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Simpson Manufacturing Co Inc (SSD)
NYSE:SSD

Simpson Manufacturing Co (SSD) AI Stock Analysis

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Simpson Manufacturing Co

(NYSE:SSD)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$176.00
▲( 13.53% Upside)
Simpson Manufacturing Co's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its high stock score. Despite some technical analysis concerns, the company's robust financial position and strategic initiatives in North America provide a solid foundation for continued growth. The stock is fairly valued, and recent corporate events indicate healthy governance and market confidence.
Positive Factors
Business Model
SSD's long-term prospects remain strong, behind a high-quality business model, share gains, and balance sheet.
Investments
SSD leaned into investments in 2024, positive for longer-term share gain opportunities.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Q3 operating margin was 21.3%, below the Street's 22.6% expectation.

Simpson Manufacturing Co (SSD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Simpson Manufacturing Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSimpson Manufacturing Co., Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells wood and concrete construction products. The company offers wood construction products, including connectors, truss plates, fastening systems, fasteners and shearwalls, and pre-fabricated lateral systems for use in light-frame construction; and concrete construction products comprising adhesives, specialty chemicals, mechanical anchors, carbide drill bits, powder actuated tools, fiber-reinforced materials, and other repair products for use in concrete, masonry, and steel construction, as well as grouts, coatings, sealers, mortars, fiberglass and fiber-reinforced polymer systems, and asphalt products for use in concrete construction repair, and strengthening and protection products. It also provides connectors and lateral products for wood framing, timber and offsite construction, structural steel construction, and cold-formed steel applications; and mechanical and adhesive anchors for concrete and masonry construction applications. In addition, the company offers engineering and design services, as well as software solutions that facilitate the specification, selection, and use of its products. It markets its products to the residential construction, light industrial and commercial construction, remodeling, and do-it-yourself markets in the United States, Canada, France, the United Kingdom, Germany, Denmark, Switzerland, Portugal, Poland, the Netherlands, Belgium, Spain, Sweden, Norway, Australia, New Zealand, China, Taiwan, and Vietnam. The company was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Pleasanton, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySimpson Manufacturing Co. primarily generates revenue through the sale of its comprehensive range of construction products, including connectors, anchors, and fasteners. These products are sold directly to construction companies, contractors, and distributors who supply the building and construction industry. The company's revenue model is driven by the continuous demand for durable and reliable construction solutions, particularly in the residential and commercial construction sectors. Additionally, Simpson Manufacturing Co. invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, which helps in sustaining its competitive edge and boosting sales. Strategic partnerships with distributors and an extensive sales network further contribute to the company's ability to reach a wide customer base and maintain robust revenue streams.

Simpson Manufacturing Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Simpson Manufacturing Co's financial performance is strong, with consistent revenue growth, robust profitability margins, a stable balance sheet with low leverage, and efficient cash flow management. These factors indicate a well-managed, financially stable company poised for future growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Simpson Manufacturing Co has demonstrated strong income statement performance with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability margins. The TTM revenue growth rate is approximately 1.8%, indicating steady expansion. Gross and net profit margins remain healthy at 46.1% and 14.5% respectively. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 19.5% and 23.5%, reflecting operational efficiency. Overall, the company exhibits strong revenue generation and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Simpson Manufacturing Co is stable, with a commendable equity ratio of 80.3%, indicating a strong equity base relative to total assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.04, suggesting minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is solid at 14.3%, demonstrating good profitability relative to shareholder investments. These metrics highlight a financially stable position with low leverage and efficient capital utilization.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong cash generation capabilities, with a free cash flow growth rate of 19.9% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.02, indicating efficient cash conversion from profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.58 shows a healthy level of free cash flow generation relative to earnings. This indicates robust cash flow management and the ability to sustain operations and growth.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.24B2.23B2.21B2.12B1.57B1.27B
Gross Profit
1.03B1.03B1.04B941.29M755.03M576.38M
EBIT
437.56M429.98M475.15M459.07M367.79M252.36M
EBITDA
527.61M518.63M554.21M532.95M411.44M297.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
324.68M322.22M353.99M334.00M266.45M187.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
150.29M239.37M429.82M300.74M301.15M274.64M
Total Assets
2.83B2.74B2.70B2.51B1.48B1.23B
Total Debt
82.91M98.68M551.57M623.92M37.09M37.20M
Net Debt
-67.38M-140.69M121.75M323.18M-264.06M-237.44M
Total Liabilities
556.70M923.03M1.02B1.09B300.13M251.63M
Stockholders Equity
2.27B1.81B1.68B1.42B1.18B980.94M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
189.28M157.80M338.20M332.60M101.70M169.66M
Operating Cash Flow
330.22M338.16M427.02M399.82M151.29M207.57M
Investing Cash Flow
-219.89M-259.26M-103.25M-870.24M-58.80M-39.85M
Financing Cash Flow
-236.66M-261.46M-199.03M465.53M-71.62M-126.78M

Simpson Manufacturing Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price155.02
Price Trends
50DMA
154.83
Positive
100DMA
160.33
Negative
200DMA
171.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.15
Negative
RSI
45.94
Neutral
STOCH
45.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SSD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 155.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 157.86, above the 50-day MA of 154.83, and below the 200-day MA of 171.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SSD.

Simpson Manufacturing Co Risk Analysis

Simpson Manufacturing Co disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Simpson Manufacturing Co reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Simpson Manufacturing Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SSSSD
77
Outperform
$6.85B21.3018.10%0.69%1.38%-3.80%
77
Outperform
$7.31B48.3310.62%5.93%3.50%
72
Outperform
$7.72B25.2516.54%4.93%
LPLPX
72
Outperform
$6.60B16.6724.41%1.15%8.09%55.08%
66
Neutral
$6.48B31.0923.07%-9.10%-21.50%
63
Neutral
$6.57B15.9918.62%1.80%-3.48%4.55%
50
Neutral
$2.00B-1.02-21.34%3.70%2.00%-30.65%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SSD
Simpson Manufacturing Co
155.02
-16.09
-9.40%
BECN
Beacon Roofing Supply
124.17
28.69
30.05%
FBIN
Fortune Brands Innovations
50.99
-18.95
-27.09%
LPX
Louisiana-Pacific
91.27
2.85
3.22%
TREX
Trex Company
56.84
-31.09
-35.36%
AZEK
AZEK Company
49.87
2.83
6.02%

Simpson Manufacturing Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.77%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced performance with strong growth in North America and strategic investments, offset by declines in European sales and challenges due to tariffs and cost increases. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive outlook for the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
North American Market Performance
Net sales in North America totaled $420.7 million, up 3.4% from $406.7 million last year, exceeding U.S. housing starts by approximately 420 basis points.
Growth in Outdoor Living Category
The outdoor living category experienced low-double-digit growth over the prior year, attributed to a growing product offering and intentional marketing efforts.
OEM and Commercial Market Growth
OEM delivered high-single-digit volume growth year-over-year, and the commercial market saw low-single-digit growth despite challenging conditions.
Improvement in Gross and Operating Margins
Consolidated gross margin improved to 46.8% from 46.1%, and operating margin expanded by 90 basis points to 19% over last year.
Strategic Investments and Facility Expansions
Investments in Columbus, Ohio, and Gallatin, Tennessee facilities are on budget and on time, with the new Gallatin facility expected to optimize fastener sourcing.
Negative Updates
Decline in European Sales
Net sales in Europe decreased 5.1% compared to the prior year, with foreign currency translation impacting results negatively.
Challenges in Component Manufacturing and Residential Volumes
Component manufacturing market volumes declined slightly, and Residential volume performance was down modestly.
Impact of Tariffs and Cost Increases
New tariffs and increased costs in labor, energy, and transportation are challenging, prompting an 8% price increase to offset some of these pressures.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Simpson Manufacturing reported net sales of $538.9 million, reflecting a modest growth of 1.6% year-over-year, despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. The North American segment saw a 3.4% increase in net sales to $420.7 million, while European sales experienced a 5.1% decline. The company exceeded U.S. housing starts by approximately 420 basis points in North America, with net sales of $420.7 million. Gross margin improved to 46.8%, up from 46.1% in Q1 2024, despite higher input costs. Operating margin expanded by 90 basis points to 19%, and adjusted EBITDA increased by 3.8% to $121.8 million. Simpson Manufacturing maintained its guidance, expecting operating margins between 18.5% and 20.5% for the year, with U.S. housing starts anticipated to remain flat-to-up in the low-single-digit range. The company also reaffirmed its commitment to returning at least 35% of free cash flow to shareholders.

Simpson Manufacturing Co Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Simpson Manufacturing Co Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 12, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Simpson Manufacturing Co. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where all four proposals presented were approved. These included the election of eight directors, approval of executive compensation, the amended Employee Stock Purchase Plan, and the ratification of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025. This approval signifies strong shareholder support for the company’s governance and strategic decisions, potentially reinforcing its market position and operational stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (SSD) stock is a Hold with a $195.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Simpson Manufacturing Co stock, see the SSD Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Simpson Manufacturing Co Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

On April 28, 2025, Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a 1.6% year-over-year increase in net sales to $538.9 million and an operating income margin of 19.0%. The company also repurchased $25.0 million in common stock and reaffirmed its 2025 guidance. Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, the company reported a $9.0 million benefit from its 2024 acquisitions and implemented price increases to offset rising costs, including those related to new tariffs.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.