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Xylem Inc (XYL)
:XYL

Xylem (XYL) AI Stock Analysis

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Xylem

(NYSE:XYL)

72Outperform
Xylem's overall stock score of 72 reflects its strong financial performance, particularly in terms of profitability and cash flow management. The technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly negative momentum, while the valuation indicates a high price relative to earnings. The positive guidance from the recent earnings call boosts confidence, despite challenges in specific markets and tariff-related uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Backlog and Order Visibility
Healthy backlog adds visibility into expected performance.
Management Strategy
Management's 80/20 efforts are expected to be successful.
Supply Chain
80/20 program should continue increasing on-time delivery, which has increased ~500bps with another ~700bps to hit the target.
Negative Factors
Market Growth
Order growth is expected to be minimal and lag behind revenue.
Regional Performance
China still weak and not expected to flip to neutral in the near term.
Revenue Trends
Forward estimates likely don't have material upside, further near-term re-rating seems unlikely, and revenue/margin trends are decelerating.

Xylem (XYL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Xylem Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXylem Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and servicing of engineered products and solutions for the water and wastewater applications in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Water Infrastructure, Applied Water, and Measurement & Control Solutions. The Water Infrastructure segment offers various products, including water, storm water, and wastewater pumps; controls and systems; filtration, disinfection, and biological treatment equipment; and mobile dewatering equipment under the Flygt, Godwin, Wedeco, Sanitaire, Leopold, Wedeco, and Xylem Vue brand names for the transportation and treatment of water. The Applied Water segment provides pumps, valves, heat exchangers, controls, and dispensing equipment systems under the Goulds Water Technology, Bell & Gossett, A-C Fire Pump, Standard Xchange, Lowara, Jabsco, Xylem Vue and Flojet brand names for residential and commercial building services, and industrial water applications. The Measurement & Control Solutions segment provides smart meters, networked communication devices, and measurement and control technologies, as well as critical infrastructure technologies. It also offers software and services, including cloud-based analytics, remote monitoring and data management, leak detection, condition assessment, asset management, and pressure monitoring solutions, as well as testing equipment and managed services. This segment sells its products under the Pure, Sensus, Smith Blair, WTW, Xylem Vue, and YSI brand names. The company markets and sells its products through a network of direct sales force, resellers, distributors, and value-added solution providers. Xylem Inc. was formerly known as ITT WCO, Inc. and changed its name to Xylem Inc. in May 2011. The company. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Rye Brook, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyXylem generates revenue through the sale of its water and wastewater products and services. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of pumps, valves, and controls for water infrastructure applications, as well as the provision of treatment and testing solutions for water and wastewater applications. Additionally, Xylem offers advanced metering and network technologies that enable water utilities to optimize resource management and efficiency. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with municipal and industrial customers, which help drive demand for its comprehensive solutions. Xylem's revenue is further supported by ongoing investments in research and development, allowing it to continuously innovate and offer state-of-the-art technologies to its global customer base.

Xylem Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Xylem exhibits strong financial health across all statements. The income statement reflects solid profitability, though revenue declines are worth monitoring. The balance sheet is well-structured, with low leverage and strong equity positioning, while cash flow statements highlight efficient cash management. Overall, the company is positioned for stability with potential growth, but should be cautious of emerging revenue trends.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Xylem has demonstrated solid revenue growth, with a notable increase from 2022 to 2023. The TTM gross profit margin is robust at 37.67%, and the net profit margin is impressive at 13.88%. However, the TTM revenue has decreased compared to the previous year, which could be a concern if the trend continues. The company maintains strong EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 and a solid equity ratio of 65.31%, indicating a stable capital structure and low financial risk. Return on Equity (ROE) is commendable at 8.38%, illustrating effective use of shareholders' capital. However, the slight decrease in stockholders' equity over the recent period should be monitored.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Xylem's cash flow is robust, with consistent free cash flow generation and a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.33. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable at 0.98, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The TTM free cash flow has slightly decreased, but overall cash flow management remains strong.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
8.60B8.56B7.36B5.52B5.20B4.88B
Gross Profit
3.23B3.21B2.72B2.08B1.98B1.83B
EBIT
1.05B1.07B652.00M622.00M585.00M495.00M
EBITDA
1.75B1.63B1.15B755.00M853.00M736.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
906.00M890.00M609.00M355.00M427.00M254.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.06B1.12B1.02B944.00M1.35B1.88B
Total Assets
16.56B16.50B16.11B7.95B8.28B8.75B
Total Debt
2.14B2.02B2.39B1.95B2.44B3.08B
Net Debt
1.08B895.00M1.37B1.00B1.09B1.21B
Total Liabilities
5.50B5.62B5.94B4.45B5.05B5.77B
Stockholders Equity
10.82B10.64B10.17B3.49B3.22B2.97B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
889.00M942.00M566.00M388.00M330.00M641.00M
Operating Cash Flow
1.21B1.26B837.00M596.00M538.00M824.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-446.00M-482.00M-628.00M-191.00M-183.00M-169.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-649.00M-615.00M-157.00M-790.00M-855.00M473.00M

Xylem Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price128.03
Price Trends
50DMA
118.34
Positive
100DMA
120.79
Positive
200DMA
124.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.04
Negative
RSI
66.57
Neutral
STOCH
84.63
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XYL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 128.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 120.49, above the 50-day MA of 118.34, and above the 200-day MA of 124.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.63 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XYL.

Xylem Risk Analysis

Xylem disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xylem reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xylem Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
PNPNR
78
Outperform
$16.63B26.0718.59%0.95%-0.42%3.23%
WTWTS
78
Outperform
$8.15B27.9517.61%0.70%3.89%8.17%
GHGHM
77
Outperform
$406.57M44.728.41%11.22%229.35%
MWMWA
76
Outperform
$4.01B27.9917.68%1.02%10.96%43.44%
XYXYL
72
Outperform
$31.16B34.448.62%1.16%8.14%32.64%
FLFLS
70
Outperform
$6.75B24.2114.00%1.63%4.23%20.40%
64
Neutral
$4.43B12.015.16%249.23%4.03%-11.73%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XYL
Xylem
128.03
-16.12
-11.18%
FLS
Flowserve
51.62
2.52
5.13%
GHM
Graham
37.29
7.46
25.01%
MWA
Mueller Water Products
25.62
6.74
35.70%
PNR
Pentair
101.08
17.37
20.75%
WTS
Watts Water Technologies
244.11
28.63
13.29%

Xylem Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.45%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with strong Q1 performance, resilient demand, and reaffirmation of revenue guidance. However, there are notable challenges such as economic issues in China, margin pressures in MCS, decreased free cash flow, and tariff uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Performance
Exceeded expectations with revenue growth across all segments, a 20 basis points of EBITDA margin expansion, and double-digit EPS growth.
Resilient Demand
Book to bill remained above one, indicating strong demand and a healthy backlog of $5.1 billion.
EBITDA Margin Improvement
EBITDA margin reached 20.4%, up 120 basis points from the prior year due to productivity, simplification efforts, and pricing.
Revenue Guidance Reaffirmed
Full year 2025 guidance for revenue and EPS reaffirmed, with expectations of revenue growth of 1% to 2% and organic revenue growth of 3% to 4%.
Strong Order Growth in Applied Water
Orders up 3% in Applied Water, marking growth for the fifth straight quarter.
Sustainability Goals Achieved
Exceeded all four 2025 customer sustainability goals ahead of schedule and raised the bar with 2030 goals.
Negative Updates
Challenges in China
Double-digit order declines in China due to ongoing economic challenges.
Measurement and Control Solutions (MCS) Margin Pressure
EBITDA margin for MCS down 170 basis points year-over-year due to energy and water mix challenges.
Decreased Free Cash Flow
Year-to-date free cash flow decreased by $53 million from the prior year, driven by outsourced water projects and payables.
Tariff Uncertainty
Concerns about tariffs affecting supply chain and costs, with a net increased cost from tariffs of $30 million.
Company Guidance
During Xylem's First Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance reaffirming their full-year 2025 outlook for both revenue and earnings per share. Notably, the company reported a 20 basis point expansion in EBITDA margin and a 14% increase in EPS, achieving $1.30, which surpassed the midpoint of their guidance by $0.08. They anticipate full-year reported revenue to be between $8.7 billion and $8.8 billion, reflecting a 1% to 2% growth, with organic revenue growth expected to be between 3% and 4%. The guidance also forecasts an EBITDA margin between 21.3% and 21.8%, representing a 70 to 120 basis point expansion compared to the previous year. For the second quarter, Xylem expects a revenue growth of 1% to 2% on a reported basis and 2% to 3% organically, with an EBITDA margin of 21% to 21.5% and EPS ranging from $1.12 to $1.16. The company has taken proactive steps to address tariff impacts, estimating a net increased cost from tariffs of $30 million, and has implemented pricing and supply chain strategies to mitigate these effects.

Xylem Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Xylem Concludes Annual Shareholders Meeting with Key Decisions
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Xylem Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where 88.68% of the company’s outstanding common stock was represented. Key outcomes included the election of nine directors, ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, approval of executive compensation, and the rejection of a shareholder proposal for special shareholder meeting improvements.

The most recent analyst rating on (XYL) stock is a Buy with a $148.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xylem stock, see the XYL Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on XYL Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, XYL is a Outperform.

Xylem’s overall stock score of 72 reflects its strong financial performance, particularly in terms of profitability and cash flow management. The technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly negative momentum, while the valuation indicates a high price relative to earnings. The positive guidance from the recent earnings call boosts confidence, despite challenges in specific markets and tariff-related uncertainties.

To see Spark’s full report on XYL stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.