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Leidos Holdings Inc (LDOS)
NYSE:LDOS
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Leidos Holdings (LDOS) AI Stock Analysis

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LDOS

Leidos Holdings

(NYSE:LDOS)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$165.00
▲(47.14% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance—especially robust free cash flow and solid margins—reinforced by a constructive earnings call that included raised guidance and strong Defense momentum. Attractive valuation (low P/E with a dividend) further supports the rating. The main offsets are balance-sheet leverage and longer-term technical weakness (still below the 100/200-day averages), alongside ongoing Health segment uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Exceptional Cash Generation
Strong operating and free cash flow supports internal investment, debt reduction and shareholder returns. FCF closely tracking earnings also indicates solid earnings quality, although working-capital movements remain a monitoring point.
Negative Factors
Elevated Balance-Sheet Leverage
Leverage increases financial risk and reduces flexibility if government spending, contract performance or cash conversion weakens. Although equity has grown and returns are strong, debt remains a meaningful constraint on resilience.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Exceptional Cash Generation
Strong operating and free cash flow supports internal investment, debt reduction and shareholder returns. FCF closely tracking earnings also indicates solid earnings quality, although working-capital movements remain a monitoring point.
Read all positive factors

Leidos Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Customer Type
Revenue by Customer Type
Shows revenue distribution among different customer groups, indicating which sectors or demographics are most lucrative and where there might be potential for growth or diversification.
Chart InsightsLeidos’ revenue is increasingly driven by DoD & US intelligence, which has accelerated recently due to large defense awards and the Entrust acquisition rather than broad-based commercial strength. That concentration underpinned the guidance raise and EPS accretion but comes with tradeoffs—defense margins have compressed and book‑to‑bill dipped below 1, flagging near‑term lumpiness (management expects Q2 softness). Other government and commercial revenue are growing but remain secondary, so future upside hinges on award conversion and realizing post‑acquisition synergies.
Data provided by:The Fly

Leidos Holdings (LDOS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Leidos Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Leidos Holdings, Inc., along with its various subsidiaries, delivers a broad spectrum of services and innovative solutions across key markets: defense, intelligence, civil government, and health. The company operates both domestically within the U...
How the Company Makes Money
Leidos makes money mainly by performing contracted work and delivering technology-enabled services and solutions, with a large portion of its revenue tied to U.S. federal government spending. Its revenue model is largely contract-driven and typica...

Leidos Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed solid overall financial performance with record revenue, strong margins and exceptional cash generation, plus accelerating Defense momentum and a large near-term pipeline of proposals. Management raised full-year guidance and reduced leverage while completing share repurchases and progressing strategic actions (Entrust integration, SES JV). Key negatives center on the Health segment: the VA's suspension of incentive payments, near-term revenue/margin pressure from the MDE market and some uncertainty around MHS GENESIS and agency in-sourcing trends. Management indicates these health headwinds are largely accounted for in the updated guidance and expects offset from Defense, Homeland and digital growth pillars.
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue and Organic Growth
Revenue of $4.56 billion in Q2, up 7% year-over-year (4% organic), marking a record quarter for the company.
Negative Updates
Health Segment Revenue Contraction
Health revenues contracted in Q2 due to full incorporation of a fourth vendor on the VBA Medical Disability Examination (MDE) regions contract; Health is expected to sustain Q2 revenue levels for the remainder of the year.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Quarterly Revenue and Organic Growth
Revenue of $4.56 billion in Q2, up 7% year-over-year (4% organic), marking a record quarter for the company.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Leidos said it is raising its 2026 outlook: management increased the revenue midpoint (Tom: +$100M) and raised operating cash flow guidance by $50M, while Chris noted the company also increased the lower end of the revenue range by $200M and non‑GAAP diluted EPS guidance by $0.10 (Tom said midpoint EPS +$0.05); CapEx is now expected to be about $250M, implying free cash flow up roughly $150M for the year. The company is maintaining an adjusted EBITDA margin target in the mid‑13% range, and its guidance excludes any impact from the pending SES/Analogic JV. On an organic basis Leidos expects the rest of the company to grow ~7% in revenues and ~19% in adjusted EBITDA in 2026; segment outlooks include Health roughly flat at Q2 revenue run‑rate with non‑GAAP OI margins around 20%, and Defense accelerating to high single‑digit growth for the year (double‑digit if you exclude airborne ISR).

Leidos Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and an earnings recovery, plus standout free cash flow generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$2.3B, free cash flow ~$2.2B with ~18% FCF growth). Offsetting factors include modest recent revenue growth (~1.8% TTM) and a more levered balance sheet (debt-to-equity roughly ~1.2–1.4x), which raises downside risk if conditions weaken.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.63B17.17B16.66B15.44B14.40B13.74B
Gross Profit3.07B3.03B2.80B2.24B2.08B2.01B
EBITDA2.29B2.41B2.12B946.00M1.42B1.48B
Net Income1.39B1.46B1.25B199.00M685.00M753.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.63B13.49B13.10B12.70B13.07B13.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments748.00M1.20B943.00M777.00M516.00M727.00M
Total Debt6.58B5.93B5.29B5.20B5.49B5.67B
Total Liabilities10.30B8.53B8.64B8.44B8.72B8.92B
Stockholders Equity5.28B4.92B4.41B4.20B4.30B4.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.16B1.63B1.24B958.00M857.00M927.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.30B1.75B1.39B1.17B986.00M1.03B
Investing Cash Flow-2.48B-421.00M-142.00M-211.00M-313.00M-730.00M
Financing Cash Flow34.00M-1.13B-1.08B-715.00M-865.00M-113.00M

Leidos Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price112.14
Price Trends
50DMA
116.87
Positive
100DMA
128.63
Positive
200DMA
155.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
8.68
Negative
RSI
76.86
Negative
STOCH
90.09
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LDOS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 112.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 129.30, below the 50-day MA of 116.87, and below the 200-day MA of 155.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 8.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.86 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.09 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LDOS.

Leidos Holdings Risk Analysis

Leidos Holdings disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Leidos Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Leidos Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$18.36B13.0827.55%1.51%3.41%1.68%
76
Outperform
$27.45B13.0714.94%2.82%5.64%-5.39%
75
Outperform
$14.64B26.6212.68%10.89%7.95%
75
Outperform
$47.35B14.3833.03%4.71%-0.64%5.69%
73
Outperform
$5.44B14.1327.22%1.24%-2.90%24.61%
65
Neutral
$18.55B14.3315.58%1.11%-0.12%-7.87%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LDOS
Leidos Holdings
141.37
-37.19
-20.83%
CACI
Caci International
646.35
160.33
32.99%
CTSH
Cognizant
60.92
-8.59
-12.36%
INFY
Infosys
11.83
-4.70
-28.44%
SAIC
Science Applications
126.29
9.74
8.35%
WIT
Wipro
1.91
-0.80
-29.49%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026