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Linde (LIN)
NASDAQ:LIN

Linde (LIN) AI Stock Analysis

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Linde

(NASDAQ:LIN)

76Outperform
Linde's overall stock performance is strong, driven by solid financial fundamentals and effective cost management. The technical analysis suggests stability with potential for moderate growth, while valuation remains a concern due to high P/E ratios. The earnings call reveals a mixed outlook with growth opportunities balanced by macroeconomic challenges. The company's strategic capital management and shareholder returns provide a stable foundation amidst these challenges.
Positive Factors
Clean Fuels Market
LIN is seen as an obvious winner in the clean fuels arena due to its strength in carbon capture and hydrogen manufacturing and transportation.
Earnings Growth
LIN should see robust price/volumes, efficiency gains, new projects, and tailwinds from a normalized energy/power cost environment driving double-digit EPS growth.
Pricing Power
The company expects to pass-through inflation driven pricing in all regions, indicating pricing power.
Negative Factors
Currency Impact
Currency headwind is expected to have a modest quarter-over-quarter impact.
Demand Uncertainty
Management alluded to continued uncertainty around the timing of recovery in end-market demand due to macro and trade concerns.
Trade Policies Impact
Uncertainty surrounding protectionist trade policies likely slows the pace of project evaluation and scope discussions in 2025, and stalls a rebound in demand from the cyclical markets.

Linde (LIN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Linde Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLinde plc operates as an industrial gas and engineering company in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers atmospheric gases, including oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases; and process gases, such as carbon dioxide, helium, hydrogen, electronic gases, specialty gases, and acetylene. The company also designs and constructs turnkey process plants for third-party customers, as well as for the gas businesses in various locations, such as olefin, natural gas, air separation, hydrogen, and synthesis gas plants. It serves a range of industries, including healthcare, energy, manufacturing, food, beverage carbonation, fiber-optics, steel making, aerospace, chemicals, and water treatment. The company was founded in 1879 and is based in Woking, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyLinde makes money primarily through the production and distribution of industrial gases to a diverse range of end markets, including healthcare, manufacturing, and energy. The company operates through two main business segments: Gases and Engineering. The Gases segment generates revenue through the sale of gases and related equipment, offering on-site gas production, pipeline supply, and packaged gas. The Engineering segment designs and constructs large industrial plants, contributing to the company's revenue by leveraging its expertise in process technologies. Linde also capitalizes on long-term contracts and strategic partnerships, providing stability and growth opportunities. Additionally, the company invests in innovations like hydrogen energy solutions, which position it for future revenue expansion as global energy demands evolve.

Linde Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Linde exhibits a strong financial profile with solid profitability and effective cost management. The company's balance sheet is well-structured, though rising debt levels warrant monitoring. Cash flow generation remains strong, supporting operational flexibility.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Linde's income statement reflects a strong financial performance with a stable revenue base. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is approximately 55%, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin is around 20% for TTM, showcasing solid profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, at 26% and 38% respectively for TTM. Revenue growth is modest but consistent, suggesting a steady business trajectory.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid financial position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.58, indicating moderate leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 17.38% for TTM, reflecting effective use of equity capital. The Equity Ratio is approximately 46%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years could pose potential risks if not managed effectively.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Linde demonstrates robust cash flow management. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.46 for TTM, implying strong cash conversion. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.74, indicating good free cash flow generation. However, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows slight volatility, which may require attention to sustain long-term liquidity.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
33.02B33.01B32.85B33.36B30.79B27.24B
Gross Profit
14.02B15.86B15.36B13.91B13.25B11.86B
EBIT
8.72B8.63B8.02B5.37B4.98B3.32B
EBITDA
12.59B12.75B12.22B10.86B10.14B8.73B
Net Income Common Stockholders
6.61B6.57B6.20B4.15B3.83B2.50B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.29B4.85B4.66B5.44B2.82B3.75B
Total Assets
82.70B80.15B80.81B79.66B81.61B88.23B
Total Debt
23.90B22.61B20.32B17.91B14.21B16.15B
Net Debt
18.60B17.76B15.65B12.48B11.38B12.40B
Total Liabilities
43.24B40.66B39.72B38.27B36.16B38.65B
Stockholders Equity
38.03B38.09B39.72B40.03B44.03B47.32B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.91B4.93B5.52B5.69B6.64B4.03B
Operating Cash Flow
9.63B9.42B9.30B8.86B9.72B7.43B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.97B-4.64B-4.67B-3.09B-3.01B-2.99B
Financing Cash Flow
-4.08B-4.36B-5.40B-3.09B-7.59B-3.35B

Linde Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price457.77
Price Trends
50DMA
452.37
Positive
100DMA
447.04
Positive
200DMA
452.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.77
Negative
RSI
55.26
Neutral
STOCH
70.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 457.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 450.88, above the 50-day MA of 452.37, and above the 200-day MA of 452.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LIN.

Linde Risk Analysis

Linde disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Linde reported the most risks in the “Macro & Political” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Linde Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ECECL
77
Outperform
$73.46B35.2424.62%0.94%1.19%36.31%
LILIN
76
Outperform
$215.48B33.2217.20%1.24%0.78%6.75%
LYLYB
66
Neutral
$19.21B18.487.19%8.97%-6.53%-50.08%
DDDD
65
Neutral
$29.01B40.240.06%2.24%4.51%-121.68%
PPPPG
63
Neutral
$25.90B19.3218.47%2.36%-7.67%-0.58%
APAPD
59
Neutral
$62.07B40.5410.45%2.54%-1.09%-37.71%
50
Neutral
$1.98B-1.06-21.29%3.61%1.95%-30.61%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LIN
Linde
457.77
30.53
7.15%
APD
Air Products and Chemicals
278.93
19.31
7.44%
ECL
Ecolab
259.09
26.69
11.48%
LYB
LyondellBasell
59.77
-34.41
-36.54%
PPG
PPG Industries
114.08
-16.63
-12.72%
DD
DuPont de Nemours
69.32
-9.06
-11.56%

Linde Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with significant achievements in EPS growth and a strong project backlog, but challenges remain in sales growth, market conditions in China, and manufacturing weakness in key regions. The company's prudent management actions and shareholder return strategies provide some stability amidst these challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings Per Share Growth
EPS grew by 8%, operating margins expanded by 120 basis points to 30.1%, and maintained industry-leading ROC at 25.7%.
Backlog and Future Growth
The quarter ended with a strong backlog of $10 billion, with more than $7 billion in sale of gas projects, underpinned by long-term contracts.
Capital Management and Shareholder Returns
Operating cash flow increased by 11% to $2.2 billion. The annual dividend was raised by 8%, marking 32 straight years of dividend growth. $1.1 billion of stock was repurchased.
Project Wins and Pipeline
New project wins, including in South Korea with Samsung, and expectations of continued project announcements in the electronics sector.
Negative Updates
Flat Sales and Volume Decline
Sales were flat at $8.1 billion compared to the prior year, with underlying sales only increasing 1% due to higher pricing offset by lower volumes.
China Market Challenges
Continued softness in industrial end markets in China, with no recovery expected in 2025. Metals and chemicals markets are weak, and industrial deflation is likely to continue.
Manufacturing Weakness in the Americas
Weakness in U.S. manufacturing due to uncertainty, with automotive, agricultural products, and mining showing softness.
Currency Headwinds
A 2% currency headwind affected EPS growth, driven by a weakened dollar against key currencies.
Company Guidance
During the Linde First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, guidance for the year emphasized cautious expectations amidst a challenging economic environment, with anticipated recessionary conditions impacting volumes. Despite these headwinds, Linde projected EPS growth in the range of $16.20 to $16.50 for the full year, reflecting a 5% to 7% increase excluding currency effects. The company highlighted its robust operating model, which facilitated an 8% increase in EPS and a 120 basis point expansion in operating margins to 30.1%, alongside maintaining a 25.7% return on capital. Linde's backlog stood at $10 billion, with over $7 billion in sale of gas projects, supporting future growth prospects. The guidance also accounted for a 2% currency headwind, offset by productivity improvements and pricing actions, with a focus on maintaining a disciplined capital allocation strategy.

Linde Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Linde Announces Retirement of Executive John Panikar
Neutral
Dec 2, 2024

John Panikar, former Executive Vice President-APAC at Linde plc, will retire on March 31, 2025, after 33 years of service. During his transition, he will maintain his salary and benefits while being eligible for a performance-based bonus. Post-retirement, Panikar will receive a severance package exceeding $1.4 million, along with COBRA health benefits. He will also adhere to non-disclosure and non-compete agreements, reflecting Linde’s structured approach to leadership transitions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.