TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

BCAL Diagnostics Limited (BDX) AI Stock Analysis

AU:BDX

BCAL Diagnostics Limited

(ASX:BDX)

Select Model
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.07â–¼(-14.29% Downside)
Action:upgraded
Date:09/19/26

The overall score of 43 is severely weighed down by BCAL Diagnostics' precarious financial health, marked by expanding net losses, a negative equity position, and persistent cash burn. Poor valuation metrics driven by unprofitability further suppress the score. While technical indicators show some short-to-medium-term upward momentum, the overarching structural challenges and long-term bearish trend dominate the evaluation.

Positive Factors
Cancer diagnostics focusA focused position in blood-based cancer detection gives BCAL a clear clinical and commercial objective. Emphasis on earlier diagnosis, particularly in breast cancer, can support a defined development strategy and help concentrate scarce resources on a potentially important unmet medical need.
Negative Factors
Revenue collapseThe sharp revenue collapse and persistently low 2026 base indicate that commercial traction is not yet stable. Weak and volatile revenue reduces operating leverage, limits internally funded development, and makes the company more dependent on future funding while products remain in development.

BCAL Diagnostics Limited (BDX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%60%AU:BDX-6.67%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 30.97M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
153.28K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-4.2
Beta (1Y)
0.51
Revenue Growth
743.51%
EPS Growth
-1.52%
Country
Australia
Employees
6
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Medical - Diagnostics & Research

BCAL Diagnostics Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

BCAL Diagnostics Limited is a biotechnology firm focused on creating an advanced, non-surgical laboratory blood test for the identification of breast cancer. Its flagship product, the BCAL test, is a lipid biomarker-based blood assay designed for pot...

How the Company Makes Money

Revenue-generating mechanisms for BCAL Diagnostics Limited (BDX) are not publicly available in sufficient detail to describe a factual revenue model, key revenue streams, or significant partnerships without speculation; therefore: null

BCAL Diagnostics Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

BCAL Diagnostics is experiencing severe financial distress, warranting the lowest possible score. The company reported mounting net losses of $7.37M, negative equity of -$826.2K, and total debt surging to $6.92M. Structural cash burn persists with a negative free cash flow of $6.62M, presenting substantial solvency risks.

Income Statement

12Very Negative

Balance Sheet

10Very Negative

Cash Flow

14Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue182.51K182.51K21.64K3.10M2.79M718.67K
Gross Profit-534.72K-534.72K21.64K3.10M2.79M698.06K
EBITDA-8.67M-8.67M-6.19M-5.45M-7.72M-4.06M
Net Income-7.37M-7.37M-7.24M-6.40M-5.06M-3.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.66M7.66M9.91M12.27M8.37M10.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.59M1.59M4.52M6.47M3.17M9.57M
Total Debt6.92M6.92M2.38M1.52M1.06M0
Total Liabilities8.49M8.49M3.69M3.68M3.16M950.42K
Stockholders Equity-826.19K-826.19K6.22M8.59M5.21M9.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.62M-6.62M-6.92M-5.67M-6.41M-7.25M
Operating Cash Flow-6.16M-6.16M-6.14M-4.52M-6.05M-3.22M
Investing Cash Flow-1.44M-1.44M-787.67K-1.15M3.64M-4.03M
Financing Cash Flow4.66M4.66M4.97M8.97M13.24K9.41M

BCAL Diagnostics Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price0.08

Price Trends

50DMA0.08Positive
100DMA0.07Positive
200DMA0.09Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI46.31Neutral
STOCH63.96Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BDX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.08, above the 50-day MA of 0.08, and below the 200-day MA of 0.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:BDX.

BCAL Diagnostics Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

AU:BDX against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:SHLAU:SHL72OutperformAUD 9.67B15.917.20%5.52%14.40%15.11%
AU:ACLAU:ACL66NeutralAUD 615.51M26.7015.80%3.94%-0.90%-25.09%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
AU:HLSAU:HLS51NeutralAUD 359.46M-0.86-114.08%―2.16%21.05%
AU:BDXAU:BDX43NeutralAUD 30.97M-4.18-881.94%―743.51%-1.52%
AU:LDXAU:LDX41NeutralAUD 59.29M-6.49-35.89%―1.36%39.13%
AU:RHYAU:RHY38UnderperformAUD 22.94M-3.56-205.17%―239.64%-37.21%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%AU:BDXAU:HLSAU:RHYAU:LDXAU:SHLAU:ACLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:BDX and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:BDXBCAL Diagnostics Limited0.08-0.01-6.67%
AU:HLSHealius Limited0.49-0.39-44.07%
AU:RHYRhythm Biosciences Ltd.0.06-0.03-29.21%
AU:LDXLumos Diagnostics Holdings Ltd.0.06-0.18-75.00%
AU:SHLSonic Healthcare Limited19.57-0.30-1.52%
AU:ACLAustralian Clinical Labs Ltd3.300.8032.11%

BCAL Diagnostics Limited Corporate Events

BCAL Diagnostics Showcases BREASTESTplus 2 Research at Global Lipidomics Conference

Oct 19, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics has showcased the scientific research underpinning its blood-based breast cancer test BREASTESTplus 2 at the Australian Lipid Meeting and International Lipidomic Society Conference in Perth. The poster presentation detailed the clini...

BCAL Diagnostics Evolves Into National Early Cancer Detection Platform

Oct 5, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics Limited is an Australian healthcare company focused on developing and commercialising blood-based technologies for earlier cancer detection across multiple indications. Its diagnostics platform includes tests for breast, pancreatic,...

BCAL Diagnostics Clinically Validates BREASTESTplus 2 Ahead of National Launch

Sep 29, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics has completed clinical validation of its next-generation BREASTESTplus 2 blood test for the detection of early-stage breast cancer in women aged 30 and over across all breast densities. The test, which showed sensitivity of 80.3% and...

BCAL rolls out Avantect multi-cancer blood test across Australia

Sep 23, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics has begun a phased rollout of the Avantect Multi-Cancer early detection blood test in Australia, initially targeting Sydney and Melbourne before a broader national expansion. The test, developed with ClearNote Health, screens for can...

BCAL Diagnostics Sets October AGM, Streamlines Digital Shareholder Participation

Sep 17, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics has called its Annual General Meeting for 19 October 2026 in Sydney, with shareholders able to attend both in person and online via a Zoom webinar. Online participants will be able to submit questions but must lodge their votes in ad...

BCAL Diagnostics distances itself from merger talk as it pursues scale and synergies

Sep 10, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics has clarified its position regarding Genetic Signatures and Microba Life Sciences following media speculation about a possible three-way merger among the medtech firms. The company reiterated that its stance toward Genetic Signatures...

BCAL Diagnostics pushes for board shake‑up at Genetic Signatures after lifting stake

Sep 3, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics has moved to reshape the board of fellow ASX-listed diagnostics firm Genetic Signatures after increasing its stake to 18.46%, issuing a formal request for a shareholder meeting to vote on removing director Michael Aicher and appointi...

BCAL Diagnostics Builds Early Cancer Detection Platform as Test Uptake Grows

Sep 3, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics reported FY26 progress highlighting commercial uptake of its BREASTEST plus test, with more than 200 tests sold since launch and growing digital infrastructure through earlydectection.com.au integrated into widely used GP practice sy...

BCAL Diagnostics Files Updated Corporate Governance Statement with ASX

Aug 28, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics has lodged its latest corporate governance statement for the year to 30 June 2026, confirming that the document is current as of 28 August 2026 and accessible via its website in line with ASX Listing Rule requirements. The accompanyi...

BCAL Diagnostics widens early cancer platform as losses deepen and balance sheet weakens

Aug 28, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics reported a 10% decline in revenue to $2.55 million for the year to 30 June 2026 and a slightly higher net loss of $7.37 million, with no dividends declared and a net deficiency in tangible assets per security. The audited financial s...

BCAL Diagnostics boosts Genetic Signatures stake to deepen diagnostics platform

Aug 25, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics has lifted its stake in molecular diagnostics firm Genetic Signatures to 18.46% by acquiring an additional 18.75 million shares for $1.5 million in cash at $0.08 per share. The company views Genetic Signatures’ 3base platform a...

BCAL Diagnostics Issues 1.5 Million Unquoted Convertible Notes

Aug 25, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics Limited has notified the market of the issue of 1,500,000 unquoted convertible notes, designated as BDXAI, with an issue date of August 25, 2026. The notes form part of previously announced transactions and are not intended to be quo...

BCAL Diagnostics Issues 1 Million Unquoted Convertible Notes

Aug 21, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics Limited has notified the market of the issue of 1,000,000 unquoted convertible notes, designated as BDXAI, with an issue date of 14 August 2026. The move expands the company’s pool of unquoted equity-linked securities and may p...

BCAL Diagnostics to Raise Capital via Convertible Note Placement

Aug 21, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics Limited has notified the ASX of its intention to issue up to 4,900,000 convertible notes under a placement or similar capital-raising structure. The securities, designated under the ASX code BDXAI, are scheduled for issue on 26 Augus...

BCAL Diagnostics Clarifies Convertible Note Funding and Share Issue Capacity

Aug 21, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics has detailed its funding position for FY2027, confirming drawdowns under a $10 million convertible note facility first approved by shareholders in late 2025. The company has issued $3.1 million in notes within the original approval w...

BCAL Diagnostics boosts cancer test rollout, secures U.S. validation and strategic investment

Jul 29, 2026

BCAL Diagnostics reported substantial progress in building commercial access to its early cancer detection tests during the June quarter, embedding referral forms into leading GP and specialist software and launching the EarlyDetection.com.au platfor...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 19, 2026