Oil Limited&#8217;s unsolicited off-market takeover bid, with its Independent Board Committee unanimously urging shareholders to reject the offer by taking no action. The board maintains its previo...

Horizon Oil Clears Regulatory Hurdles and Extends Cue Energy Takeover Offer

May 29, 2026

Horizon Oil has cleared all regulatory approval conditions tied to its off&#8209;market takeover bid for Cue Energy Resources and has extended the offer period to 19 June 2026. With approvals under New Zealand Crown Minerals and the Northern Territor...

Horizon Oil clears key regulatory hurdle in Cue Energy takeover bid

May 29, 2026

Horizon Oil has confirmed that a key regulatory condition tied to its off-market takeover bid for Cue Energy Resources has been satisfied, removing an important hurdle to the transaction. The condition related to obtaining ministerial consent or appr...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2026