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FOS Capital Ltd (AU:FOS)
ASX:FOS
Australian Market
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FOS Capital Ltd (FOS) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:FOS

FOS Capital Ltd

(Sydney:FOS)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.15
▼(-40.80% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/30/26
The score is held down primarily by the 2026 deterioration in profitability and the swing to negative operating/free cash flow, which increases financial risk. Technical signals are mixed-to-weak (negative MACD, neutral RSI), offering limited support. Valuation is somewhat supported by the high dividend yield, but a negative P/E (loss-making) tempers confidence.
Positive Factors
Multi-year revenue expansion
The strong revenue expansion through 2025 shows that FOS Capital had demonstrated the ability to grow its business over several years. Although momentum reversed in 2026, this established track record provides evidence of prior market demand and a foundation for recovery if operating conditions improve.
Negative Factors
Revenue contraction
The 2026 revenue decline interrupts the company’s earlier expansion and suggests that demand or commercial execution weakened in the latest period. If contraction persists, lower scale can reduce operating leverage, limit reinvestment capacity, and make a return to sustained profitability more difficult.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue expansion
The strong revenue expansion through 2025 shows that FOS Capital had demonstrated the ability to grow its business over several years. Although momentum reversed in 2026, this established track record provides evidence of prior market demand and a foundation for recovery if operating conditions improve.
Read all positive factors

FOS Capital Ltd (FOS) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

FOS Capital Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
FOS Capital Limited, operating through its subsidiaries, is a manufacturer and distributor of diverse lighting solutions across Australia and New Zealand. These offerings include commercial luminaires, outdoor fittings, linear extruded lighting, a...

FOS Capital Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials weakened materially in 2026 after prior growth: revenue declined year-over-year, results swung from operating profit/net income in 2025 to operating and net losses in 2026, and margins compressed. The balance sheet remains moderately leveraged, but equity and assets declined in 2026. Cash flow is the biggest concern, with operating cash flow and free cash flow turning slightly negative in 2026 after strength in 2024–2025.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
57
Neutral
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.42M25.49M24.53M17.12M13.51M
Gross Profit7.65M11.28M9.15M5.79M5.72M
EBITDA897.05K3.44M2.46M1.58M1.29M
Net Income-2.57M932.65K632.16K583.94K348.94K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.01M25.67M21.78M13.62M11.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments976.91K2.50M1.68M1.41M1.89M
Total Debt5.73M6.72M5.20M1.09M1.46M
Total Liabilities10.90M11.55M11.87M4.34M4.25M
Stockholders Equity11.11M14.12M9.91M9.29M7.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-144.79K2.29M949.96K-347.76K609.17K
Operating Cash Flow-105.62K2.30M1.01M-115.56K704.63K
Investing Cash Flow210.83K-4.32M-2.33M-830.45K-849.76K
Financing Cash Flow-1.45M2.81M1.59M441.96K-831.95K

FOS Capital Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.25
Price Trends
50DMA
0.13
Positive
100DMA
0.13
Positive
200DMA
0.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
64.15
Neutral
STOCH
100.00
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:FOS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.13, above the 50-day MA of 0.13, and above the 200-day MA of 0.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:FOS.

FOS Capital Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
55
Neutral
AU$108.83M-22.08-14.96%23.76%
47
Neutral
AU$10.31M-4.00-21.18%6.67%-12.06%-318.02%
44
Neutral
AU$8.58M-2.02-73.44%-5.93%
43
Neutral
AU$109.76M-0.57-63.44%-53.32%-5.22%
42
Neutral
AU$35.62M-1.91-22.98%-50.11%-160.00%
34
Underperform
AU$3.35M-0.59-80.70%91.86%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:FOS
FOS Capital Ltd
0.15
-0.15
-50.00%
AU:NVX
NOVONIX Ltd
0.11
-0.36
-76.34%
AU:QPM
QPM Energy
0.01
-0.02
-60.00%
AU:CMX
ChemX Materials Limited
0.03
0.00
0.00%
AU:LIS
Li-S Energy Ltd
0.17
0.01
6.25%
AU:CMG
Critical Minerals Group Ltd.
0.07
-0.10
-58.79%

FOS Capital Ltd Corporate Events

FOS Capital Seeks Trading Halt Ahead of Planned Capital Raising
Sep 6, 2026
FOS Capital Ltd has requested a trading halt in its ordinary shares on the Australian Securities Exchange, effective from 7 September 2026, pending the release of an announcement. The halt is expected to last until either the company provides deta...
FOS Capital Signals Profit Recovery on Strong Q1 and Infrastructure Pipeline
Sep 2, 2026
FOS Capital Limited has reported an expected Q1 FY27 revenue of $7.2 million and EBITDA of $0.5 million, which would mark the second strongest quarterly sales result in its history and signal a return to profitability. The performance is driven by...
FOS Capital Files Updated ASX Corporate Governance Disclosures
Aug 25, 2026
FOS Capital Limited has confirmed that its corporate governance statement for the year ended 30 June 2026 is current and approved by the board, and is accessible on its website in accordance with ASX Listing Rule requirements. The company has lodg...
FOS Capital Publishes 2026 Annual Report
Aug 25, 2026
FOS Capital Ltd has released its 2026 Annual Report, providing shareholders with a comprehensive overview of the company&#8217;s financial performance and position. The report includes the directors&#8217; report, consolidated financial statements...
FOS Capital Swings to Loss as Revenue Falls and Dividends Halted
Aug 25, 2026
FOS Capital Limited reported weaker fundamentals for the year to 30 June 2026, with net tangible asset backing per share falling to 5.8 cents from 9.1 cents, while the share count rose to 68.7 million and the group structure remained unchanged, wi...
FOS Capital Updates Auditor as It Pursues Growth in Fragmented Lighting Market
Aug 5, 2026
FOS Capital Limited, a founder-led Australian manufacturer and distributor of commercial, industrial and architectural lighting solutions, owns 17 brands and operates two manufacturing facilities in Brisbane and Sydney. Since listing in June 2021,...
FOS Capital Wins $1m Monash Medical Clinic Lighting Contract, Lifts Order Book to $10m
Jul 6, 2026
FOS Capital has secured a major healthcare lighting contract for the Monash Medical Clinic Tower Expansion in Victoria, valued at about $1 million and to be delivered over the next 12 months. The mandate reinforces FOS&#8217;s role as a trusted su...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 30, 2026