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Greenvale Mining (GRV) AI Stock Analysis

AU:GRV

Greenvale Mining

(ASX:GRV)

Select Model
Rating:37Underperform
Price Target:AUD 0.02â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:09/27/26

The overall score is at the minimum of 37, reflecting a convergence of severe risks. The primary driver is the company's fundamental lack of earnings power and return to significant cash burn, which threatens its debt-free balance sheet. This is compounded by a bearish technical trend with the stock in a clear downtrend across all timeframes. The negative P/E ratio further confirms the lack of current value creation, leaving no positive factors to offset the high-risk profile of this pre-revenue explorer.

Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheetA zero-debt balance sheet reduces near-term leverage and interest obligations, giving Greenvale greater flexibility while it pursues exploration and development. This cushion can help preserve strategic options during periods of weak operating performance, although it does not eliminate funding needs.
Negative Factors
Minimal revenue baseThe return to zero revenue indicates that Greenvale has not established a dependable commercial revenue stream. Without recurring top-line generation, the company remains heavily dependent on funding or asset-development progress to sustain operations and create a durable earnings base.

Greenvale Mining (GRV) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%AU:GRV-60.00%EWA+15.36%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 11.85M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
933.63K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-8.5
Beta (1Y)
0.21
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
7.14%
Country
Australia
Employees
4
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Greenvale Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Greenvale Energy Ltd primarily focuses on the exploration and development of mineral properties throughout Australia. The company actively seeks a wide range of minerals, including hydrocarbons, copper, gold, uranium, and other valuable elements such...

How the Company Makes Money

null

Greenvale Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is critically weak. The company is pre-revenue with persistent, significant operating losses and deeply negative margins. A debt-free balance sheet provides some stability, but this is overshadowed by a return to severe cash burn in FY2026 after a brief positive turn, indicating a high-risk, non-self-sustaining financial profile.

Income Statement

8Very Negative

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

15Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue00449.55K000
Gross Profit-5,068-5,068449.55K-93.51K-57.49K-48.00K
EBITDA-1.65M-1.47M-1.28M-3.21M-3.36M-7.25M
Net Income-1.48M-1.48M-1.37M-2.98M-3.77M-7.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.66M10.66M10.16M11.49M14.58M13.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments806.97K806.97K2.12M1.52M5.16M4.34M
Total Debt0002.63M3.83M101.95K
Total Liabilities399.25K399.25K266.59K3.21M4.17M884.71K
Stockholders Equity10.26M10.26M9.89M8.28M10.41M12.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-946.86K-946.86K888.88K-3.66M-4.56M-6.40M
Operating Cash Flow-946.86K-946.86K912.00K-634.97K-1.14M-1.25M
Investing Cash Flow-2.20M-2.20M-117.32K-3.00M-3.47M-5.25M
Financing Cash Flow1.84M1.84M-200.00K05.43M992.12K

Greenvale Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price0.02

Price Trends

50DMA0.02Negative
100DMA0.03Negative
200DMA0.03Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI48.28Neutral
STOCH22.22Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GRV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, below the 50-day MA of 0.02, and below the 200-day MA of 0.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:GRV.

Greenvale Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

AU:GRV against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
AU:HPRAU:HPR60NeutralAUD 20.86M9.3813.90%―-14.53%―
AU:88EAU:88E46NeutralAUD 26.62M-0.68-38.84%――-45.54%
AU:XSTAU:XST42NeutralAUD 4.32M-0.99-24.29%―-100.00%75.20%
AU:QEMAU:QEM41NeutralAUD 4.38M-1.29-85.63%――48.31%
AU:GRVAU:GRV37UnderperformAUD 15.24M-8.46-13.89%――7.14%
AU:BNLAU:BNL37UnderperformAUD 13.54M-0.69-138.57%―-20.99%-46.62%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%AU:GRVAU:BNLAU:88EAU:XSTAU:HPRAU:QEMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:GRV and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:GRVGreenvale Mining Ltd.0.02-0.03-60.00%
AU:BNLBlue Star Helium Limited0.11-0.39-78.00%
AU:88E88 Energy Limited0.020.000.00%
AU:XSTXstate Resources Limited0.01-0.01-52.38%
AU:HPRHigh Peak Royalties Limited0.100.0466.67%
AU:QEMQEM Limited0.01-0.01-29.41%

Greenvale Mining Corporate Events

Greenvale Energy Sets 2026 AGM Date and Director Nomination Deadline

Sep 25, 2026

Greenvale Energy has scheduled its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 23 November 2026, with full agenda details and participation instructions to be provided in a forthcoming Notice of AGM to shareholders and via the ASX platform and company website. T...

Greenvale Energy Publishes 2026 Annual Financial Report

Sep 24, 2026

Greenvale Energy Limited has released its annual financial report for the year ended 30 June 2026, providing shareholders and the market with a consolidated view of its financial position, cash flows, and changes in equity. The report also includes a...

Greenvale flags new large-scale uranium targets at Thunderball project

Sep 23, 2026

Greenvale Energy has identified additional large-scale uranium targets at its Thunderball Uranium Project in the Northern Territory following an independent geophysical review. The work over exploration licences EL34157 and EL33670 merged magnetics,...

Greenvale Energy shareholders back capital resolutions at general meeting

Sep 21, 2026

Greenvale Energy has confirmed that all resolutions put to shareholders at its 21 September 2026 general meeting were passed by poll, including ratification of recent placement shares, approval to issue placement options and securities to directors a...

Greenvale Moves to Upgrade Thunderball Uranium Resource to JORC 2012 Standard

Sep 9, 2026

Greenvale has outlined the historical basis and current status of the Thunderball uranium mineral resource estimate, originally defined by Thundelarra in 2011 under older JORC standards and supported by extensive RC and diamond drilling. While the co...

Greenvale widens Alpha bitumen test program after Technix phase ends

Sep 8, 2026

Greenvale Energy has expanded the scope of its Alpha Test Program 7 in Queensland after concluding initial work with Technix, shifting to a broader development program with SAMI Bitumen Technologies. The company is now targeting multiple commercial p...

Greenvale flags major paleochannel uranium target at Thunderball project

Sep 2, 2026

Greenvale Energy has identified a significant paleochannel-style uranium target at the Powers Prospect within Exploration Licence 34157 at its Thunderball Uranium Project in the Northern Territory. The target extends for roughly 9 kilometres in strik...

Greenvale maps 9km paleochannel uranium target at Thunderball project

Aug 31, 2026

Greenvale Energy has delineated a substantial paleochannel uranium target at the Powers Prospect within its Thunderball Uranium Project in the Northern Territory, extending roughly 9km in strike and up to 400m in width. The target, interpreted as pot...

Greenvale Energy Wins Shareholder Backing for Consideration Share Issue

Aug 24, 2026

Greenvale Energy has confirmed that all resolutions put to shareholders at its general meeting on 24 August 2026 were passed by poll, including approval to issue consideration shares with strong support from voting investors. The board-approved outco...

Greenvale Revises Timetable for Pine Creek Uranium Rights Deal

Aug 21, 2026

Greenvale Energy and Patronus Resources have agreed to revise the timetable for completing remaining conditions on Greenvale’s proposed acquisition of uranium rights over the Pine Creek Project in the Northern Territory. Several conditions prec...

Greenvale Energy Plans Issue of 15.9 Million Unlisted Options

Aug 21, 2026

Greenvale Energy Ltd has notified the ASX of a proposed issue of up to 15,909,091 unlisted options as part of a placement or similar capital-raising structure. The options, forming a new class of unlisted securities, are expected to be issued on 22 S...

Greenvale Energy Releases Online Access to 2026 General Meeting Materials

Aug 21, 2026

Greenvale Energy has advised shareholders that documentation for its 2026 general meeting, including the notice of meeting, explanatory memorandum and proxy form, is now available online. The meeting will be held on 21 September 2026 at the company&#...

Greenvale director Neil Biddle lifts indirect stake with on-market share purchase

Aug 17, 2026

Greenvale Energy director Neil Biddle has increased his indirect shareholding in the company through an on-market purchase of 1,000,000 ordinary shares for $22,000. The additional shares were acquired via entities associated with his superannuation f...

Greenvale Energy Director Alex Cheeseman Lifts Indirect Shareholding

Aug 14, 2026

Greenvale Energy director Alex Cheeseman has increased his indirect holding in the company through Kanimbla Solutions Pty Ltd, where his wife is the sole director. This move slightly enlarges his stake in Greenvale’s ordinary shares, adding to...

Greenvale Energy Boosts Capital Base with ASX Share Placement

Aug 3, 2026

Greenvale Energy has issued 95,454,545 fully paid ordinary shares via a placement, expanding its quoted securities on the ASX and providing additional capital to support its project portfolio. The company has confirmed compliance with key Corporation...

Greenvale Energy Seeks ASX Quotation for 95 Million New Shares

Aug 3, 2026

Greenvale Energy Ltd, an ASX-listed energy company trading under the code GRV, continues to access equity markets as part of its capital management strategy. The company issues ordinary fully paid shares to fund operations and support its corporate o...

Greenvale Fieldwork Confirms New Uranium Prospects at Thunderball Project

Aug 2, 2026

Greenvale Energy has reported encouraging initial fieldwork results from its Thunderball Uranium Project in the Northern Territory, where mapping and sampling across Exploration Licence 34157 follow a recent airborne magnetics-radiometrics survey. Th...

Greenvale Energy builds district-scale uranium footprint in Northern Territory

Jul 29, 2026

Greenvale Energy has moved to significantly expand its Northern Territory uranium portfolio, executing a binding term sheet to acquire the uranium rights for the Pine Creek Uranium Project from Patronus Resources. Combined with its existing Douglas R...

Greenvale Energy Plans Major Share and Option Issue to Boost Capital Base

Jul 27, 2026

Greenvale Energy Ltd has notified the ASX of a proposed capital raising via a placement and related securities issue.The company plans to issue up to 98,484,848 new ordinary fully paid shares and 49,242,424 unlisted options, with the issue targeted f...

Greenvale Energy raises A$3.25m to fast-track Thunderball uranium exploration

Jul 27, 2026

Greenvale Energy has secured firm commitments to raise approximately A$3.25 million through a share placement to sophisticated and professional investors at an issue price of $0.033 per share. The placement, which was upsized from an initial $3 milli...

Greenvale Energy Halts Trading Ahead of Material Capital Raising

Jul 23, 2026

Greenvale Energy has requested a voluntary trading halt on its securities on the ASX, pending the release of an announcement regarding a material capital raising. The halt will remain in place until either the announcement is released or normal tradi...

Greenvale Energy Sets August 2026 General Meeting with Online Access to Key Documents

Jul 23, 2026

Greenvale Energy Limited has released online documentation for its upcoming General Meeting, making the Notice of Meeting, Explanatory Memorandum and Proxy Form available via its website and the ASX platform. The meeting is scheduled for 10.00am AWST...

Greenvale flags 13 new uranium targets at NT’s Thunderball project

Jul 12, 2026

Greenvale Energy has identified 13 new priority uranium targets at its Thunderball Uranium Project in the Northern Territory following a high-resolution airborne magnetics-radiometrics survey. The work refines earlier satellite-based targets and high...

Greenvale director Neil Biddle lifts indirect stake via on-market buy

Jul 3, 2026

Greenvale Energy director Neil Biddle has increased his indirect shareholding in the company through an on-market purchase. The acquisition was made via Biddle Partners Pty Ltd as trustee for the Biddle Superannuation Fund, reflecting a modest additi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 27, 2026