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FirstWave Cloud Technology (FCT) AI Stock Analysis

AU:FCT

FirstWave Cloud Technology

(ASX:FCT)

Select Model
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.01â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/06/26

AU:FCT's overall score is primarily weighed down by contracting revenues, negative earnings, and weak valuation metrics. While profitability remains a significant risk, the company's recent achievement of positive free cash flow and its minimal debt burden offer critical financial stability, preventing a lower score.

Positive Factors
Revenue ReboundThe sharp 2026 revenue rebound indicates renewed commercial traction after several weaker years. If sustained, stronger demand can improve operating leverage, support investment in the software platform, and provide a broader base for future earnings improvement.
Negative Factors
Persistent LossesPersistent EBIT and net losses show that the recent revenue rebound has not yet translated into sustainable earnings power. The deeply negative 2026 net margin can consume capital, restrict reinvestment, and leave results dependent on further operational improvement.

FirstWave Cloud Technology (FCT) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%AU:FCT0.00%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26
Market Cap
AUD 11.39M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-2.3
Beta (1Y)
-0.48
Revenue Growth
-4.17%
EPS Growth
80.49%
Country
Australia
Employees
41
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Infrastructure

FirstWave Cloud Technology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

FirstWave Cloud Technology Limited develops and sells network monitoring and internet security software in Australia, the United States, Canada, Mexico, Central America, South America, and the rest of the world. The company offers Network Management...

FirstWave Cloud Technology Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026(Q2-2026)|Next Earnings Date:Mar 01, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call emphasized meaningful operational and product progress: ARR growth (+2%), a very high gross margin (95%), successful launch of Open-AudIT 6 with rapid user growth (~50% increase to ~39,000 active users), early commercial traction (5,991 downloads, 6% trial conversion, 194 leads), a $2.6M net capital raise and a $2.5M loan facility, plus a strategic CSIRO/University AI collaboration with IP retained. Offsetting these positives are Q2 cash burn from restructuring, early-stage monetization (few initial paid conversions), a short-term decline in revenue explained by a one-off $380k sale in Q1, and pronounced share-price weakness driven partly by investor overhang and limited near-term public guidance. Management expects Q3 to be cash-positive and is focused on converting high lead volumes into enterprise deals. Overall, operational indicators and strategic initiatives appear to outweigh the near-term financial and market challenges.

Positive Updates

ARR Growth
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) increased by 2% in Q2 driven by uplifts from existing customers and some small new customers, with churn materially reduced in the cyber business following stabilization of Telstra contract (new 1+1-year agreement).

Negative Updates

Quarterly Revenue Reduction from One-Off
Reported revenue reduction versus Q1 largely attributable to a single one-off perpetual software license sale of $380,000 that occurred in Q1, affecting comparatives for Q2 revenue and gross profit.

Company Guidance

Management guided that Q3 will be cash‑positive, expecting to collect the ~$2.5M of receivables as at Dec 31 (already >$1M received), and said the company has sufficient funds for the foreseeable future after a $2.6M capital raise (net of costs) and a new $2.5M, three‑year loan facility maturing 17 Dec 2028 (used to repay the Formue Nord note); operationally ARR grew 2%, gross profit margin is ~95%, restructuring will deliver ~$1.8M p.a. in savings (with further on‑cost savings), and the Q1→Q2 revenue decline reflected a one‑off $380k perpetual license in Q1; Open‑AudIT 6 metrics driving the outlook include 5,991 downloads, ~39,000 active users across both platforms in two months (a 50% increase), ~20,000 users on the new site (legacy sites ~19,000 after migration), ~194 open leads, a 6% conversion rate from free users to commercial trials, and three initial paid enterprise activations (2 Europe, 1 Australia).

FirstWave Cloud Technology Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company faces persistent top-line revenue contraction and ongoing unprofitability, which has significantly eroded its equity base. However, conservative leverage (debt-to-equity of 0.11x) and a crucial recent transition to positive operating and free cash flows provide a degree of financial stability.

Income Statement

25Negative

Balance Sheet

50Neutral

Cash Flow

65Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.48M8.48M8.74M11.28M12.49M9.35M
Gross Profit5.54M5.54M7.70M8.80M5.50M2.58M
EBITDA-1.20M-1.20M-2.29M-23.27M-10.18M-11.14M
Net Income-4.10M-4.10M-3.60M-23.04M-13.45M-13.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.80M28.80M38.74M41.87M63.33M76.74M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.33M1.33M364.03K1.81M5.74M10.54M
Total Debt2.11M2.11M2.42M2.38M260.43K367.57K
Total Liabilities10.14M10.14M9.38M9.66M10.90M11.58M
Stockholders Equity18.66M18.66M29.36M32.21M52.43M65.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow291.93K291.93K165.84K-3.54M-4.67M-11.21M
Operating Cash Flow297.24K297.24K171.38K-3.47M-1.76M-8.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.68M-1.68M-2.10M-2.66M-2.91M-2.25M
Financing Cash Flow2.50M2.50M512.52K2.20M-130.94K10.70M

FirstWave Cloud Technology Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:FCT against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:MP1AU:MP164NeutralAUD 4.18B-82.26-5.20%―37.49%-11816.67%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
AU:RTHAU:RTH57NeutralAUD 48.60M-50.50-6.86%―33.71%-277.88%
AU:SENAU:SEN55NeutralAUD 36.47M84.941.06%15.08%4.73%―
AU:FCTAU:FCT45NeutralAUD 11.39M-2.27-21.70%―-4.17%80.49%
AU:CYBAU:CYB43NeutralAUD 12.41M-1.72-162.05%―-11.66%89.02%
AU:WHKAU:WHK41NeutralAUD 4.90M-1.23-418.00%―-38.96%26.32%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-60%-40%-20%0%20%AU:FCTAU:MP1AU:SENAU:CYBAU:RTHAU:WHKDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26
AU:FCT and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:FCTFirstWave Cloud Technology Ltd.0.010.000.00%
AU:MP1Megaport Ltd.17.610.502.95%
AU:SENSenetas Corporation Limited2.20-0.22-9.13%
AU:CYBSovereign Cloud Holdings Ltd.0.06-0.02-26.25%
AU:RTHRAS Technology Holdings Limited1.01-0.14-11.74%
AU:WHKWhiteHawk Ltd.0.010.000.00%

FirstWave Cloud Technology Corporate Events

FirstWave Seeks Patent for AI-Driven Self-Healing Network Monitoring

Sep 4, 2026

FirstWave has filed a provisional patent in Australia for an AI-driven network monitoring and fault diagnosis system that uses a multi-agent architecture orchestrated by large language models to identify and explain root causes of network faults. The...

FirstWave Boosts Margins and Cash as It Exits Legacy Telstra Revenues

Aug 31, 2026

FirstWave reported a 3.0% decline in revenue to $8.48 million for FY26, driven by the final winding down of legacy Telstra firewall and platform services, but delivered a 5.1% rise in gross profit to $8.09 million and a sharp improvement in margins a...

FirstWave posts cash-flow-positive quarter as compliance-led contracts and AI gateway deal build momentum

Jul 30, 2026

FirstWave reported a cash-flow-positive June quarter, delivering an operating cash inflow of A$605,000 and ending with A$1.331 million in cash, as higher customer receipts and a reduced cost base improved its financial position. Management highlighte...

FirstWave Extends Telstra Cybersecurity Deal With Australian Federal Agencies

Jul 7, 2026

FirstWave Cloud Technology has secured a 12-month extension to its agreement with Telstra to supply Information Security Manual-compliant email security via its CyberCision platform to several Commonwealth Government agencies, starting July 2026. The...

FirstWave appoints PKF Brisbane Audit Pty Ltd as new external auditor

Jun 22, 2026

FirstWave Cloud Technology has appointed PKF Brisbane Audit Pty Ltd, an authorised audit company, as its new external auditor in line with ASX Listing Rule 3.16.3. The move follows an internal restructuring at PKF, which is shifting audit work from i...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026