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Sovereign Cloud Holdings Ltd. (CYB) AI Stock Analysis

AU:CYB

Sovereign Cloud Holdings Ltd.

(ASX:CYB)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.06â–¼(-1.69% Downside)
Action:upgraded
Date:09/16/26

The overall score is driven primarily by very weak and high-risk financial fundamentals, with ongoing losses, shrinking equity, and sustained negative cash flow, only partially offset by short-term price strength that looks overextended and a valuation profile lacking support from earnings or dividends.

Positive Factors
Moderate LeverageModerate leverage reduces balance-sheet strain relative to a heavily indebted structure and may preserve some flexibility while the company addresses operating losses. The improvement versus prior years is a constructive financial trend, although falling equity and assets limit the strength of this benefit.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionA sharp latest-year revenue decline weakens confidence in near-term demand stability and makes it harder to achieve operating leverage. Because revenue had previously grown, the reversal raises concern that the company must rebuild momentum before it can support durable profitability or consistent investment.

Sovereign Cloud Holdings Ltd. (CYB) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%AU:CYB-28.05%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 12.41M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
42.23K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.7
Beta (1Y)
0.47
Revenue Growth
-11.66%
EPS Growth
89.02%
Country
Australia
Employees
64
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Infrastructure

Sovereign Cloud Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AUCyber Limited delivers a range of cloud computing and cybersecurity offerings to both private organizations and government bodies across Australia. Its operations are structured into Australian Cloud Services, Australian Cyber Security Services, an...

Sovereign Cloud Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue momentum has reversed, margins are deeply negative, losses persist, and equity and leverage have deteriorated, despite some improvement in cash burn and narrowed losses.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

30Negative

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.49M19.85M22.47M10.23M6.48M2.55M
Gross Profit-3.68M-3.13M22.47M10.23M6.48M-3.82M
EBITDA-15.57M-757.24K-31.11M-13.31M-15.90M-5.80M
Net Income-22.89M-4.78M-37.56M-19.72M-21.28M-11.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.98M9.98M16.79M55.80M33.94M27.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.18M1.18M3.94M8.39M11.64M13.50M
Total Debt2.86M2.86M4.72M5.09M5.25M7.04M
Total Liabilities6.60M6.60M8.91M13.06M9.04M8.30M
Stockholders Equity3.38M3.38M7.87M42.74M24.90M19.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.67M-795.38K-5.97M-11.63M-22.51M-8.82M
Operating Cash Flow-3.61M-795.38K-5.56M-11.51M-17.76M-8.29M
Investing Cash Flow-154.78K-100.00K393.87K-18.87M-4.75M-531.30K
Financing Cash Flow314.42K-1.87M710.45K27.14M5.44M21.20M

Sovereign Cloud Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price0.06

Price Trends

50DMA0.05Positive
100DMA0.05Positive
200DMA0.05Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.00Positive
RSI80.92Negative
STOCH66.67Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CYB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, above the 50-day MA of 0.05, and above the 200-day MA of 0.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 80.92 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CYB.

Sovereign Cloud Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:CYB against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
AU:RTHAU:RTH57NeutralAUD 48.60M-50.50-6.86%―33.71%-277.88%
AU:SENAU:SEN55NeutralAUD 36.47M84.941.06%15.08%4.73%―
AU:FCTAU:FCT49NeutralAUD 11.39M-2.27-21.70%―-4.17%80.49%
AU:CYBAU:CYB46NeutralAUD 12.41M-1.72-162.05%―-11.66%89.02%
AU:EXTAU:EXT40NeutralAUD 14.25M-1.06348.27%―74.49%-5.00%
AU:DWGAU:DWG40UnderperformAUD 15.12M-5.23134.85%―23.92%79.94%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%AU:CYBAU:FCTAU:SENAU:DWGAU:EXTAU:RTHDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:CYB and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:CYBSovereign Cloud Holdings Ltd.0.06-0.02-26.25%
AU:FCTFirstWave Cloud Technology Ltd.0.010.000.00%
AU:SENSenetas Corporation Limited2.20-0.22-9.13%
AU:DWGIXUP Ltd.0.120.0691.67%
AU:EXTExcite Technology Services Limited0.010.000.00%
AU:RTHRAS Technology Holdings Limited1.01-0.14-11.74%

Sovereign Cloud Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

AUCyber posts positive cash flow as university wins and new funding bolster Q1 FY27

Oct 30, 2026

AUCyber reported first-quarter FY27 customer receipts of $4.86 million, slightly down from the prior quarter due to project billing timing, but achieved a positive operating cash inflow of $0.19 million amid reduced staff and operating costs. Key win...

AUCyber Sets Virtual-Only 2026 AGM and Shifts to Digital Meeting Materials

Oct 21, 2026

AUCyber Limited has called its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 19 November 2026, confirming the event will be conducted virtually via an online platform rather than in person. The meeting will begin at 11:00 a.m. Brisbane time and will allow sharehol...

AUCYBER Limited Reports Lapse of Option Securities

Oct 14, 2026

AUCYBER LIMITED has notified the market of the cessation of certain option securities from its issued capital. The company reported that 25,000 options with various expiry dates and prices, along with 350,000 options expiring on 27 October 2030 at an...

AUCyber deepens higher-education SOC reach with new wins and strong pipeline

Sep 28, 2026

AUCyber Limited has expanded its managed Security Operations Centre presence in the Australian higher education sector, securing new contracts with the University of New England and another unnamed university. These agreements, delivered on the Senti...

AUCyber Secures $1m Unsecured Loan Facility from Major Shareholder 5G Networks

Sep 17, 2026

AUCyber Limited has entered into a Loan Facility Deed with its controlling shareholder 5G Networks Limited, establishing an unsecured revolving loan facility of up to $1 million. The facility formalises existing intercompany funding and is intended t...

AUCyber Finalises Legacy Share Subscription with Former CEO

Sep 14, 2026

AUCyber Limited has issued 1,621,973 fully paid ordinary shares at $0.30 each to former managing director and CEO Peter Maloney, fulfilling an outstanding share subscription obligation from a 2024 placement agreement. The company confirmed that payme...

AUCYBER Seeks ASX Quotation for 1.62 Million New Shares

Sep 14, 2026

AUCYBER Limited has applied for the quotation of 1,621,973 ordinary fully paid shares on the Australian Securities Exchange under the ticker CYB, with an issue date of 14 September 2026. The application, lodged as a new announcement under ASX Appendi...

AUCyber Completes Placement Payment and Issues Shares to Former CEO-Linked Investor

Sep 14, 2026

AUCyber Limited has received in full the $486,592 placement subscription payment, including accrued interest, from Peerless Investments Pty Ltd, an entity associated with former managing director and CEO Peter Maloney. In return, the company will iss...

AUCyber Files Updated ASX Governance Statement for FY2026

Aug 30, 2026

AUCyber Limited has lodged its updated corporate governance statement for the year ended 30 June 2026, confirming it follows the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s key principles and recommendations. The statement, current as of 28 August 2026...

AUCyber Narrows Losses as Revenue Falls and Asset Backing Weakens

Aug 30, 2026

AUCyber Limited, part of Sovereign Cloud Holdings, operates in the cybersecurity and sovereign cloud services market, delivering secure cloud infrastructure and related security solutions tailored to Australian regulatory and data residency requireme...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2026