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Dover (DOV)
NYSE:DOV

Dover (DOV) AI Stock Analysis

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DO

Dover

(NYSE:DOV)

77Outperform
Dover's strong financial performance and robust earnings call results are the primary drivers of the stock score. While the technical indicators suggest potential overbought conditions, the company's strategic resilience and undervaluation provide a solid investment thesis. Continued attention to debt management and external challenges, like tariffs, will be crucial for sustaining growth.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The portfolio transformation focusing on acquisitions is expected to accelerate EPS and EBITDA growth, acting as a catalyst for stock re-rating.
Growth Opportunities
Dover Corporation's increased exposure to secular growth markets like Biopharma and Clean Energy positions it for better growth.
Operational Efficiency
Dover Corporation has expanded margins impressively, indicating strong operational resilience despite volume and mix headwinds.
Negative Factors
Growth Sustainability
There is concern about the durability of Dover Corporation's growth, as it might fade back to lower levels if comparisons normalize.
Market Challenges
SWEP and Belvac's continued weakness is dragging down DCST organic growth, though sequential bookings momentum could provide a boost.

Dover (DOV) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Dover Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDover Corporation (DOV) is a diversified global manufacturer that delivers innovative equipment and components, specialty systems, and support services through a broad range of industries, including energy, engineered systems, fluids, and refrigeration & food equipment. The company operates through several segments, providing highly engineered products and solutions to its customers worldwide, ensuring operational efficiency and enhanced productivity.
How the Company Makes MoneyDover Corporation makes money through the manufacturing and sale of its wide range of products and services across its various business segments. Its revenue streams are primarily derived from the sale of industrial products, including pumps, compressors, refrigeration systems, and printing and identification equipment. Additionally, the company earns through the provision of aftermarket services, including maintenance and support. Significant partnerships and long-term contracts with industries in energy, food and beverage, and transportation further bolster their revenue. Additionally, Dover leverages its innovative capabilities and global reach to maintain a competitive edge in the industrial manufacturing sector.

Dover Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dover exhibits strong financial health, with robust profitability metrics, a solid balance sheet, and good cash flow generation. The company maintains high margins and a strong equity base, though revenue growth is modest.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dover's income statement shows robust financial health with a strong net profit margin of 28.84% in the TTM. The gross profit margin for the TTM is 38.65%, indicating efficient production processes. Despite a slight decline in revenue from 2023 to TTM, the company demonstrates strong profitability metrics, with EBIT and EBITDA margins of 16.27% and 20.82%, respectively. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is a modest 2.73%, suggesting stable revenue generation but room for improvement in growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Dover maintains a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 for TTM, reflecting prudent financial leverage. The equity ratio of 56.44% indicates a strong equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity is a remarkable 32.16%, showcasing effective use of shareholder equity to generate profits. Overall, the company shows a strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels, although there is potential risk if debt levels rise significantly.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals strong operational efficiency with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.32 in TTM, indicating that the company generates sufficient cash from operations relative to its net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.25, which, although slightly lower, still reflects positive cash flow health. Additionally, the free cash flow growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 2.21%, suggesting steady cash generation capabilities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.96B7.75B8.44B8.51B7.91B6.68B
Gross Profit
3.08B2.96B3.08B3.06B2.97B2.47B
EBIT
1.29B1.21B1.37B1.38B1.28B932.99M
EBITDA
1.77B2.23B1.72B1.71B1.80B1.23B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.30B2.70B1.06B1.07B1.12B683.45M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.81B1.84B398.56M380.87M385.50M513.08M
Total Assets
12.65B12.51B11.35B10.90B10.40B9.15B
Total Debt
2.97B2.93B3.68B3.68B3.12B3.11B
Net Debt
1.17B1.08B3.28B3.30B2.74B2.60B
Total Liabilities
5.51B5.56B6.24B6.61B6.21B5.77B
Stockholders Equity
7.14B6.95B5.11B4.29B4.19B3.39B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
567.15M580.85M1.14B584.76M944.40M939.12M
Operating Cash Flow
738.40M748.38M1.34B805.72M1.12B1.10B
Investing Cash Flow
1.45B1.96B-726.63M-540.92M-992.75M-481.38M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.31B-1.27B-568.06M-260.26M-249.88M-506.29M

Dover Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price186.70
Price Trends
50DMA
173.17
Positive
100DMA
184.19
Positive
200DMA
186.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
3.85
Negative
RSI
67.95
Neutral
STOCH
88.86
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 186.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 173.62, above the 50-day MA of 173.17, and below the 200-day MA of 186.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DOV.

Dover Risk Analysis

Dover disclosed 16 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dover reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dover Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DODOV
77
Outperform
$25.60B11.2517.45%1.10%-5.86%59.79%
IRIR
76
Outperform
$33.89B41.538.09%0.10%5.27%0.61%
75
Outperform
$11.69B26.1516.15%1.47%0.78%-8.42%
IEIEX
75
Outperform
$14.42B30.2312.73%1.45%1.66%-17.18%
XYXYL
72
Outperform
$31.16B34.448.62%1.16%8.14%32.64%
ROROK
68
Neutral
$34.84B38.9125.86%1.66%-11.19%-22.50%
64
Neutral
$4.43B12.015.16%249.23%4.03%-11.73%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOV
Dover
186.70
3.60
1.97%
IEX
IDEX
190.85
-26.78
-12.31%
NDSN
Nordson
205.35
-60.25
-22.68%
ROK
Rockwell Automation
309.05
41.57
15.54%
XYL
Xylem
128.03
-16.12
-11.18%
IR
Ingersoll Rand
84.01
-10.05
-10.68%

Dover Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.23%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a robust quarter with record margins and strong organic bookings, but was tempered by concerns about tariff exposure and volume declines in certain segments. While there are challenges due to tariffs and some segment-specific issues, the company has shown strong operational performance and resilience.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Adjusted EBITDA margin was up 240 basis points to 24%, a record result for Q1.
Strong Organic Bookings
Organic bookings were up for the sixth consecutive quarter with book-to-bill north of one across all five segments.
Free Cash Flow Increase
Free cash flow in the quarter was $109 million, a $3 million increase compared to Q1 of the previous year.
Clean Energy and Fueling Segment Growth
Clean energy and fueling was up 2% organically, with robust order activity in below-ground retail fueling.
Pumps and Process Solutions Growth
Pumps and Process Solutions was up 7% organically, driven by double-digit growth in single-use biopharma components and triple-digit growth in thermal connectors for data centers.
Negative Updates
Engineered Products Volume Decline
Engineered Products was down in the quarter on lower volumes in vehicle services and program timing in aerospace and defense.
Tariff Exposure Concerns
Significant exposure to tariffs, particularly Chinese imports, impacting cost structures and causing a modest revenue and EPS guidance trim for the full year.
Climate and Sustainability Technologies Revenue Drop
Revenue was down in this segment due to comparative declines in food retail door cases and engineering services.
Company Guidance
During the Dover Corporation's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key financial metrics. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 19% year-over-year, driven by strong incremental margin conversion and positive price-cost dynamics. The adjusted EBITDA margin reached a record 24%, up 240 basis points, with four out of five segments showing over 100 basis points of margin expansion. Organic bookings rose for the sixth consecutive quarter, maintaining a book-to-bill ratio above one, and positioning a significant portion of Q2 revenue in backlog. The company noted a favorable outlook for the rest of the year, with targeted improvements in segment profitability and a focus on durable long-term top-line resilience. Despite challenges such as tariff impacts, the guidance remained on track, with expectations for free cash flow to reach 14% to 16% of revenue. Additionally, capital expenditures were directed towards growth and productivity projects, including rooftop consolidations. Overall, the company showed confidence in its strategic positioning, emphasizing market share gains and cost management amid external uncertainties.

Dover Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Dover Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting, Elects Directors
Neutral
May 6, 2025

On May 2, 2025, Dover Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where nine directors were elected, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for 2025, and the compensation of named executive officers was approved. However, a proposal for an independent board chair was rejected, reflecting the company’s current governance structure and shareholder sentiment.

Spark’s Take on DOV Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, DOV is a Outperform.

Dover’s stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including record margins and robust bookings. While the company faces some challenges, such as tariff exposure and modest revenue growth, its solid balance sheet and operational efficiency provide stability. The technical analysis suggests mixed signals, but the valuation indicates potential undervaluation, enhancing the stock’s attractiveness.

To see Spark’s full report on DOV stock, click here.

Financial Disclosures
Dover Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 24, 2025

On April 24, 2025, Dover announced its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025, reporting a 1% decrease in revenue to $1.9 billion compared to the previous year. Despite a 60% drop in GAAP earnings from continuing operations due to a prior year’s gain on disposition, adjusted earnings rose by 18%, and adjusted diluted EPS increased by 19%. The company highlighted strong demand and order trends across its segments, particularly in biopharma components and CO2 systems, and maintained a positive outlook for the near term, supported by a robust backlog and exceptional margin performance.

Spark’s Take on DOV Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, DOV is a Outperform.

Dover’s overall stock score reflects a strong financial performance supported by robust profitability, a solid balance sheet, and efficient cash flow. The stock’s technical indicators suggest potential oversold conditions, which may present a buying opportunity. Valuation metrics indicate the stock is undervalued, enhancing its attractiveness. Positive earnings call guidance and strategic corporate events further bolster the outlook, despite some segment-specific challenges and FX headwinds.

To see Spark’s full report on DOV stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.