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Sun Communities
(NYSE:SUI)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$133.00
â–²(9.17% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/28/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial profile (better profitability and lower leverage) but held back by weak earnings-to-cash conversion and historical volatility. Valuation is supportive (low P/E and solid dividend yield), and the latest earnings call was constructive with a beat/raise and active buybacks, while technicals appear neutral with the stock trading near key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Stable operating cash flow
Sun’s recurring property rents produce roughly $827M TTM operating cash flow, a durable cash-generation base that supports dividend distributions, recurring capex, debt servicing and buybacks even when GAAP earnings swing. Reliable OCF cushions operational volatility and funds growth.
Negative Factors
Volatile GAAP profitability
Sun’s GAAP earnings have been inconsistent, including a sizable recent net loss despite solid EBITDA. Persistent volatility in reported profits can impair investor confidence, complicate payout optics, and produce earnings-driven covenant or accounting impacts that persist beyond near-term cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Stable operating cash flow
Sun’s recurring property rents produce roughly $827M TTM operating cash flow, a durable cash-generation base that supports dividend distributions, recurring capex, debt servicing and buybacks even when GAAP earnings swing. Reliable OCF cushions operational volatility and funds growth.
Read all positive factors
Sun Communities (SUI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$15.04B
Dividend Yield3.5%
Average Volume (3M)1.33M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.15
Revenue Growth-21.07%
EPS Growth-169.14%
CountryUS
Employees3,614
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryREIT - Residential
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-7.07
Shares Outstanding121,800,960
10 Day Avg. Volume1,865,374
30 Day Avg. Volume1,332,087
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)2.19
Price to Sales (P/S)6.71
P/FCF Ratio17.91
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$140.00Price Target Upside14.91% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering10
EPS Forecast (FY)2.21
Revenue Forecast (FY)$2.30B
Sun Communities Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Sun Communities, Inc., a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), possessed or managed a substantial portfolio of 603 developed manufactured housing, RV, and marina properties as of March 31, 2022. These holdings comprised nearly 159,300 individual de...
How the Company Makes Money
Sun Communities generates revenue primarily from real estate operations tied to its MH communities, RV communities/resorts, and marinas. In manufactured housing communities, the core revenue stream is recurring site rent paid by homeowners who typ...
Sun Communities Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 27, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a generally positive operating and financial picture: the company beat Q2 core FFO, raised same-property NOI guidance modestly, showed strong Manufactured Housing performance (high occupancy and double-digit MH NOI growth in the quarter), demonstrated disciplined capital allocation (large share buybacks) and maintained a healthy balance sheet. Offsetting items include sequential deceleration in some RV revenue metrics, softer home-sales volume, modest incremental guidance changes despite beats, and the pending UK sale which introduces timing and accounting uncertainty. Overall, operational improvements and cost discipline, plus buybacks and balance-sheet strength, outweigh the headwinds described.Positive Updates
Core FFO Beat and Raised Outlook
Core FFO per share of $1.84 in Q2, beating the high end of guidance by $0.05. Company raised its 2026 same-property NOI outlook; combined North America MH & RV same-property NOI midpoint now expected to increase 4.9% (up 20 basis points from prior guidance). Updated core FFO guidance midpoint referenced at approximately $7.02 (guidance currently includes UK contribution assumptions separately disclosed).
Negative Updates
RV Annual Revenue Deceleration and Mix Risk
Annual RV same-store revenue growth decelerated sequentially (mentioned Q1 ~6.5% to Q2 ~3.8% in Q&A). RV base-rent growth decelerated quarter-over-quarter and the RV business is sensitive to mix timing (transient contribution peaks in Q3, creating volatility in full-year pacing). Company expects only ~1% RV same-property NOI growth for the full year at midpoint.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Core FFO Beat and Raised Outlook
Core FFO per share of $1.84 in Q2, beating the high end of guidance by $0.05. Company raised its 2026 same-property NOI outlook; combined North America MH & RV same-property NOI midpoint now expected to increase 4.9% (up 20 basis points from prior guidance). Updated core FFO guidance midpoint referenced at approximately $7.02 (guidance currently includes UK contribution assumptions separately disclosed).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Sun raised its 2026 outlook: updated core FFO per share guidance midpoint of $7.02 (Q2 core FFO was $1.84, $0.05 above the prior high‑end), and combined North America MH+RV same‑property NOI is now guided to +4.9% at the midpoint (up 20 bps), with Manufactured Housing same‑property NOI +6.5% and RV +1.0%. The supplemental disclosure shows an expected full‑year UK core FFO contribution of about $86M (monthly UK FFO is embedded in the guidance even though the UK sale remains on track and the guidance does not assume the sale’s completion). Other guidance context: real‑property same‑store revenue midpoint remains 4.25% (YTD 4.8%, implying ~3.7% in H2), core G&A at the midpoint ~ $172M (UK G&A ~ $39–$40M reported as discontinued), recurring MH/RV CapEx running near $19M, and higher unconsolidated JV income from Sun‑Ingenia. Balance‑sheet and capital‑allocation metrics noted alongside the guidance include ~$4.1B debt at a 3.3% weighted average rate and 6.9‑year maturity, net debt/TTM recurring EBITDA ~3.9x, $56M of 2026 mortgage maturities (to be paid in Q4), ~ $200M repurchased in and after Q2 (~$260M YTD; ~$800M repurchased since program start, ~6.5M shares or ~5.1% of shares; ~$800M remaining capacity), and the guidance excludes future M&A, dispositions or repurchases beyond July 27.Sun Communities Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.20B | 2.31B | 3.20B | 3.18B | 2.93B | 2.26B |
| Gross Profit | 1.19B | 213.50M | 1.50B | 1.49B | 1.42B | 1.15B |
| EBITDA | 901.20M | 683.80M | 1.10B | 771.60M | 1.11B | 1.10B |
| Net Income | -863.20M | 1.37B | 89.00M | -213.30M | 242.00M | 380.20M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 10.87B | 12.52B | 16.55B | 16.94B | 17.08B | 13.49B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 165.20M | 636.10M | 47.40M | 29.20M | 200.10M | 252.70M |
| Total Debt | 4.05B | 1.83B | 7.35B | 7.78B | 7.13B | 5.60B |
| Total Liabilities | 5.09B | 5.33B | 9.36B | 9.77B | 9.20B | 6.76B |
| Stockholders Equity | 5.52B | 7.07B | 7.08B | 7.08B | 7.81B | 6.62B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 830.40M | 864.20M | 888.80M | 807.90M | 752.20M | 770.50M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 896.40M | 864.20M | 888.80M | 807.90M | 752.20M | 770.50M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -640.30M | 4.93B | -295.20M | -935.00M | -3.08B | -2.35B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.52B | -5.22B | -571.60M | 78.40M | 2.35B | 1.57B |
Sun Communities Technical Analysis
Neutral
121.83
Price Trends
121.56
Positive
124.04
Negative
123.99
Negative
Market Momentum
0.75
Negative
51.52
Neutral
49.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SUI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 121.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 121.30, above the 50-day MA of 121.56, and below the 200-day MA of 123.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SUI.
Sun Communities Risk Analysis
Sun Communities disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sun Communities reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Sun Communities Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | $13.05B | 32.54 | 22.87% | 3.20% | 2.06% | 7.21% | |
69 Neutral | $15.04B | -17.46 | -13.07% | 3.55% | -21.07% | -169.14% | |
68 Neutral | $18.88B | 74.58 | 4.33% | 3.52% | 4.74% | -48.36% | |
66 Neutral | $12.03B | 26.52 | 6.75% | 3.78% | 4.15% | 13.70% | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
64 Neutral | $14.98B | 36.69 | 7.80% | 3.71% | 0.77% | 111.56% | |
60 Neutral | $15.79B | 38.70 | 7.46% | 4.56% | 0.85% | -29.53% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
SUI
Sun Communities
122.46
0.90
0.74%
ELS
Equity Lifestyle
65.67
6.31
10.64%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
133.47
-0.28
-0.21%
ESS
Essex Property
285.88
41.09
16.79%
CPT
Camden Property
110.72
9.09
8.95%
AMH
American Homes
34.51
0.42
1.24%
Sun Communities Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Sun Communities Highlights Strategy as Pure-Play MH and RV Operator
Positive
Jun 1, 2026
Sun Communities on June 1, 2026 began distributing a new investor presentation that underscores its strategy to become a pure-play North American manufactured housing and RV operator, following the planned sale of its U.K.-based Park Holidays busi...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Sun Communities Exits U.K. Operations in Strategic Sale
Negative
May 21, 2026
On May 21, 2026, Sun Communities’ operating partnership agreed to sell all of its U.K. business, including holiday park operator Park Holidays, to an affiliate of Aermont Capital in an all-cash deal valuing the assets at £768 million, o...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Sun Communities Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Auditor
Positive
May 18, 2026
Sun Communities, Inc. reported the results of its Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on May 12, 2026, where investors elected nine directors to serve until the 2027 Annual Meeting, including Chair and CEO Gary A. Shiffman and other incumbent boar...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sun Communities Issues Cautious Investor Presentation on Outlook
Neutral
May 4, 2026
Sun Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust and the largest publicly traded owner and operator of manufactured housing and recreational vehicle communities, with about 179,000 sites across 515 properties in North America and the U.K. I...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.